ShadowStats.com

Analysis Behind and Beyond Government Economic Reporting

[Explistats @Explistats]

Lst wks #payrolls. Usual BLS publishing glitch had huge effect: 423k Nov jobs really only 340k http://t.co/yhPscabHm7

[Explistats @Explistats]

Our Seasonal Adjustment trend analysis for Payroll Employment in advance of next week's BLS release. 232k more jobs. http://t.co/5yxXNsFsqn

[Explistats @Explistats]

Payrolls regain pre-recession peak. But as a % of potential working popn and labor force: http://t.co/mvPnNSeAhp

[Explistats @Explistats]

New Heatmap feature for further exploring the Payrolls survey: http://t.co/OpYmTawVEG Please take a look.

[ShadowStats.com @shadowstats]

Feb Retail Sales Rose by 0.27%, But that after 0.41% downward revision to Jan. On track for annzd 2.5% Q1 contraction, before Inflation Adj

[ShadowStats.com @shadowstats]

John Williams currently analyzing all of today's numbers. Commentary due out later this afternoon. To include Explistats March "trend" num.

[Explistats @Explistats]

Payrolls up 175k - close to our trend model 183k "forecast" of Wed: http://t.co/oJ7iIIboqO. Insights on divergences coming soon.

[Explistats @Explistats]

GDP 2nd Est Q4 growth down to 2.4% from 3.2%. 26% drop. 27% gain last time. New data at http://t.co/FW2uQRXQhz

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Third-Quarter GDP Downside Revision Was Consistent with Same Reports Signaling a First-Quarter 2014 Contraction

[Explistats @Explistats]

Housing starts down year over year. January down across almost all regions http://t.co/Tx8dIuiP2V More later.

[Explistats @Explistats]

Some (60+) new charts on Employment Ratio, Participation Rate & Unemployment Rate. http://t.co/4oXTTe8FRb

[Explistats @Explistats]

Adv. Retail Sales up 7% in November. Half of growth in vehicle sales. Charts (62) updated: http://t.co/xedxJjXNqh

[ShadowStats.com @shadowstats]

No Effort to Address Long-Range Solvency Issues of the US in Budget-Deficit Agreement

[ShadowStats.com @shadowstats]

Chart showing boost to GDP from Inventories. From http://t.co/nnfXe7RP7V

[ShadowStats.com @shadowstats]

Involuntary Inventory Build-Up Spiked GDP Revision; Final Sales (GDP Less Inv. Change) Growth Revised to 1.9% from 2.0%.

[Explistats @Explistats]

Housing Starts delayed again. Permits up strongly but it's all apts inSouth. Single-family auths flat in Sep/Oct.

[ShadowStats.com @shadowstats]

Apologies for absence. Today's releases: Building Permits Showed No Recovery; Consumer Confidence Declined Again in November.

[ShadowStats.com @shadowstats]

Second new public post reviews recent activity in withheld income and payroll tax receipts. Inline with expectations. http://t.co/ImoJsWGF

[ShadowStats.com @shadowstats]

Two new public pieces just posted. First on Payroll numbers: "Trend Extrapolations" for Friday's BLS report. http://t.co/gF1LuGxy

[ShadowStats.com @shadowstats]

New article on inflation measurement methodology changes. Updates our "primer" on the subject. http://t.co/69GueBIT?p=754