Satoshi Yamamoto

Como lidar com uma era que manchou tudo que noutros tempos era sagrado?

- Yukio Mishima

[Sam Pancher @SamPancher]

Em extensa nota, ministro Edson Fachin, presidente do STF, se manifesta sobre relatório de congressistas dos EUA que acusa decisões da Corte de atentarem contra a liberdade de expressão.

Material foi revelado pelo @Metropoles horas antes da divulgação oficial.

Íntegra: https://t.co/p4BQbI2aJP

[House Judiciary GOP 🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸 @JudiciaryGOP]

🚨The Brazil Censorship Files, Part III

We subpoenaed secret censorship orders from Brazilian Supreme Court Justice Alexandre de Moraes. We received them as part of our oversight of how foreign censorship affects the rights of American citizens.

Our takeaway: Moraes and other Brazilian officials are trying to censor AMERICAN speech.

🧵

[Flora Hua @FloraHua_2000]

“Clearly, many Chinese people also desire liberation from the totalitarian regime — that is, the CCP.”

On US and Israel Strike Iran: NTD Live Special Coverage earlier today, China commentator @DavidZhang360 , host of David on China and China Insider on YouTube, joined NTD’s @tiffanymeier_ to discuss some eye-opening comments from Chinese internet users.

[Ken Cao-The China Crash Chronicle @Ken_LoveTW]

Strategic Suicide: Iran’s Historic Blunder. China’s Oil Lifeline Is About to Collapse.

The US and Israel struck Iran, but the real shockwave will hit Beijing.

This isn’t just another Middle East escalation. Iran is the backbone of China’s West Asia strategy: discounted oil, yuan settlements, sanctions evasion, and a critical Belt and Road anchor. Now missiles have crossed Gulf airspace, Dubai has shut down, and regional alignment is shifting fast.

If Iran destabilizes, China loses a sanctioned oil lifeline and a key geopolitical pillar. If Hormuz closes, the energy shock hits Beijing hard.

[The Economist @TheEconomist]

The framers of Brazil’s constitution wanted a powerful Supreme Court. But to protect democracy, voters must believe in the court’s good faith as well as its ability to carry out its mission https://t.co/nyeMMeGbZX

[RAND @RANDCorporation]

New paper presents a primer for U.S. policymakers on China’s national security decisionmaking: https://t.co/G99isDBcu2

[The Great Translation Movement 大翻译运动 @TGTM_Official]

First they come for the guns, saying that it is unsafe; then they come for the internet, say it is for your own good. Then they come for what little joy you can have in Spring Festival.

People in China, How far would you let your rights be trampled?

[Bloomberg @business]

Brazil’s Supreme Court may vote on whether Justice Dias Toffoli should remain in charge of the Banco Master fraud probe after a Federal Police report questioned his ties to the bank and its CEO Daniel Vorcaro https://t.co/reACC5uv4Y

[Transparência Internacional - Brasil @TI_InterBr]

Em 2023, Toffoli anulou, sozinho, todas as provas do acordo de leniência da Odebrecht. Ele incluiu na fundamentação de sua decisão um parecer do Departamento de Recuperação de Ativos e Cooperação Internacional, à época subordinado a Augusto de Arruda Botelho, então secretário nacional de justiça.

O parecer dizia que não havia registro do pedido de cooperação do MPF à Suíça, requisito legal para uso das provas. ANPR e PGR, contudo, comprovaram, em seus recursos, que havia sim o pedido formal. O DRCI admitiu a existência e finalmente encontrou o registro.

Apesar disso, os recursos jamais foram sequer analisados, permitindo que centenas de corruptos, inclusive confessos, fossem beneficiados no Brasil e em vários outros países. Botelho havia sido advogado da Odebrecht e, recentemente, já como advogado do diretor de compliance do Master (alvo da Operação Compliance Zero), viajou em jato particular com o min. Toffoli, relator do caso.

Em outubro de 2023, a Transparência Internacional (TI) denunciou a decisão infundada de Toffoli ao Grupo de Trabalho da OCDE (WGB/OECD). O órgão inseriu o caso no topo da lista de verificações sobre o Brasil, na revisão que estava realizando sobre o cumprimento de sua Convenção contra o Suborno Transnacional. Em março, o Brasil terá que apresentar explicações e atualizações à OCDE sobre a anulação das provas da Odebrecht, que configura violação gravíssima às obrigações assumidas pelo país junto à convenção da OCDE.

Apenas três meses depois, publicamos, junto com o Índice de Percepção da Corrupção (IPC) de 2023, um relatório que destacava criticamente a atuação de Toffoli no caso da Odebrecht. Dois dias depois, o ministro determinou abertura de investigação contra a TI.

Apesar da PGR ter promovido o arquivamento do inquérito por total falta de provas e de competência de Toffoli, o ministro ignorou a posição da PGR e mantém aberto o inquérito até hoje. O caso já foi citado duas vezes pela Comissão Interamericana de Direitos Humanos (CIDH) da OEA como tentativa de criminalização da Transparência Internacional.

Agora, junto ao IPC 2025 recém-lançado, reiteramos nossas denúncias e recomendamos que Toffoli seja afastado e investigado.

O Brasil e a comunidade internacional precisam acompanhar com máxima atenção este caso. A corrupção do Judiciário impede o desenvolvimento socialmente justo e é devastadora para os direitos humanos, a segurança pública e a democracia.

A luta contra a corrupção não é um fim em si mesma, é uma luta por direitos.

[CNN Brasil @CNNBrasil]

Magnata de Hong Kong é condenado a 20 anos de prisão; assista #LiveCNNBrasil

[Matheus Alexandre | מתאוס אלכסנדר @matheuszaiyt]

Texto-alerta importante de Nira Broner Worcman no O Globo. O artigo levanta questões incômodas sobre radicalização, liberdade acadêmica e os desafios que democracias enfrentam quando ignoram sinais de alerta dentro das próprias instituições. Vale muito a leitura e, sobretudo, a reflexão!

