$BTC update 🧪
We’ve been following this path for a while, and price is now approaching a major inflection point.
Two primary scenarios from here:
Orange 🟧 - bullish path
BTC completes some variation of an impulse over the coming days, followed by a three-wave correction.
If we get that structure, I’d be much more confident that BTC is heading back towards new all-time highs.
Blue 🟦 - bearish path
BTC begins moving down impulsively.
That would confirm the price action from February until now was a flat and increase the probability of new lows.
The exact paths may look different from what I’ve drawn - it’s still too early to map every move precisely.
I don’t have a strong bias towards either scenario yet. Locally, I’ll be looking for a swing short on BTC once I believe a top is forming, but I’m not looking to short alts here.
The Key takeaway is now i am watching for when price moves down - How it does move down
If bitcoin:native and $ETH don't bounce, it COULD get ugly. I am not ready to say its over just yet.
I still think crypto had a tremendous shift in sentiment during August's rally and I don't think that goes away because of some choppy PA at range highs.
I have my levels, significant candle closes below them and yes we have patience for lower buy opportunities.
bitcoin:native
Still sitting on support.
So no hurry to short.
4H structure is still intact — and even if it breaks, shorting isn't my plan.
My plan is simple:
Wait for value.
My buying zone: $69,700 – $64,500
When BTC enters this zone, I’m not going to overthink it.
No noise.
No FOMO.
No changing the plan.
I’ll just buy. 🦈
The edge isn't predicting every move.
It's knowing exactly where you want to act before the move happens.
#BTC
Bitcoin simply needs to invalidate its Daily Hidden Bearish Divergence dating back to May 2026 as well as breach the multi-month Lower High for continued bullish momentum
Until then Bitcoin will remain inside this Macro Range between $60,000 and $80,000
bitcoin:native #Bitcoin
I have nothing against ETFs or custodial solutions. They have lots of benefits including being recognised and integrated onto TradFi rails.
But note that Bitcoin is unique because it's the only mature digital property that's truly sovereign. It has no nationality, it cannot be blocked by a nation state, nor debased, or seized.
Only learning the ropes of SELF CUSTODY can deliver this to you.
Most of the West has lived in a nice safe bubble since WW2, but as Ray Dalio points out from research spanning 1500 years, stability is a cycle, when that cycle ends you want to a stash that protects you if the world crumbles for a time.
Institutions that hold your assets will collapse, governments have and will seize your assets, your family may need to relocate under the chaos.
We're late into this cycle, 15% of assets into sovereign assets is the recommendation (BTC and gold).