Matt Seitz

Friend of John

[Matt Seitz @seitz2all]

@baseballcrank 2. To me, the risks vs. benefits of owning muskets then is different from automatic weapons now. The threat of a lone gunman with a musket was relatively small vs. the benefits (hunting, militia). But the threat of a lone gunman with an automatic weapon may outweigh the benefits.

[Matt Seitz @seitz2all]

@baseballcrank 1. My understanding is the 2nd Amendment originally applied only to the Federal government. States were free to enact whatever gun laws they liked. It wasn't until the 1920s that courts started ruling the 14th Amendment "incorporated" the Bill of Rights to apply to the states.

[Matt Seitz @seitz2all]

@DaRealRick @CHP_Truckee Update!

Incident: 0021 Type: Chain Control Location: 10475
8:57 AM 16
[20] [Notification] [CHP]-^50 NO CONTROLS
8:54 AM 15
[19] ^80 WB R2 DLI TO EAGLE LAKES
8:54 AM 14
[18] ^80 EB R2 CISCO TO TRUCKEE

https://t.co/FhLy1QP516

[Matt Seitz @seitz2all]

@DaRealRick @CHP_Truckee Saw this on CalTrans QuickMap:

CHP Incident 260413TK0021
CHAINS-Chain Control
Apr 13 2026 4:44AM 
10475 Pioneer Trl
Apr 13 2026 7:23AM [14] [Notification] [CHP]-^50 R2 TWIN BRIDGES TO MEYERS
Apr 13 2026 4:49AM [13] ^US 50 R2 FREDS PLACE TO MEYERS

[Matt Seitz @seitz2all]

@NateSilver538 What are your thoughts on reports that insiders may have made large trades about the Iran attack on prediction markets?

I thought your article on the NBA betting scandals was informative, so I’m interested in your expert opinion on the issue.

[Matt Seitz @seitz2all]

@davidfrum @TheAtlantic @NateSilver538 even warned in advance that an upset was far more likely in 2016 than in 2012, https://t.co/UmHWbb1ogq

[Matt Seitz @seitz2all]

@davidfrum @TheAtlantic In 2016, 538 gave Clinton a 72% chance of winning. That’s about the same odds as flipping a coin twice and getting heads at least once. The fact that Trump managed to get tails twice in a row is unusual, but hardly proof that the polls were “wrong”.

[Matt Seitz @seitz2all]

@tbombaci I often think about this photo when I hear or see Newsom mentioned. A selfish hypocrite with weak ethics.

[Matt Seitz @seitz2all]

@baseballcrank I'm sympathetic to the idea. But I'm also a believer in Chesterton's Fence, so I'd like to better understand why the USDA was put in charge before I would want the USDA removed.

[Matt Seitz @seitz2all]

@dish_answers I'm disappointed the BBC Sci-Fi channel is no longer available on Bonus Classics. I liked that channel.

[Matt Seitz @seitz2all]

@NBCSSharks Are replays available on Peacock? I subscribed to NBCSC on Peacock, but I can't find replays of the games.

[Matt Seitz @seitz2all]

But the referee seemed to allow play to continue until the tackle at the Ram's 41. When the Fox broadcast resumed, the clock still read 1:23, but the ball was at the Ram's 41.

[Matt Seitz @seitz2all]

@NFLFootballOps Was there an officiating error during the Raven's recovery of the Stafford fumble? The umpire signaled "stop clock" when the ball was initially recovered near the 50 with 1:23 on the clock. The clock appeared to stop.

[Matt Seitz @seitz2all]

@jonathanchait @baseballcrank @yeselson Yes. That 2024 post does cross a line, but the more recent post is something different.

[Matt Seitz @seitz2all]

@baseballcrank I read the Bluesky thread. I think Ken was saying that he would rather be a dead American than a live Trumper, like the old “better dead than Red” slogan.

I don’t think it was meant as any kind of threat towards Trump supporters.

[Matt Seitz @seitz2all]

@MarkMeuser The problems I have with this theory is that the Texas Governor and Legislature have repeatedly claimed their Congressional districts were not based on race. Therefore, the 5th District's ruling is not a justification for redistricting now.
See https://t.co/I39f5D3Ure

[Matt Seitz @seitz2all]

@NateSilver538 I agree the evidence for “Robinson is a Groyper” was weak. But I think it’s an exaggeration to say “no evidence whatsoever”.

The weak evidence was:
-Father was a MAGA Republican
-wore a Pepe costume for Halloween
-“Bella Ciao” engraving

More info at https://t.co/BcsPJ8eGGn

[Matt Seitz @seitz2all]

@davepl1968 Had a manual as a backup, but I primarily used an electric. My typing class used a Selectric II with the ball.

[Matt Seitz @seitz2all]

@TP4myBunghol @Acyn You’re right, the specific example Trump gave would be “I reduced drug costs 250%”.

I was just trying to give a similar example using Trump’s apparent formula.