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AO R3: Shelton (8) ๐บ๐ธvs Vacherot (30) ๐ฒ๐จ
Shelton leads the H2H 1-0 (challenger event in 2022).
Both these players have a truly elite serve, so don't expect many breaks.
Vacherot has proven he can knock off top players, but Shelton's GS pedigree should be too good for that.
AO R3: Swiatek (2) ๐ต๐ฑ vs Kalinskaya (31) ๐ท๐บ
Swiatek leads the H2H 2-1.
All 3 of their previous matchups have been highly entertaining and I expect no different here.
Anna is much more up and down than Iga, BUT if she's in-form, an upset wouldn't shock me.
Not saying Tommy Paul is going to beat Alcaraz next round, but IF HE IS EVER GOING TO at a GS, this would be it.
Fully healthy, improved serve & fh, in great form, rested, & this is historically his best GS, & Alcarazโs worst.
My favorite matchup in tennis.
Canโt wait ๐ฟ
AO R3: Paul (19) ๐บ๐ธ vs ADF (14) ๐ช๐ธ
TP leads the H2H 4-0, with 2 prior wins here at the AO.
* Disclaimer: TP is my favorite player
I watch more TP, than anyone else on tour, and I can say he's healthy for the first time in about the last 12 months.
Thread ๐งตโคต๏ธ
AO R3: De Minaur (6) ๐ฆ๐บvs Tiafoe (29) ๐บ๐ธ
De Minaur leads the H2H 4-1.
De Minaur is playing with the support of his home crowd, and just seems to always beat everyone ranked outside the Top 10.
Tiafoe loves big moments, but I don't think he's going to win this one.
AO R3: Svitolina (12) ๐บ๐ฆ vs Shnaider (23) ๐ท๐บ
First H2H matchup.
Shnaider has started off 2026 strong, but so has Svitolina.
Svitolina is so consistent and mentally tough, that I trust her way more to overcome any adversity, and to make a deep run.
Svitolina in 2
AO R3: Jovic (29) ๐บ๐ธ vs Paolini (7) ๐ฎ๐น
Paolini leads the H2H 2-0.
Paolini is an established Top 10 player, but struggled to make deep runs at slams in 2025 (after great success in 2024).
Jovic is getting better, and better, and I feel an upset brewing with her current form.
AO R3: Cerundolo (18) ๐ฆ๐ท vs Rublev (13) ๐ท๐บ
Cerundolo leads the H2H 3-1.
This match should be really great. I can definitely see either player winning.
I feel like Cerundolo is a bit underrated, and is pretty consistent, so for that reason I love picking him over Rublev.
Australian Open Day 5 Picks
Medvedev -1.5 sets / Zverev -1.5 sets (+116)
Bublik -1.5 sets / De Minaur -1.5 sets (+118)
Cerundolo ML (+114)
Borges ML (+160)
Moboko ML / Muchova ML (-112)
Svitolina ML / Jovic +4.5 (+111)
Sonmez ML (+110)
AO R3: Tien (25) ๐บ๐ธ vs Borges ๐ต๐น
Tien leads the H2H 1-0.
This match feels like it's going 5 sets.
Borges is a tricky opponent and is top 5 in percentage of 5 set matches played among active players.
I'm going to go with the slight upset and take Borges here.
The biggest question marks have always been his serve and fh, but those both look improved to start 2026.
He clearly feels comfortable in this match, plus ADF is coming off a 5 setter vs Opelka (where he was broken multiple times).
I think TP wins in 4 here.
Tomas Machac ๐จ๐ฟ vs Stefanos Tsitsipas (31) ๐ฌ๐ท
Tsistipas leads the H2H 1-0.
Machac seems to be playing his best tennis in the last 6 months or so, and I honestly just never know what to expect with Tsitsipas.
Prediction: Machac 6-4, 3-6, 7-5, 6-2
Jessica Pegula (6) ๐บ๐ธ vs McCartney Kessler ๐บ๐ธ
Pegula leads the H2H 1-0, last coming in Dallas.
Kessler is a very solid player, who should push Pegula, but I'd be relatively surprised if Pegula were to be upset here.
My prediction: Pegula 6-3, 7-5