Canada welcomes that the U.S. is now withdrawing its positions on discoverability and labelling and is confirming that measures to promote French language and Canadian culture will not be subject to future U.S. trade actions.
We look forward to further constructive U.S. clarifications on their other positions which would create the possibility of a mutually beneficial trade agreement that respects Canadian sovereignty.
As I watch this trade war unfold between Carney and the United States, there’s an interesting game of chess taking shape.
One of Canada’s strongest pieces of leverage against the Americans is Alberta’s oil.
If this trade dispute continues to deteriorate, Ottawa could eventually look at taxing, restricting or otherwise using Alberta’s energy exports as leverage against the United States. The problem is that doing so could inflict enormous damage on Alberta’s economy.
And this is where the timing becomes incredibly important.
The most damaging U.S. tariffs threatening Ontario’s manufacturing economy are not expected to fully hit until January 2027. Alberta votes on Option 2 on October 19.
That means the October vote could fundamentally change Ottawa’s calculation before the trade war reaches its most dangerous point.
If Albertans reject Option 2 and the threat of an independence referendum disappears, I believe Carney will have far more political room to put Alberta oil on the table.
If Option 2 succeeds, Ottawa has a very different problem.
Suddenly, using Alberta’s economy as a bargaining chip risks pouring gasoline on an independence movement that has already demonstrated it can win at the ballot box.
That is why Option 2 matters even if you are a federalist.
You do not have to support Alberta independence today to understand the value of leverage. If you simply want a better deal for Alberta and do not want Ottawa sacrificing our economy to protect its political base in Central Canada, keeping the threat of independence alive forces Ottawa to think twice.
That pressure disappears if Option 2 loses.
Then there is Trump.
Personally, I don’t think Trump has much incentive to publicly boost Alberta independence. We just watched the liberals successfully use anti-American sentiment to rally their political base. Trump openly involving himself in Alberta’s independence debate could hand Carney exactly the political weapon he wants.
In fact, this confrontation with the United States benefits the liberals politically in several ways. It creates an external enemy, fuels a sense of Canadian nationalism, gives them someone else to blame for economic weakness and provides political cover for massive new government spending.
Trump does not need to say anything about Alberta.
The trade war itself creates the pressure.
As January approaches, Ottawa may eventually have to decide what it is willing to sacrifice to protect Ontario’s economy and its own voter base.
I do not want that sacrifice to be Alberta.
That is why I believe Albertans should support Option 2 on October 19.
Keep the threat of an independence referendum alive. Keep the pressure on Ottawa. And make it politically dangerous for the Carney government to use Alberta’s economy and the livelihoods of Albertans as a bargaining chip.
They want her to cancel the referendum because recent events prove several important points.
1) The country is only united when the east needs us.
2) Alberta has real economic power.
3) We have the resources the World wants.
4) We have leverage.
On of traditional mainstream media’s core job is to keep power in check. Without independent scrutiny, governments quickly drift toward arrogance, waste, and quiet abuses. A free press is the public’s early-warning system.
Every outlet carries bias... left, right, corporate, activist, environmentalism, academic, etc. Readers know this and discount accordingly. The Calgary Sun and the Halifax Times will have a different article for the same story. I know that. The problem becomes structural when the watchdog is paid by the very institution it is meant to watch.
Take the CBC. Its mandate is to inform Canadians and hold government(s) accountable. Yet it receives over $1.2 billion in public funding from the federal government....annually. That's not independence, it's a conflict of interest written into the balance sheet. When the paymaster is also the subject of a story, hard questions get softer, details that embarrass the funder get ignored, and self-censorship becomes an institutional habit rather than just a personal shortcoming.
Private media can be captured by advertisers or ideology. In Canada , public media is captured by the state itself (It's not just CBC. CTV, Global and others all receive government funding). The second is more dangerous because it wears the costume of “public service” while the leash remains firmly in Ottawa’s hand.
Accountability requires distance. A media organization that depends on government cheques cannot fully deliver the skepticism democracy requires. Sharp journalism thrives on independence, not subsidies.
CBC just confirmed Mark Carney’s latest lie.
Yesterday, in his speech to Canadians on the failed trade talks, Mark Carney said that one of the reasons Canada walked away from the deal was that the US was “attacking Quebec‘s language and culture“.
CBC confirmed that the actual issue was the U.S, complaining about bilingual packaging requirements.
Mark Carney took a decades old dispute over packaging rules and inflated it into a”the U.S. is attacking Quebec”
Mark Carney will say and do anything to ensure Canadians continue to hate the U.S. and Trump.