Joshua Sia

Hello! I Predict and analyse every UFC event... Freelance writing on MMABetting Subreddit. One Third Co-Host for the @LordNinjaChoke Podcast!

[Joshua Sia @Slayer_Tip]

@LockTimeCity For this card? shit so far Ruffy looks like the only lock, I also have Gane via R4, 5 or Dec (if you have that prop) at 3.35 but that's about it. Everything else is just silly gambles.

[Joshua Sia @Slayer_Tip]

That was a fun Apex card!

Prediction Results: 9/12 Correct, only 1 Perfect though (Baraniewski).

Parlay dead in the water, no Alt Bets hit, -2.2u or something like that, no big loss but still a loss.

Onwards to the White House event.

[Joshua Sia @Slayer_Tip]

@LockTimeCity Maybe Wednesday! It's only 7 fights for the UFC Freedom 250 card, and i'm writing as we speak so perhaps you'll get it on Tuesday. Pretty easy write up to be honest.

[Joshua Sia @Slayer_Tip]

@LockTimeCity Thank you! Not the perfect result, wish I was more accurate with methods and rounds!

[Joshua Sia @Slayer_Tip]

Well, that fight answered one key question for me moving forward... How good is Bonfims cardio?

Turns out, fairly good! He did well against someone who weaponises cardio, great fight, great performance, interested to see what happens next! #UFCVegas118

[Joshua Sia @Slayer_Tip]

Who am I to fade Belal? Belal's my boy, he's got the 5 round experience, he's a former champ, he's been through better competition, he's only going to have to survive the first three rounds, that's all, 15 minutes. Belal via KO R5 (1/3) with these two bets to follow. #UFCVegas118

[Joshua Sia @Slayer_Tip]

That was an insane fight, well done to both Allen and Shahbazyan for biting down for 15 minutes. Amazing fight! #UFCVegas118

[Joshua Sia @Slayer_Tip]

Allen is likely to win this one by wrestling or grappling to either a decision or a submission, or he’s going to get overwhelmed early by Shahbazyans striking and power. Allen via Sub R3 (1/3) with an Alt Bet of Shahbazyan via KO R1 or 2 #UFCVegas118

[Joshua Sia @Slayer_Tip]

Parlay = dead #UFCVegas118

[Joshua Sia @Slayer_Tip]

Ziam is a very good fighter whose had my eye for a while now, but he’s now facing a similar sized fighter with a history of finishing fights quickly in Tom Nolan, I still think Ziam can get the win here but it’s a slight uphill battle. Ziam via Dec (1/3) #UFCVegas118 Ziam ML is a Parlay Leg.

[Joshua Sia @Slayer_Tip]

Single Bet Recommendation (Bryce Sub R2/3) hit!

[Joshua Sia @Slayer_Tip]

The narrative here is that Luna’s wrestling background should be enough to negate Mitchells own wrestling, but given the short notice nature of the bout, I have to give the pick to Mitchell here even though he looked a little scraggly on the scales. Mitchell via Dec (1/3) #UFCVegas118 (All over the place here!)

[Joshua Sia @Slayer_Tip]

The narrative here is that Luna’s wrestling background should be enough to negate Mitchells own wrestling, but given the short notice nature of the bout, I have to give the pick to Mitchell here even though he looked a little scraggly on the scales. Mitchell via Dec (1/3) #UFCVegas118 (All over the place here!)

[Joshua Sia @Slayer_Tip]

I have a feeling Baraniewski is going to get the takedown and find the club and sub, I don’t think we’ll see a classic brawl on the feet with someones chin going flying through the window. Still, the chance of a KO is higher than Sub, and predicting is all about chance, right? Iwo via KO R1 (1/3) #UFCVegas118

[Joshua Sia @Slayer_Tip]

Costa v Schnell is, at its core, a heavy handed striker versus a crafty grappler, and I have to give it to Costa this weekend, he not only is a solid striker who can deal significant damage early, but he’s also got decent enough BJJ to negate what Schnell can do on the ground. Costa via KO R2 (2/3) #UFCVegas118

[Joshua Sia @Slayer_Tip]

@Mik3whit "shit I left the stove on" kinda look

[Joshua Sia @Slayer_Tip]

Brito with a nasty Ninja choke... good lord, the look on Leavitt's face as it was locked in, he knew it was over. #UFCVegas118

[Joshua Sia @Slayer_Tip]

McGhee should make short work of Yannis here, he fights exceptionally well, is always in front of his target throwing out damage in high volume, and just is a handful to deal with. McGhee via KO R1 (2/3) #UFCVegas118

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Chairez v Silva is almost a mirror match, at least stylistically, the only difference is that Chairez is going to be much longer than Silva so i’m intrigued by this match up, but no strong convictions here. Chairez via Dec (1/3) #UFCVegas118

[Joshua Sia @Slayer_Tip]

If you told me in 2025 that i’d be picking Cachoeira to win a fight, i’d laugh at ya, but this week, I legitimately am picking Cachoeira to win over Chandler here, it’s a terrible fight, let’s hope that it ends quickly or Chandler literally runs out of the arena. Small bet on Cachoeira via KO R1 or 2 but otherwise my pick is Cachoeira via Dec (1/3) #UFCVegas118

[Joshua Sia @Slayer_Tip]

@DieHardMMAPod She was too far on the right to find the angle, it was more of a hold than a choke attempt.