NFL analytics, betting insights, fantasy football analysis, game picks & props using advanced predictive models & data from Warren Sharp l betting on @novig
600+ pages is the headline, but Warren Sharp’s 2026 Football Preview is really a map of all 32 teams:
Play calling
Personnel
Betting markets
Fantasy ranks
2,500+ heat maps
All in one place
110 of 272 games will give one team more rest than its opponent in 2026, the most in NFL history.
The Bears benefit most at +15 days.
The Chargers lose most at -24.
How much should rest move your preseason win projections?
Justin Herbert is 122.5 overall on ESPN and 76.0 on DraftKings.
Same player, a 46.5-pick platform swing.
Knowing which default list your room follows can be worth multiple rounds.
79 implied points.
The Rams and Bills are tied for the highest projected scoring total across Weeks 15 through 17. Cincinnati sits just behind them at 78.5.
Every team’s projected points by week:
https://t.co/fOZwxhGfWS
if you're just now getting into an NFL state of mind:
we recently released our 2026 Football Preview Book, the FASTEST way to get SMART for the 2026 season
30% off Print Book at Amazon: https://t.co/9revPCw6aT
15% off PDF: https://t.co/9ACH5K23Bk
619 full color pages!
59.2% was the NFL’s dropback rate in 2025, the lowest since 2011
Only 5 quarterbacks averaged 250 passing yards per game
Passing efficiency is holding... volume is shrinking
Pay for Josh Allen or wait
how is Jordan Love not a top-10 QB?
I don’t think people realize what he did last year or the last several years
not even in the country but had to get this off
Jaxon Smith-Njigba produced 3.73 receiving yards per team pass attempt last season...
The best mark in our database since 1990
Steve Smith's legendary 2005 held the record at 3.48
The 2026 question is not talent
It is where regression settles
110 of 272 games will give one team more rest than its opponent in 2026, the most in NFL history.
The Bears benefit most at +15 days.
The Chargers lose most at -24.
How much should rest move your preseason win projections?
Jaxon Smith-Njigba produced 3.73 receiving yards per team pass attempt last season...
The best mark in our database since 1990
Steve Smith's legendary 2005 held the record at 3.48
The 2026 question is not talent
It is where regression settles
Lamar Jackson is No. 69 in the NFL Top 100 after a season with 8.4 yards per attempt but only 11.9 fantasy points per game over his final 8 starts.
Is that ranking too low, or did the late-season decline justify it?