Sara Bear🏳️‍🌈🏳️‍⚧️ally

she/her, Covid Conscious/Cautious, always masking, 🌊🌊🌊

[Sara Bear🏳️‍🌈🏳️‍⚧️ally @SBear7272]

I'm attending Swing Left's event, “Call-O-Ween II: Senate Spooktacular” - sign up now to join me! https://t.co/Rxx6s77OsP

[Mike Hoerger, PhD MSCR MBA @michael_hoerger]

PMC COVID-19 Forecasting Model, Oct 21, 2024
🧵1 of 4

Every indication is that the 10th U.S. Covid wave is on the way. Within 2 weeks, expect transmission to be meaningfully higher.

Current estimates from PMC:
🔹1 in 115 actively infectious
🔹Higher transmission than during 43% of the pandemic
🔹Nearly 3 million weekly infections

These estimates are high in the absolute sense, but low relative to the recent summer wave and likely winter surge.

The CDC data show transmission increasing in the Northeast, and a slowing of the decline in transmission elsewhere. Biobot data also show flattening transmission. The raw CDC and Biobot wastewater data are delayed >1 week. Walgreens shows positive cases, testing, and positivity ratios flattening and is delayed only 1 day.

For those unfamiliar with the model, find full weekly reports for the past 14+ months at https://t.co/xmDnq5OkYl

The models combine data from IHME, Biobot, and CDC to use wastewater to estimate case levels (r = .93 to .96) and forecast levels the next month based on typical (median) levels for that date and recent patterns of changes in transmission the past 4 weeks.

Our work has been cited in top scientific journals and media outlets, which are fully sourced in a detailed technical appendix at https://t.co/rO6J6BMNtH

Examples include JAMA Onc, JAMA-NO, BMC Public Health, Time, People, TODAY, the Washington Post, the Institute for New Economic Thinking, Salon, Forbes, the New Republic, Fox, CBS, and NBC. See pgs 10-11 at the above link.

[Eric Feigl-Ding @DrEricDing]

Elevators are riskier than many conference rooms for infection with an airborne virus. This seems like common sense but we all know plenty of people who don’t realize how much sneezing and cough there are in elevators—& the risk lingers in the elevator air even if elevator empty.

[Sara Bear🏳️‍🌈🏳️‍⚧️ally @SBear7272]

@masknerd @masknerd what air purifiers are these?

[Aaron Collins @masknerd]

Excited to update everyone on OpenRespirator. First step was to build the tools to make a mask. We developed a tool set which allows prototyping in silicone and co-molded plastic for $30 with one time capital cost of $4K, and of course all open-source!
https://t.co/yQNplTzl28

[Protect Their Future (Formerly @ImmunizeUnder5s) @PTF_org]

This goes out to all the healthcare professionals out there! #MaskUpInHealthcare #CovidIsIAirborne #CovidIsNotOver #MaskUp

[SARS‑CoV‑2 (COVID-19) @COVID19_disease]

COVID-19 making worrying comeback WHO warns, amid summertime surge

The UN health agency is also concerned that more severe variants of the coronavirus may soon be on the horizon.

Wastewater shows SARS-CoV-2 is 2 to 20 times more prevalent than reported.

https://t.co/thO8oFT7S7

[COVID Advocacy NY @COVIDAdvocacyNY]

🚨 ACTION ALERT: STOP THE NASSAU COUNTY MASK BAN

📢 Testify at Nassau County Legislature Meeting in Mineola: Monday, Aug 5, 1 pm

📨Email public comment by Monday: [email protected]

Urge them not to support mask ban.

#NoNYMaskBan

https://t.co/ARtjBfrzpT

[SARS‑CoV‑2 (COVID-19) @COVID19_disease]

⚠️ BREAKING

COVID Deaths Surge to Highest in Five Months in UK; Expert Urges Masking

COVID-19 deaths in the UK have reached a five-month high, with hospital admissions also rising

Experts are urging everyone to 'mask up' to curb the spread.

[Nick #RespiratorsFilterAllPathogens😷 Anderegg @NickAnderegg]

Let me start by saying AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA.

Turns out SARS-CoV-2 RAPIDLY infects the NERVOUS SYSTEM long BEFORE it even enters the bloodstream.

These findings have huge implications! Here's an analysis of the study, written for a general audience. (Sorry in advance!)

1/many

[The Lone Masker @wonderartsy]

Masks work when you wear them properly:

Masks work when they fit your face.

Masks work when all your breath is filtered through them.

Masks work when you shape the nose wire.

Masks work when you avoid high risk situations like (even outdoors) crowds

https://t.co/m1oCGj24Du

[Sara Bear🏳️‍🌈🏳️‍⚧️ally @SBear7272]

Bringing my dad to the doctor- we mask up in the car, and at the doctors office #YallMasking

[Occupy Democrats @OccupyDemocrats]

Retweet if you LOVE this!

[Raj Rajnarayanan @RajlabN]

Tracking #SARSCoV2 #Lineages - Globally |07/20/24

Top lineages -#30DayTrends

KP.3.1.1 (14.2%)👀
KP.2.3 (7.9%)
KP.3.1 (7.8%)
KP.3.3 (7.7%)
KP.3.2 (3.8%)
KP.3 (3.4%)
KP.3.1.4 (3.4%)
KP.2 (3.4%)
LB.1 (2.7%)
KP.2.2 (2.7%)

Track #G30 : https://t.co/hTtII733rr

1/n

[tern @1goodtern]

Them: "If Covid were damaging people's abilities to fight other infections then we'd see a huge rise in illnesses right across the board"

The Other Infections: <see picture>

Them: "No, not like that"

[Aaron Collins @masknerd]

Thank you Violet for advocating for clean air. It's not always easy to stand up and speak out when so many others want to ignore a problem. @BenAffleck sometimes the smallest acts can lead to biggest changes, I hope you can support her efforts.
https://t.co/x8MqnI3srN

[Scott Squires @scottsquires.bsky.social @scott_squires]

Nobody should risk getting Covid in medical care.

[Mike Hoerger, PhD MSCR MBA @michael_hoerger]

PMC COVID-19 Forecast, Jul 19, 2024 (U.S.)

Expect 700,000-900,000 infections per day for the next month. 1 in 56 Americans are actively infectious.

Estimates are worse than those forecasted last week due to sizeable retroactive Biobot corrections.
https://t.co/sYT5KNi9WZ

[JWeiland @JPWeiland]

July 19th update:

Another substantial increase this week (+26%). Wastewater signal now higher than last summer's peak, and over a month earlier.

🔸780,000 new infections/day
🔸1 in every 43 people currently infected
🔸45% higher than 12 month avg.

[Rick Bright @RickABright]

🚨Breaking news. 1st sequence of the #H5N1 viruses from Colorado human cases reported over weekend posted in @GISAID by @CDCFlu (in only 3 days is very fast). See link below for trees.

Interestingly, the virus appears to cluster w/ viruses from dairy cows & cow milk and NOT with previous wild bird or poultry viruses. @RajlabN might be able to do a detailed analysis.

This is concerning. It would be helpful if @USDA would share virus sequences from birds on the same farm & nearby.

Huge thanks to @CDCFlu for rapid work & data sharing. Hoping the other 4 virus data are shared soon, too.

https://t.co/a2pFMgId7c