Sen Zhao

Assistant Researcher at University of Hawaii studying climate dynamics

[Sen Zhao @senclimate]

Please consider submitting an abstract to our AGU25 session OS011: El Niño-Southern Oscillation and Pantropical Climate Interactions: Mechanisms, Predictability, Impacts, and Projections.
We are thrilled to have Fei-Fei Jin and @generalpeng1 as our invited speakers!

[Sen Zhao @senclimate]

Congrats to my close collaborator and friend Malte Stuecker for receiving AGU James B. Macelwane Medal and AGU fellow🎉🎉🎉

[Sen Zhao @senclimate]

From March 2024, most operational models (include XRO) predicted a strong La Nina in NDJ, however, it turns out to be a very weak one. A slowdown in May-June raises questions about factors missing in XRO, maybe stochastic forcing? Interesting!

#XRO #La Nina

[Sen Zhao @senclimate]

November 2024 XRO ENSO Forecast
- A very weak cold event is expected for NDJ 2024/25.
- Looking ahead, XRO suggests a weak cold state may persist into winter 2025/26, but large uncertainty remains due to unpredictable stochastic forcing.

[Xian Wu @Xiansonnet]

I’m joining @UT_Dallas as an Assistant Professor starting January 1, 2025, and I’m looking for 1–2 #PhD students to join my lab to study Climate Dynamics and Prediction. Feel free to reach out, and retweets are appreciated!

[Sen Zhao @senclimate]

The latest SST data is derived from NOAA Coral Reef Watch SST
https://t.co/EOhkZ0mnlT

The OISSTv2.1 SST update has been delayed due to significant impacts from Hurricane Helene on the NCEI facility in Asheville, North Carolina.

[Sen Zhao @senclimate]

🌍Latest XRO 18-Month ENSO Forecast: October 2024 Update

- Explore past forecasts and track the evolution of ENSO predictions: https://t.co/QvKC7W4F8H
- Learn more about the XRO model in Zhao et al. (2024) in Nature https://t.co/vWT5phtvPt

[Christina Karamperidou @drXtinaKar]

I am excited to see this study published @CommsEarth! It uses a deep learning model to infer summertime atmospheric blocking frequencies from seasonally averaged surface temperature reconstructions over the Last Millennium. 1/n https://t.co/2nTwDmpmsD

[Pedro DiNezio @mountain_gaucho]

More frequent xtreme #ElNino by 2050 if GHG emissions not reduced. Imagine a 1997 #ElNino every decade. One of the last pieces of the climate change puzzle answered. Urgent reductions in emissions needed to avoid this scenario.

@holy_kau @junglecave @NCAR_CGD #CESM #NSFfunded

[Sen Zhao @senclimate]

Our XRO ENSO forecast is now part of the operational IRI ENSO forecast plume. You can view it here: https://t.co/i74UeIy863

[Sen Zhao @senclimate]

🌍 Latest XRO 18-Month ENSO Forecast: September 2024 Update 🌍

🔗 Explore past forecasts and track the evolution of ENSO predictions: https://t.co/QvKC7W5cYf

📖 Learn more about the XRO model in Zhao et al. (2024) in Nature https://t.co/PRB45Og7jb

[Chengfei He @Chengfei_He]

🚨 Retweet appreciated! 🚨 My lab @Northeastern is seeking 1-2 fully funded #PhD students in Climate Modeling and Dynamics beginning Fall 2025. Let’s explore global climate change and variability together! DDL: Dec 1, 2024. For more details, visit https://t.co/jxIVNGOVAj.

[Sen Zhao @senclimate]

The latest 18-month ENSO forecast using our newly developed XRO model. See some information my homepage at
https://t.co/QvKC7W5cYf and more to be updated. Any suggestions are welcome!

[Sen Zhao @senclimate]

@micefearboggis Not yet. We are working with IRI and it will be available soon https://t.co/ULZozRs7ep

[Sen Zhao @senclimate]

El Niño forecasts extended to 18 months with innovative physics-based model. Check our new research paper "Explainable El Niño predictability from climate mode interactions" published today in Nature:
https://t.co/PRB45Og7jb

[Mat Collins @mat_collins]

OS015: El Niño-Southern Oscillation and Pantropical Climate Interactions: Mechanisms, Predictability, Impacts, and Projections ⁦@theAGU⁩ ⁦@xie_climate⁩ ⁦@WCRP_CLIVAR⁩

[Sen Zhao @senclimate]

Check out research briefings for our Nature Article.

A minimalistic model achieves long-range explainable El Niño forecasts with high accuracy https://t.co/26EMqRczuM

[Nature Communications @NatureComms]

New study finds a reversal in #ElNiño sea surface #temperature variability under persistent greenhouse #warming, from an increase pre-2100 to a reduction post-2100. https://t.co/CETn73yGFm

[毎日新聞 @mainichi]

24色のペン　青と赤のストライプが伝える危機＝（くらし科学環境部・大場あい）
https://t.co/MgQGZ7PGVx

[Shang-Ping Xie @xie_climate]

How El Nino/La Nina will change in this century is highly uncertain due to complicated feedbacks, but our new study shows a robust reduction in El Nino/La Nina variability under sustained warming beyond 2100 as a result of weakening Pacific ocean upwelling.