Sickofchieftwit

[Sickofchieftwit @sickofchieftwit]

#Iran COULD ALWAYS CLOSE THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ! Trump didn’t give them a magic button. Attacks revealed they were willing to take the measure but everyone understood. If you want long term stability you don’t let a regime willing to do this get a nuclear weapon.

[Sickofchieftwit @sickofchieftwit]

@boomertang @politicalmath You can be more bold with your unnecessary insults if you want but it doesn’t make you correct.

[Sickofchieftwit @sickofchieftwit]

@boomertang @politicalmath Even if you assume they measured where the AC was blowing then the first 77 degree measurement, would have been 74 or very near to that as it was the second time. And measuring nearly anywhere else would make it *more* likely temps were set even lower.

[Sickofchieftwit @sickofchieftwit]

@boomertang @politicalmath It’s possible they super chilled the hall, but that would still have the effect of lowering Mayor’s office temperature by its proximity and would amount to the same issue.

[Sickofchieftwit @sickofchieftwit]

@boomertang @politicalmath They didn’t rely on the thermostat, they used the infrared thermometer. They say they tested the same air outside Mayor’s office twice- once it was 77 then it was 74. Therefore AC must have been below 78 to lower the temperature.

[Sickofchieftwit @sickofchieftwit]

@boomertang @politicalmath Temps down to 74 outside the office suggest inside the office was cooler. There’s also no reason press functions should be exempted.

[Sickofchieftwit @sickofchieftwit]

@DickeyNate @TMTLongShort Ironically, the tier 4 areas were then gentrified by Boomers. Even more ironic? The same informal redevelopment is far easier for Zoomers with remote work/freelancing being readily accessible. A single Ivy League Gen Z class could effectively “resettle” any Midwest town.

[Sickofchieftwit @sickofchieftwit]

@JamesSurowiecki Most likely referring to authority as CiC.

[Sickofchieftwit @sickofchieftwit]

@InsiderGeo IRGC internally conflicted. Hardliners attempting to spoil the MOU and negotiated settlement while others ready to close the deal. Given the limited attacks, I expect the hardliners will lose internal support before the cooler heads that are actually negotiating with US and GCC.

[Sickofchieftwit @sickofchieftwit]

@Mic_LJ @grok @ReformedWriter @drawandstrike @TulsiGabbard @saltybathx365 The concept of preemptive pardon is for it to confer the pardon before conviction, trial or even simply investigation. Not preemptive to the commission of the crime.

[Sickofchieftwit @sickofchieftwit]

@TheIntelFrog Estimates of damage to Iran range from $140 billion to $270.

[Sickofchieftwit @sickofchieftwit]

@BrettErickson28 Possibly. Also quite possible the US will not even wait a year. After midterms, politics gives way to legacy building. And a reorganized approach to defending the Strait at a renewed war’s inception and deployment of ground forces would end Iran.

[Sickofchieftwit @sickofchieftwit]

@SuitablePolitic Iran historically has been susceptible to intelligence operations. Current events suggest one of unprecedented scale is occurring. The most obvious and worthwhile goal would of course be to install leadership friendly to US, but that can’t be done as overtly as in VZ.

[Sickofchieftwit @sickofchieftwit]

@SuitablePolitic Do you mean associated with IRGC or Basij? Artesh continue to have major grievances with IRGC.

Mass protests are meant to signal for things that are unpopular internally. For a top down regime like IRGC, protests to oust someone make no sense. Unless IRGC is losing power.

[Sickofchieftwit @sickofchieftwit]

@SuitablePolitic @CarlBradley737 That’s because spies are a bunch of bitchy little girls.

[Sickofchieftwit @sickofchieftwit]

@BrettErickson28 As with any tactic, may or may not work but this would likely be the logic behind it, rather than merely attempting to appease gulf states/Israel or simply to antagonize Iran.

[Sickofchieftwit @sickofchieftwit]

@TonerousHyus Trump bought his own hype at start of war- wanting regime change by airstrike. He course corrected, so IRGC saw weakness rather than new strategy. They’ve since been huffing their own farts waiting for the world to beg them to open the Strait, but the world is adapting instead.

[Sickofchieftwit @sickofchieftwit]

@KaelanDC @JudicialWatch He likely emailed derogatory “tips” (psychotic hallucinations) about Trump or some other public figure he may have targeted. Does not appear she sent a reply.

[Sickofchieftwit @sickofchieftwit]

@SuitablePolitic It becomes a chicken or egg issue, but civil war must happen, or external (US) forces on the ground to depose leadership.

[Sickofchieftwit @sickofchieftwit]

@SuitablePolitic Fear of assassination is less than fear of losing power, because loss of power means no future for your family and no possibility of reaping lucrative rewards of post nuke Iran.

So the threat must be loss of power not merely death.