Haven't posted on here in a while but wanted to share a project I've been working on for the past bit:
The revamping of The Kneeldown (https://t.co/nZQSLHJZ3d), a free web-app designed to analyze many aspects of a team/player's schematics, tactics, and performance. I started the website in 2022 when I was with PFF but haven't had the time to maintain it, and data privacy issues have been an issue.
Now I think I've turned it into something pretty cool. It runs off of data from 2022-2024 as that is what is currently publicly available, meaning this year's data won't be available until after the playoffs. If you have any ideas on how to access current, week-to-week data or any monetization ideas, feel free to reach out to me.
If you have any suggestions or questions, please feel free to reach out as well.
Thank you to all open source data sites that have made this possible, such as nflfastR, NGS, and FTN.
Mike Macdonald's defense this year:
Very, very few holes. Its performance in the Super Bowl exemplifies this. Exemplary against Go, In, and Out routes. Try throwing a screen against them.
Explore any aspect of a team's scheme at https://t.co/9FgpHY736O
If you told me I’d get a CFB national championship and a superbowl in the same year, I honestly don’t know what I’d say I can’t think of a response crazy enough
John Schneider the last 2 years:
HIRED
Mike Macdonald
SIGNED
Leonard Williams
Sam Darnold
DeMarcus Lawrence
Josh Jobe
Cooper Kupp
Jarran Reed
DRAFTED
Byron Murphy
Grey Zabel
Nick Emmanwori
AJ Barner
Tory Horton
Jalen Sundell (UDFA)
Elijah Arroyo
TRADED FOR
Ernest Jones IV
Rashid Shaheed
Built an NFL MVP predictor model a while back and it has been 100% correct since inception except when it predicted Lamar Jackson to be MVP in 2024 instead of Josh Allen.
It predicts Drake Maye to have a 62% chance of winning the award.
You can read the original paper here: https://t.co/WGnQfG8iet
Here it is. The final The Chart from BSB:
Indiana vs. Miami in the National Championship Game
BSB win probability model (using SP+ data) gives Indiana an 80% chance to win with a projected scoring margin of 11.1 points.
For context, IU’s national championship appearance has done so much for campus that Kilroy’s (the main bar) has a 15+ person waitlist for tables ALONE (each table holds 20-40 people) - in a college town, this is generally unheard of for a bar of that size
Manager’s phone has had floods of alumni reaching out, says he’s never seen anything like it.
No better place on earth to watch the game than at the game itself
Friday Hot Take:
What Cignetti has done at Indiana is so unprecedented and outside the normal real of what modern CFB data tells us to expect...
That I kind of suspect there is some kind of cheating going on.
This isn't based on any evidence and is total speculation/gut.
What Curt Cignetti has done at Indiana is without a shadow of a doubt one of the most impressive things I’ve seen in the history of sports. Indiana was one of the worst football programs in the history of college football. I thought Cig was a clown during that initial presser when he said “google me”. I was like this guy is gonna get throttled by the big boys. Instead it only took him 2 years to turn Indiana into a dominant national power. Sure NIL helps but still this is insane. It seemed beyond impossible to ever do it but to do it this fast? I still can’t believe it. The Big 10 now goes through Ann Arbor and Bloomington. Who would have ever dreamed it?