[The Economist @TheEconomist]

Chinese officials may be quietly encouraged by Donald Trump’s suggestion that his next targets could be Mexico, Colombia or Greenland. If America is bogged down in its own backyard, China could reap the benefits https://t.co/TxfrEzbWsd

[Sam Pancher @SamPancher]

O Itamaraty soltou uma nota sobre a premiação de um filme no Globo de Ouro antes de qualquer manifestação sobre a situação no Irã

[Neil Thomas 牛犇 @neilthomas123]

Will the real Li Chenggang please stand up?

Happy to contribute to this @Reuters profile of China's lead trade negotiator:

Neither a 'wolf warrior' nor a wallflower, Li is a chain-smoking, porcelain-collecting career diplomat with an encyclopedic knowledge of trade law and excellent English who alternates between charm and delivering Beijing's tough messages, sources say.
...
Trade officials and Western diplomats who have interacted with the vice commerce minister in recent months described him as commanding rooms. One American business figure said he had an "executive presence," a contrast from the stereotypical Chinese bureaucrat: A stoic, script-bound delivery that allows little room for personal flair.

They said he is well-prepared, with a deep understanding of China's economic structure and U.S. trade demands. One former U.S. official who negotiated with Li on an Obama-era investment deal called him a "rising star."
...
Born in rural Anhui province, Li read law at the elite Peking University as well as Germany's University of Hamburg. He climbed the ranks at the Ministry of Commerce, including a period running its department of treaty and law from 2010 to 2017. In his current role, Li also oversees the export controls and anti-dumping probes that China uses with foreign companies to protect its rights and ensure a level playing field.

During his time as China's WTO representative in Geneva from 2021 to 2025, Li was a prolific networker who regularly hosted dinners and smoked Chinese cigarettes with other ambassadors in between meetings, four WTO sources told Reuters.

At the weekends, Li frequently scoured Swiss flea markets for discounted Chinese porcelain and could identify which dynasty the items came from, they said.
...
At the WTO, Li's tactics were not limited to poems and dinner parties. One aide recalled him getting "angry and agitated" while pursuing the Investment Facilitation for Development Agreement – a landmark deal that China played a key role in creating.

He is an advocate of Beijing's efforts to reshape the multilateral trade order, pitching China as a stabilising force in the face of turmoil created by Trump’s tariffs, said the Beijing-based Western trade diplomat.

In negotiations with the U.S., he would have a good grasp of policy details and how to advance China’s aims under the WTO legal framework, said one Western trade diplomat who met Li multiple times last year.

Li's competence in meetings has led some observers to say that China has a stronger, more cohesive team that is empowered to implement directives from the leadership.

One U.S. businessperson who met Li in September said Chinese negotiators "go in knowing what they can and cannot accept," while their American counterparts require Trump’s final approval after negotiating a framework.
...
"Li's near-term priority is to maintain the bilateral trade truce and create a positive environment for Trump's visit to China," said Neil Thomas of the @AsiaSociety, a New York-based think tank.

"The Chinese trade team's biggest challenge is to get the Trump administration to relax more U.S. export controls without generating an overwhelming backlash in Washington."

[Fania Oz-Salzberger 🇮🇱🕊️🟣 פניה עוז-זלצברגר @faniaoz]

Dream: the Iranians declare a liberal republic (a liberal constitutional monarchy is ok too), resume diplomatic relations with Israel, and join the region’s sensible countries to help negotiate an Israeli-Palestinian peace.
The new Iran is likely to boost the power of both Israeli and Palestinian moderates.

[Solomon Yue @SolomonYue]

The next Chinese revolution has already happened in my hometown - Shanghai without Americans' involvement. Millions Shanghainese take to the streets demanding the overthrow of the CCP, Beijing trembles.

[Satoshi Yamamoto @satoshi899]

@twibuznew Classy people.

[K. Tristan Tang @KTristanTang]

My analysis of the PLA’s Justice Mission 2025 exercise around Taiwan has been published in China Brief @ChinaBriefJT by the Jamestown Foundation @JamestownTweets

This analysis builds on my previous work in China Brief examining four major PLA exercises and training drills, including Joint Sword 2024B, the major naval drill along the First Island Chain in December 2024, Strait Thunder 2025A, and the dual aircraft carrier drill in the Western Pacific in June 2025.

https://t.co/w1GhCFa8Vn

Executive Summary:

(1) The PLA launched another military exercise in late December 2025, with force scale and deployment locations broadly similar to previous drills.

(2) The exercise nonetheless signaled an effort by the Eastern Theater Command to sustain year-round readiness, likely in response to Xi Jinping���s directive to achieve the capability to conduct operations against Taiwan by 2027.

(3) Compared with earlier exercises, this drill advanced invasion-related rehearsals, including scenarios involving the seizure of the Penghu Islands and parts of eastern Taiwan.

(4) Although China displayed a degree of restraint during this exercise, it also suggested that a future operation without such restraint could carry far more serious consequences, which would likely include significant disruption to air and maritime traffic in the Taiwan Strait and the Bashi Channel.

[MOFA of Japan @MofaJapan_en]

FM MOTEGI issued a statement on the situation in Iran.
#FMStatement
https://t.co/7affqcgJEk

[鈴森はるか 『haruka suzumori』 🇯🇵 @harukaawake]

🇨🇳🇯🇵 Apparently, China is quite angry and frustrated that Japan won't apologize and that Prime Minister Takaichi's ratings are so consistently high.

We love to see it.