Sebastian Stommel

crypto/tech

[Sebastian Stommel @s_stommel]

@AnnaLeptikon What an anniversary. :/ Thank you for sharing this.

Sometimes life leaves you in dark places. Sometimes there is a plot twist (hopefully ...).

Even the darkest corners can offer strange perspectives on life, if not much else.

Wishing you the best!

[Sebastian Stommel @s_stommel]

@AnnaLeptikon Yes, fortunately we all (can) have agency and contribute to a brighter future. 😎☀️

[Sebastian Stommel @s_stommel]

@AnnaLeptikon Really sorry to hear!

Just keep iterating on your hypotheses, I guess... 🍀

If it feels to hard to bear: Hoping for the exponential learning curve of civilization & AI and just staying in the game long enough, still is a reasonable fallback bet. 👍

Elon is working on it. 🚀🤖

[Sebastian Stommel @s_stommel]

@AnnaLeptikon Voices like yours matter, please go on. All the best!

For me, the “Chinese farmer” story is the best fallback in tough times: No matter how much it sucks, one genuinely doesn’t know the future. That doesn’t suddenly make it all OK. But it can give a shit situation some dignity.

[Sebastian Stommel @s_stommel]

@fortelabs Being a net energy source: sparking creativity and action, rather than draining time and focus.

[Janis Ozolins @OzolinsJanis]

Confused? Write.

[Sebastian Stommel @s_stommel]

@normonics So, who are these unknown unknowns you are talking about? You are trying to tell us that you were the only one who did not see Putin‘s invasion coming? #ironyOff

Everybody knows that everything is just common sense - also known as hindsight bias.

[Sebastian Stommel @s_stommel]

@naval on the limits of technocracy

[Naval @naval]

The Dunning–Kruger problem can’t be solved socially by anointing experts who are themselves incapable of accurate self-assessment.

It can only be solved by direct feedback from disinterested reality (nature and free markets).

[Sebastian Stommel @s_stommel]

@fortelabs You can visualize the fractal intuition for a field of knowledge with the Sierpinski triangle:

The central pieces (triangles) give you most of the insight.

You get diminishing returns when going into smaller and smaller triangles (Pareto).

[Sebastian Stommel @s_stommel]

@fortelabs This is also why confirmation bias is so deadly: You learn nothing new. You only add smaller and smaller triangles.

Look for contradicting evidence and opportunites for growth. Not for comfortable confirmations.

[Sebastian Stommel @s_stommel]

@fortelabs Yes.

To milk the smaller triangles/info: Look where the structure breaks down and contradictions arise.

Einstein's relativity theory was inspired by the Michelson-Morley experiment which at the time, was considered a small triangle in the "aether theory".

[Sebastian Stommel @s_stommel]

@unsaturated @fortelabs Yes. Also, in nature fractals don’t scale forever.

Romanesco doesn’t grow to space, nor to subatomic level.

Natural fractals are essentially self-replication rules that work well for a few orders of magnitude.

[Sebastian Stommel @s_stommel]

@fortelabs Had similar thoughts, too. Nailing down what information is, is surprisingly hard, let alone “knowledge”.

One can measure bits and bytes. But what constitutes self-similarity there?

Compression at least proves there is redundancy. That’s a start. 🤔

[Sebastian Stommel @s_stommel]

@fortelabs My selection, in that order:

Heavy lifts vs. slow burns / least resistance

Intermediate packets / building blocks

The art of archiving

—-

good ideas overall 👍

[Sebastian Stommel @s_stommel]

#FreeHosenmaus —> It worked, she‘s back! 🎉

[Hosenmaus @Hosenmaus1]

1/2

Meep, Meep!

Fast 10.000 Leute aus allen Lagern, haben mich unter #FreeHosenmaus supportet, dafür ein großes Dankeschön.

Dies zeigt, dass die Demokratische-Mitte weiterhin stark ist und gegen Faschismus zusammenstehen könnte, wenn es darauf ankommt.

[Alistair Milne @alistairmilne]

Buy #Bitcoin when everyone thinks your nuts for doing so, not when everyone thinks it is a good idea

[Sebastian Stommel @s_stommel]

put down all your self-help books until you have internalized this epic thread by @naval #ReminderToMyself

bottom line: letting your ego and desires dictate your actions is a sign of poor judgement and a path to unhappiness

[Naval @naval]

Selfish morality:

[Paul Graham @paulg]

A striking graph of the percentage of New York Times headlines containing each president's name, by @brgrbrglr. Trump and the Times had a symbiotic relationship: he used them to get attention, and they used him to get subscribers.

[Sebastian Stommel @s_stommel]

Related point: For most problems like corruption, abuse and inequality it is much more likely that they have been around pretty much forever rather than being new phenomena.

[Sebastian Stommel @s_stommel]

Important point often overlooked by doomers:

The fact that one did not see it before does not necessarily mean it was not there (scandals, corruption, wars, poverty, ...).

Seeing it now has the upside that one can at least do something about it.

[Joe Norman @normonics]

If you notice something is wrong that means something is right because you can see the wrong thing so that means you should stfu and take it 😐