Simon Grunfeld

Fintech and AI

[sFOX @SFox]

The next gen of finance leaders won't just inherit digital assets—they’ll build the infrastructure behind them.

Our own @SimonGrunfeld joined @bschooltravel to talk AI in digital finance. Takeaway: AI & digital assets are now the core operating layer of modern markets. #Fintech

[Simon Grunfeld @simongrunfeld]

https://t.co/YXaBIVoozP

[Simon Grunfeld @simongrunfeld]

https://t.co/m5NdE2UM0m

[Simon Grunfeld @simongrunfeld]

I'm taking a cautious approach and thinking: are we getting setup for a downturn in 2026?
Consider the slowing down of growth, lack of rate cuts since the Biden administration, the potential AI bubble and the uncertainty of the Tariff wars.
CPI report (Sept 12th) will show it.

[Simon Grunfeld @simongrunfeld]

NFP is coming out tomorrow.
If the report is weak (lower than expected) AND if we see the prior numbers revised downward: Bear Market signal.

> Will the tariffs keep inflation high? If so, it will continue to prevent a rate cut; investors will start to short the markets.

[Simon Grunfeld @simongrunfeld]

Tokenized Real-estate....now its getting Real! https://t.co/CEwXuWpMzi

[Simon Grunfeld @simongrunfeld]

AI-Generated Passport Passed a KYC Check: A Real-World Failure of Compliance Systems
https://t.co/Nv16X4yIzi

[Akemona, Inc @AkemonaInc]

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https://t.co/sARHbeL5iK

[Simon Grunfeld @simongrunfeld]

This would create the Holy Grail for RWA tokenization:

Coinbase considers offering tokenized COIN shares on Base for U.S. users https://t.co/kPBygJloVs via @The Cryptonomist

[Simon Grunfeld @simongrunfeld]

So after 4 years of the SEC attacks on the industry, putting Americans out of work, seeing our innovation and potential explode overseas, while it died here in the US; just needed a simple leadership change to re-kick crypto in the US: https://t.co/qIs6TOg5Ym

[Simon Grunfeld @simongrunfeld]

'Are the Prediction markets a good indicator?'
In a nutshell, prediction markets reflect the beliefs and strategies of a specific subset of people who are willing to put money on the line, not the broader public sentiment.

[Simon Grunfeld @simongrunfeld]

How does it come down to this?
Election results determining the direction of the market in the US, based solely on who's more pro-normality?
Yes, normality; what the rest of the developed world has achieved, but hasn't caught up in the US as of yet.
https://t.co/8av7NiamZq

[Simon Grunfeld @simongrunfeld]

So after a year, here's where this prediction stands:
1. BTC - up over 100%+
2. AVAX - up over 100%+
3. SOL - up over 550%+
4. ETH - up over 100%+
However, XRP - is pretty much in the same range...goes to show you about where the speculation exists in the market.

[Simon Grunfeld @simongrunfeld]

Ladies and Gentlemen....let the bull run begin: https://t.co/crM2g285B8

[Simon Grunfeld @simongrunfeld]

@galntdex The Fed probably won’t lower interest rates today, but it would setup a strong move to cut in September.

[GALNT Exchange @galntdex]

#FOMC #FED #Crypto

[Aptos @Aptos]

Looking forward to @galntdex progressing DeFi 🤝 Web3 innovations on Aptos alongside the ecosystem.

[Simon Grunfeld @simongrunfeld]

CPI numbers came out cooler than expected. All Eyes are on FOMC meeting for interest rate decision (July 31st): If rates are kept the same, we'll most likely see further shorting of crypto. If rates come down, we'll see a reversal and the bulls will take over.

[Simon Grunfeld @simongrunfeld]

Still...

[Simon Grunfeld @simongrunfeld]

NonFarm Payroll report: Much stronger than expected (Strong $USD). Expect pullbacks in crypto

[Simon Grunfeld @simongrunfeld]

Still dropping