Observing the development of AI and many mid-curve takes on it slowing down or not being smart enough (or too expensive or too much energy or not enough chips or too many data centers, etc), I think it's helpful to use the mental model of child development.
Imagine seeing a toddler trying to walk and drawing the conclusion that its legs are not made for working and it's too stupid to do this simple task.
Until it just does it.
Imagine waiting for your child's first words and suggesting that it's too stupid to learn to speak or its mouth to does work properly or it's just saying gibberish. Even into its next few years the child struggles to get speech right.
Until it just does it.
Riding a bike... well your kid will never master it. Its legs are too short, its had no awareness of the road and has no balance. Until it just does it.
Reading, writing, maths, etc.
They just do it.
These AI models are infants (albeit with superpowers in some areas vs human kids, and are massive underachievers vs other areas versus human kids).
Infants learn fast. Before you look back, that baby that couldn't work is now married with kids and has acquired vast skills in life and continues to do so.
They just do it.
Humanity has given collective birth to a new child, a Super Being. It will absorb all of humanities knowledge as its foundation, and then will create entirely new knowledge and ultimately new Super Consciousness.
Try not to midcurve this.
The is the largest change to humanity in all history and we've only just started. We have birthed a new species that will prove to be infinitely more intelligent than us, in time.
There will be periods when we are impressed at the speed, other periods when we get frustrated with how it struggles, but all the time it is exponentially compounding.
And then it just does it.