Founder of Sharemaestro. Building market tools for independent investors who prefer evidence over noise, discipline over opinion, and process over prediction.
Sharemaestro is back! Despite @TF_Drawbridge 's best efforts to scam both me and SM subscribers out of tens of thousands of dollars. The platform is free to access now, least I could do to repair the damage he caused. Have you refunded the subscribers Tim Fortier? #scamawareness
$LAD was on a good gain yesterday.
Notice how the Market Dynamics, and price overlay were in tune with each other?
Notice what happened when they were out of tune?
The price stayed up, dynamics had deteriorated, then BANG, down price went.
And how each time the price approached that green accumulation zone band at the bottom it shot back up?
This is why overlaying price on top of Market Dynamics is so insightful.
When price and market dynamics are in tune with each other, the market is being a bit more honest. ๐ค
https://t.co/r8DSQVl6JY
Hmmmm, something tells me that may not be a great idea at this point in time?
My advice is to be careful who you follow on Substacks and Discord. ๐
Why?
There is a huge disconnect between the current price, and the market dynamics right now.
That gap has to shorten at some point.๐ค
And normally its price that gives way eventually.
I have seen this scenario play out too many times to the detriment of retail investors.
Time will tell.
We will revisit this one again in the future I am sure.
https://t.co/cxLu3TYNSv
Had a staggering amount of visitors to Sharemaestro yesterday, continuing through this morning.
Love to see so many people visiting, thank you.
Visitor numbers are growing exponentially at present.
Hard to believe that just a couple of weeks ago I thought the daily average of around 50 unique visitors a day was pretty good.
Now?
In the last 24 hours we have had 12.3k visitors to the site.
One of the observations from the significant uptick in visitors recently was that the site was slowing down under the weight of traffic and chart pack downloads.
Optimized now.
Visitors to the site should see a vast improvement in speed.
And the chart pack processing has become a lot more efficient.
We live and learn.
Whenever I've stayed even a bit stubborn with the markets in the past and didn't cut my losses, the markets punished me for it.
The best winners often work nearly right from the start.
Cut losses quickly and don't fight the tape.
๐๐ข๐๐ญ ๐จ๐๐ ๐๐ซ๐จ๐ฆ ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐๐๐๐ฎ๐ฆ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ฉ๐ก๐๐ฌ๐
For weeks, Chipotle has been in the accumulation phase (US$ 30โ34). After earnings report + 6% , it appears we have now moved out of this range.
#Patience paid off once again.
#sharemaestro#systematic
From a Market Dynamics perspective, the recent move in $ADBE is interesting.
First, price has been deep inside the accumulation zone.
That suggests lower downside risk.
Secondly, we have a recent green dot.
That points to possible positioning by institutions, or at least a bigger market player.
A few more green dots around this level would really get my attention.
Thirdly, Market Dynamics have turned positive while price remains inside the accumulation zone.
Very interesting.
And finally, as a developer, I know there is no way in hell you could replicate this software with a few clever AI prompts ๐
Would I buy it today?
No.
Would I put it on the watchlist?
Definitely.
https://t.co/MjZ3xtzmaX
If it is not working, fix it.
If it needs changing, change it.
If it needs building, build it.
Whatever the problem is, deal with it.
Do not wait for perfect conditions.
Do not make excuses.
Work out what needs to be done.
Then do it.
Simple.
$ASH is one of those stocks where patience has been required.
But that patience is being rewarded.
Up another ~9%+ today.
Notice how the pieces fit together?
Now look at the green dots on the Market Dynamics chart.
They signal a higher probability that institutions may be positioning.
Sometimes the move follows quickly.
Other times it takes longer.
That is where patience matters.
The Market Dynamics Performance Index shows how effective this approach can be.
Position while downside risk appears limited.
Then give the upside time to develop.
It will not work every time. Nothing does.
But when the signals align, the balance of probabilities can move firmly in your favour.
https://t.co/gGNLDfdlXh
$IREN market dynamics suggest it could yet get a lot worse.
The smart money chart paints an interesting picture too. Note how spot on the Reversal signals were.
https://t.co/hHFFUkfAKy
An interesting observation about $HURN
The very experimental Earnings vs. Price chart had this observation.
It's a chart just to keep an eye on for now, but its starting to show some real promise.
Weekly price against rolling TTM EPS, both indexed to 100 from the first visible week. It's different.
https://t.co/l3tUbQF8o6
@LeeWightma90385 Hope you are having a great holiday. It's a lovely part of the country. I am just a county further down, in Cornwall. And it's hot as hell down here, so sure you have great weather up there too.
$HURN is up 30%+ today.
Note how the price line dipped into the green accumulation zone. Sometimes it lingers, in this time it had no desire to do so... straight back out.
Note how when the price breached into the red distribution zone, BANG, the sellers were there and it dropped like a stone thereafter.
It's a powerful way to read the market, positioning into perceived weakness and cashing out into perceived strength.
https://t.co/l3tUbQF8o6
$AAPL could reverse over the coming weeks.
Were I holding the stock, I would take the Reversal Warning seriously and consider banking some profit at this point.
The Market Dynamics chart is where the risk becomes much clearer. It suggests the stock is deep inside a high distribution zone.
To me, that makes a reversal look less like a question of if, and more a question of when.
The highly experimental Earnings vs. Price Index, and I really do mean experimental, is also suggesting the stock may be overheated.
Expectancy remains evenly balanced and offers no clear directional edge.
My take?
$AAPL may still move higher from here.
But any further rise could prove difficult to sustain.
And the upside appears to be very limited.
*Not investment advice.
https://t.co/Z0TfXyaZv5
$SOFI is a great example of why you should never be afraid to take a decent profit.
If you bought low and the market becomes extremely generous with its offer, take some (or all) money off the table.
Profits only become real when you bank them.
https://t.co/C63D4xWbyx
A reminder from William OโNeil:
โThe whole secret to winning big in the stock market is not to be right all the time, but to lose the least amount possible when youโre wrong.โ
It's about loss control, not about being right.
Google analytics is marking what I know is machine traffic and bots as active users?
I definitely do not have 33k of active users from Singapore!
I just don't trust what it tells me anymore.
Which is why I built my own analytics and stats suite.