Behind that ranger sits part of 105 tonnes of ivory worth roughly $150 million on the black market. Days after this photo, Kenya soaked the lot in jet fuel and burned it. Critics warned it would backfire. A decade on, ivory prices have crashed and poaching is at a 20-year low.
The piles held the tusks of around 7,000 elephants and the horns of 343 rhinos. It was the biggest ivory burn in history. The full stockpile was about 5 percent of all the ivory sitting in African government storerooms at the time. Kenya's entire annual environment budget was smaller than what they were about to set on fire.
The argument against burning was simple. Cut the supply, push up the price, poachers come back harder. One conservation economist compared the move to Iraq going offline during the Iran-Iraq war, when oil prices spiked. Burn $150 million of ivory and the same shock should hit.
None of that happened. Raw ivory in China peaked at around $2,100 per kilogram in 2014. Then Kenya burned its stockpile in April 2016, China shut its legal ivory market in December 2017, and similar bans rolled through the US, Europe, and elsewhere. The price broke. By 2020, the going price across Africa had fallen to about $92 per kilogram. In Kenya specifically, what a poacher could get for a kilo of raw tusk dropped from $190 in 2014 to $52 by 2018. Inside China, the share of people saying they would ever buy ivory fell from 43 percent before the ban to 18 percent by 2020.
The bet was based on an old number. A 2014 Sheldrick Wildlife Trust study found that one live elephant brings in around $23,000 a year in tourism revenue. Across a 70-year lifespan, that is roughly $1.6 million. Its tusks, ripped out, sell for around $21,000. That is the 76-to-1 ratio that gets thrown around in conservation circles. Kenya runs around 10 percent of its economy on tourism today, almost all of it built around live wildlife.
The numbers since have backed the call. The UN's 2024 wildlife crime report says the global ivory market is shrinking, with seizures and poaching both down. A 2024 Colorado State study found African elephant numbers fell 77 percent on average between 1964 and 2016. After 2016, things turned. Forest elephant decline slowed from 7 percent a year to under 1. Savanna elephant poaching is at its lowest level since global tracking started in 2003.
The ranger in this photo is guarding ivory Kenya was about to destroy on purpose. Within four years, the market for what he was guarding had collapsed.
@AndrewZepeda10@ChristopherHale And, going by your tone, the laity have no business solving factual situations in line with moral law, which you gleefully suggest is out of their scope of care.
@JosephNgugi1@ignyharaz2 People exploit loose laws to build where they are not supposed to. The drainage problem in Kenya is a combination of abdicated responsibility by literally everyone from mps, county officials, legal channels, professionals and government agencies all motivated by greed.
@PuritymMwangi Striking similarity with trump's admin which is basically a gang of grifters, racists, pedos and registered sex offenders etc, everything their leader stands for. Little wonder the US sees nothing wrong with ruto despite the Somali/Sudan debacle.
@jojogg5544@MorbidKnowledge Sometimes you want context to come across without the occasional algo suppression due to use of perceived "taboo" expressions.
@bitsy_smitty @RetroAgent12 @CarpDeeEm1 The part where you are supposed to compare his quote with the post above his, which also happens to be a quote by the guy he's replying to, who downstream regrets that he didn't see his original post and confesses he's a follower of his. You are welcome.