smokinaces

Professional degenerate 🎯 NFL & CFB Games, Props and DFS. Public Transparency.

[smokinaces @smokinaces97]

CFB Saturday recap 🫠

1u UNC ML (+140) ❌
Up in the red zone in the 4th… then a ~2.5 hr lightning delay. Come back, Clemson scores twice, we lose 28-20. Brutal.

0.5u Ole Miss ML (+130) ✅
Oxford. Rebels 32-24.

0.5u SMU ML (+100) ❌
Louisville too much.

0.5u Vandy / SC ML parlay ❌
Vandy cashed. SC didn’t.

1-3 on the day. Mother Nature took the lock.

Not advice — just logging the card.

[smokinaces @smokinaces97]

CFB card — chasing a bounce-back 🐶

1u UNC ML (+140) @ Clemson
Clemson rolling a true freshman at QB. Taking the points-dog outright.

0.5u Ole Miss ML (+130) vs LSU
Oxford. Kiffin’s back. Loud.

0.5u SMU ML (+100) @ Louisville
Mustangs already beat FSU. Live as a short dog.

0.5u parlay: Vandy ML + South Carolina ML
Short home chalk. Boring on purpose.

Not advice — bet your own card.

[smokinaces @smokinaces97]

TNF leftovers 🧾

Cook overs — dead. Checkdowns hit the dirt.
Teasers / Unders — dead. 72-point track meet.
Boost tickets — mostly dead too.

Bates Under hit. Cook anytime TD hit. One SGP boost cashed.

Rest of the card licked the pavement.

Public transparency. On to the weekend.
#TNF #DraftKings #GamblingTwitter

[smokinaces @smokinaces97]

TNF add-on 🎯

0.5u — Jake Bates Under 1.5 FGs (DK)
Campbell doesn’t settle. Total’s juiced. Taking the under.

#TNF #DraftKings #GamblingTwitter

[smokinaces @smokinaces97]

Week 2 fun tickets 🎰
NOT recommendations — follow at your own risk.

$50 · 6pt teaser (5 legs)
BAL -2.5 / DET +10.5 / PHI -1 / U50.5 / DET@BUF U60.5

$3 · SGP lottery (+50% boost)
Lions +4.5 + Under 54.5

#Publictransparency
#TNF #DraftKings #GamblingTwitter

[smokinaces @smokinaces97]

TNF Lions @ Bills — DK 🎯

🔒 1u — James Cook Over 2.5 receptions (+102)
🔒 1u — Cook Over 17.5 receiving yards (-110)
Pass-game RB work is real.

0.3u PARLAY — Cook o2.5 rec + Cook o17.5 rec yds + Kincaid Over 3.5 receptions
Not touching Kincaid as a single (juice too thick). Tossing him on the Cook legs to bump the number. Lions soft in the middle — seam TE makes sense as the sweetener.

❌ NO BET — Lions +4.5 (number moved against us) unless it floats back to +5

❌ NO BET — Game total (53.5–54.5)
Models split. Sitting.

❌ NO BET — ARSB Over 79.5 / 7.5
Chalk. Slot vs BUF is nasty. Passing.

Public transparency.
#TNF #DraftKings #GamblingTwitter #BillsMafia

[smokinaces @smokinaces97]

@TrumpsHurricane $28.54

[smokinaces @smokinaces97]

@BarackObama

[smokinaces @smokinaces97]

@MatthewBerryTMR I need Bijan Robinson to out score Caleb Williams...6pts for TD throws

[smokinaces @smokinaces97]

8-0 on the night for Thursday football including hitting a 6 prop parlay. What a fun night! #GamblingTwitter #TNFonPrime #DraftKings

[smokinaces @smokinaces97]

That’s why the advantage is gone. Instead of grinding out a steady ROI, you’re either riding or getting run over by the train. 🚂

At least in GPPs you can build leverage & shoot for real upside.

[smokinaces @smokinaces97]

💡 Jeff Mans nailed it on SiriusXM:
Cash games are flooded with “train” lineups from paid subs — everybody rolling out the same chalk build. The edge is gone.

At this point, GPPs give you just as good odds (and a chance at upside) vs coin-flip variance in cash. 🚂➡️🎰

[smokinaces @smokinaces97]

If anything I'm transparent this 3rd week was rough and I lost 38 units going 10-29 on the weekend on college and NFL didn't help.

Week 1 +55 UNITS
Week 2 +220 Units
Week 3 -38 Units

Still a good year just a humbling week.
#GamblingTwitter #sportsbettingpicks

[smokinaces @smokinaces97]

After last TNF parlay chaos… time to keep it simple. Auburn/Oklahoma Over 46.5 (+119 DK boost). Let’s get back in the win column.

[smokinaces @smokinaces97]

Game script gone wrong!… 0-5 on TNF, -9u trying to hit the parlay. Heat check’s over, back to normal betting today. #GamblingTwitter

[smokinaces @smokinaces97]

The Bills let me down by not covering at home against the worst team in the league. Missed on a few other prop bets as well to end up having a negative night. 2-1 on free picks though not bad for the first round.

[smokinaces @smokinaces97]

James Cook gets the job done 🍳
Over 60 rushing yards ✅ cashed easy.
Ground game feeding the bankroll tonight 💰

#TNF | #BillsMafia   
#draftkings

[smokinaces @smokinaces97]

Josh Allen wasted no time 🔥
Over 1.5 Passing TDs ✅ already cashed before halftime!
🐃 Bills Mafia eating tonight.

#TNF | #BillsMafia    | #DFS | #SportsBetting

[smokinaces @smokinaces97]

Went 5-1 on MNF last night for +30 units 📈💰 …and of course I forgot to post 🤦‍♂️

Bankroll doesn’t forget though 😎🔥

#NFL #MNF #GamblingTwitter