Social Science Prediction Platform

The SSPP enables researchers to collect and contribute to forecasts of academic studies.

Tweets by @UCBITSS @evavivalt @socscipredict.bsky.social

[Social Science Prediction Platform @socscipredict]

What types of questions can be forecast on the #SocSciPrediction Platform? How can the SSPP help address publication bias and quantify how much we learn from a given study, including null results? Watch our short promo video to find out.
https://t.co/qFWRbn83nS

[Social Science Prediction Platform @socscipredict]

🚨 5 projects are currently open for forecasts on the SSPP, including a project closing today on overconfidence in people and LLMs! Make your predictions here:
https://t.co/tVApcqEWxA

[Social Science Prediction Platform @socscipredict]

🚨 3 surveys close Sept 28 - 30! Get your predictions in by the end of the month:
https://t.co/tVApcqEWxA

1⃣Digital Mental Health: Evidence from Mexico
2⃣Aid, Economic Recovery and Social Cohesion in Post-War Iraq
3⃣Informality, Incidence, and Pass-through of VAT Exemptions

[Social Science Prediction Platform @socscipredict]

📢 New on the SSPP: does an extra year of preschool improve academic and socioeconomic skills? @IzRamin et al. welcome your predictions!
https://t.co/rk6xGqfcvT

⏱️Time: 5 min
📚Field: Econ, Psych
🗓️Closes: Oct 15

[Social Science Prediction Platform @socscipredict]

📣 Interested in making more forecasts? Want to get paid for doing so? Apply for the SSPP Forecasting Panel! Panelists receive $400 a year, with an additional $300 bonus for high accuracy.

Apply here: https://t.co/wUuqZ4geQG

@CEGA_UC @evavivalt @sdellavi

[Social Science Prediction Platform @socscipredict]

🚨3 surveys close Sunday, Aug 31!
https://t.co/tVApcqEWxA

1️⃣Role of monthly office days in fully remote work
2️⃣Correlation b/n statistical significance & media attention -💰incentives based on forecast accuracy
3️⃣Effects of providing information to potential workers

@evavivalt

[Social Science Prediction Platform @socscipredict]

New on the SSPP: is there a correlation between statistical significance and media attention? Lester Lusher, Sunmi Jung, and Brianna Funderburk welcome your predictions: https://t.co/fkQvNoTm1v

💰Incentives based on accuracy
⏱️Time: 10 min
📚Field: Economics
🗓️Closes: Aug 31

[Social Science Prediction Platform @socscipredict]

🚨 Closing tomorrow! Forecast how accurate people are at forecasting with the SSPP team's meta-survey: https://t.co/Q1XfZqTPNS

[Social Science Prediction Platform @socscipredict]

New on the SSPP: what are the economic impacts of university-affiliated research parks? Make forecasts below on this study by @m_codreanu:
https://t.co/6esiVSgSwc

⏱️Time: 5 min
📚Field: Labor Econ
🗓️Closes: Oct 31

[Social Science Prediction Platform @socscipredict]

New on the SSPP: What is the impact of VAT exemptions on food in an informal setting in Papua New Guinea? Christopher Hoy et al. welcome your predictions!
https://t.co/68rT9CTgnO

⏱️Time: 5 min
📚Field: Dev Econ
🗓️Closes: Sept 30

[Social Science Prediction Platform @socscipredict]

New on the SSPP: what will be the outcomes of a livelihood support program in Iraq for microentrepreneurs? Study by Andrea Caflisch et al.
https://t.co/XXZm2IKdpb

⏱️Time: 10 min
📚Field: Dev Econ
🗓️Closes: Sept 30

[Social Science Prediction Platform @socscipredict]

New on the SSPP: How does remote work impact job satisfaction and productivity among call center agents in Turkey? Study by Cevat Giray Aksoy, @I_Am_NickBloom, and co-authors.
https://t.co/Y2OZcMbolK

⏱️Time: 5 min
📚Field: Econ
🗓️Closes: Aug 31

[Social Science Prediction Platform @socscipredict]

New on the SSPP: what are the impacts of AI-driven mental health smartphone apps in Mexico? @M_Angeluc, @raissafabregas, and @antoniaavazquez welcome your predictions!
https://t.co/bR6sbPEKqU

⏱️Time: 5 min
📚Field: Econ
🗓️Closes: Aug 13

[Eva Vivalt @evavivalt]

New short meta-survey on the SSPP: can you predict how well people predict?

👇

[Social Science Prediction Platform @socscipredict]

🚨4 surveys close June 30! Make predictions at:
https://t.co/tVApcqEWxA

1⃣ Predicting tax non-compliance in Kampala, Uganda
2⃣ Politically motivated reasoning
3⃣ Predicting the impacts of self-promotion
4⃣ Do different effect sizes in meta-analyses lead to different conclusions?

[Eva Vivalt @evavivalt]

Delighted to have received an Alfred P. Sloan Foundation grant for the next phase of the Social Science Prediction Platform!

Some exciting new developments coming soon... watch this space! @socscipredict @SloanFoundation @econuoft

[Social Science Prediction Platform @socscipredict]

New on the SSPP: How does using self-promotional language impact responses to requests for support? @jennychang743 et al. designed a field experiment and invite you to predict their findings:
https://t.co/0lxgEMx1Jb

⏱️Time: 10 min
📚Field: Econ, Psych
🗓️Closes: June 30

[Social Science Prediction Platform @socscipredict]

New on the SSPP: How does subsidizing early-maturity rice seeds and farmer education impact farmers' decisions in Punjab? New study by Piyush Gandhi, who welcomes your predictions!
https://t.co/47gZWtsO1U

⏱️Time: 5 min
📚Field: Econ
🗓️Closes: July 15

[Social Science Prediction Platform @socscipredict]

New on the SSPP: Do different effect sizes in meta-analyses lead to different conclusions? April Wang et al. look forward to your predictions!
https://t.co/eeuCDu9FlV

⏱️Time: 5 min
📚Field: Econ
🗓️Closes: June 30

[Social Science Prediction Platform @socscipredict]

New on the SSPP: Do business support programs actually help businesses grow and succeed in the UK? @SomeLadyBrackin and Rob Fuller welcome your predictions on turnover and employment outcomes!
https://t.co/tVApcqEWxA

⏱️15 min
📚Field: Econ
🗓️Closes: June 30

[Social Science Prediction Platform @socscipredict]

🚨Closing this Saturday, May 31! How accurate are CEO forecasts of future revenues? Don't miss the chance to make a prediction on this survey and be entered into the lottery for $100.

[Social Science Prediction Platform @socscipredict]

New on the SSPP: How do CEOs forecast future revenues and how accurate are they? @I_Am_NickBloom, @m_codreanu, and Robert Fletcher welcome your predictions!
https://t.co/f3IYzidJts

⏱️Time: 10 min
📚Field: Management
🗓️Closes: May 31