Scott Keyes

Founder, @goingtweets. I find cheap flights, professionally.

Author: TAKE MORE VACATIONS

[Scott Keyes @smkeyes]

Some examples of the cheap flights @goingtweets found for its members in February (fares roundtrip, not Spirit):

🇻🇳 Vietnam - $599
🇺🇸 Hawaii - $197
🇵🇹 Portugal - $379
🇯🇵 Tokyo - $447 nonstop

[Scott Keyes @smkeyes]

Some examples of the cheap flights @goingtweets found for its members in February (fares roundtrip, not Spirit):

🇻🇳 Vietnam - $599
🇺🇸 Hawaii - $197
🇵🇹 Portugal - $379
🇯🇵 Tokyo - $447 nonstop

[Scott Keyes @smkeyes]

Airfare up 1% in February. Flight prices are currently:

- 7% higher than 12 months ago
- 13% cheaper than June 2022 peak
- 4% higher than February 2020

[Scott Keyes @smkeyes]

Adjusting for overall inflation, February flight prices were:

- 5% higher vs. 1 year ago
- 17% cheaper than 6 years ago
- 28% cheaper than 10 years ago

Even with the recent bumps, real airfare is still way, way down.

[Scott Keyes @smkeyes]

Air travel volume:

Feb 2026: 64,256,259 (+2.6%)
Feb 2025: 62,590,333

Larger-than-normal demand in the slowest travel month of the year.

[Scott Keyes @smkeyes]

For the first time, monthly TSA traveler numbers topped the same 2019 month.

January 2023: 60.5 million
January 2019: 58.6 million

Air travel—demand, fares, capacity, etc.—is renormalizing.

[Scott Keyes @smkeyes]

Air travel volume:

Jan 2026: 65,860,911 (+0.1%)
Jan 2025: 65,777,233

Will 2026 be the first time since 2009 with fewer passengers YoY? My gut says yes

[Scott Keyes @smkeyes]

Some examples of the cheap flights @goingtweets found for its members in January (fares roundtrip, not Spirit):

🇬🇷 Greece - $411
🇵🇹 Azores - $462
🇲🇦 Morocco - $396
🇺🇸 Hawaii - $199

[Scott Keyes @smkeyes]

Airfare up 7% (!) in January—outside of the pandemic, this is the 2nd largest one-month jump on record.

Airfares are currently:

- 2% higher than 12 months ago
- 14% cheaper than June 2022 peak
- 3% higher than February 2020

[Scott Keyes @smkeyes]

Adjusting for overall inflation, January flight prices were:

- Flat vs. 1 year ago
- 18% cheaper than 6 years ago
- 30% cheaper than 10 years ago

The Golden age of cheap flights continues.

[Scott Keyes @smkeyes]

@TedJois good catch. meant to note outside of the pandemic

[Scott Keyes @smkeyes]

12. Allegiant Air will have the lowest rate of lost bags

More details on each prediction here: https://t.co/Z4F82WFMmU

[Scott Keyes @smkeyes]

After going 10 of 12 in my 2025 travel predictions, here are my 12 predictions for 2026:

1. Flights will be cheaper than 2025

2. There will be fewer mistake fares

3. You’ll be able to bring liquids on airplanes again

4. More cheap flights to Japan

5. Spirit won’t survive

[Scott Keyes @smkeyes]

Scoring my 2025 travel predictions:

✅ 10
❌ 2

1. There will be 3–7 mistake fares

Verdict: ❌ (Fortunately there were 17 mistake fares!)

2. You’ll have more elbow room

Verdict: ✅ Load fare 83.6% --> 82.2%

3. More flights to Asia than 2024

Verdict: ✅ 6% more in 2025

[Scott Keyes @smkeyes]

6. Spirit will be bought by Frontier

7. No bag fee hikes this year for the 6 biggest US airlines

8. Air travel capacity will continue to grow

9. Fewer overall air travel passengers

10. Alaska will announce free Wifi

11. Delta will involuntarily bump <10 passengers all year

[Necedad, me decía mi nana. @aycriatura]

@smkeyes @goingtweets I've been booking deals with Going since 2022 and I'm going to Ireland this spring, my round flight was under 500dls

[Scott Keyes @smkeyes]

Some examples of the cheap flights @goingtweets found for its members in December (fares roundtrip, not Spirit):

🇨🇭 Switzerland - $250
🇳🇿 New Zealand - $587
🇲🇦 Morocco - $370
🇺🇸 Hawaii - $188

[Scott Keyes @smkeyes]

Flight prices rose 5% in December.

Airfares are currently:

- 3% lower than 12 months ago
- 17% cheaper than June 2022 peak
- 2% cheaper than February 2020

[Scott Keyes @smkeyes]

Adjusting for overall inflation, December flight prices were:

- 7% cheaper than 1 year ago
- 21% cheaper than 6 years ago
- 29% cheaper than 10 years ago

The Golden age of cheap flights continues.

[Scott Keyes @smkeyes]

More detail on 2025 travel predictions here: https://t.co/zibySSSrBg

[Scott Keyes @smkeyes]

Scoring my 2025 travel predictions:

✅ 10
❌ 2

1. There will be 3–7 mistake fares

Verdict: ❌ (Fortunately there were 17 mistake fares!)

2. You’ll have more elbow room

Verdict: ✅ Load fare 83.6% --> 82.2%

3. More flights to Asia than 2024

Verdict: ✅ 6% more in 2025

[Scott Keyes @smkeyes]

After going 10/12 in 2024, here's my 2025 @goingtweets travel predictions:

Good stuff:

(1) There will be 3–7 mistake fares.

(2) You’ll have more elbow room.

(3) More flights to Asia than 2024.

(4) More deals to Europe than 2024.

(5) No bag fee increases.

[Scott Keyes @smkeyes]

11. There will be a US airline merger

Verdict: ❌

12. Higher-than-average flight delays

Verdict: ✅ 21.9% of flights were delayed (avg: ~20%)