SK慧

~Fuck fear~
#EWtrader #Liquiditytrader

[SK慧 @SoKei_11]

Good advice

[The Kobeissi Letter @KobeissiLetter]

What just happened?

The S&P 500 just erased nearly -$2 TRILLION of market cap just hours after 3rd strongest US jobs report in 18 months.

Meanwhile, Bitcoin is officially down over -50% from its record high in October 2025.

What's happening? Let us explain.

(a thread)

[NoLimit @NoLimitGains]

The stocks Jensen Huang is indirectly telling you to buy in 2026:

[CMS Invests @cmsinvests]

After the $NVDA chip boom, money will rotate from semis like $MU and $AMD to companies that BUILD the AI data centers.

$SMCI and $DELL are perfectly positioned for this rotation:

- Both ship powerful GPU packed AI servers + full racks with liquid cooling

- Massive demand from hyperscalers & enterprises

$DELL: $43B AI backlog, targeting $50B AI server revenue in FY27

$SMCI: FY26 revenue guide raised to
over $40B, 100%+ YoY growth quarters

Picks & shovels phase heating up.

Most don’t even realize, but the rotation has already started.

[Justin Banks @RealJGBanks]

THE SUPER CYCLE PHASES

Phase 1 was Semis:
$NVDA $ARM $AMD $AVGO $INTC

Next money rotates into the next layers:

Memory:
$MU $WDC $STX $SNDK

Photonics / Optical:
$NOK $LITE $COHR $AAOI $GLW $CIEN $MRVL

Now it’s hitting

Compute / AI Data Centers:
$IREN $CIFR $WULF $CORZ $NBIS $CRWV $P

Next

Materials / Rare Earths:
$MP $USAR $UUUU $FCX $AA

Networking:
$ANET $AVGO $MRVL $CSCO

Power / Grid / Cooling:
$VRT $ETN $GEV $CEG $SMR $OKLO

Space:
$ASTS $RKLB $LUNR $PL

Defense / Drones:
$KTOS $AVAV $ONDS $LMT

Robotics / Autonomy:
$TSLA $PATH $SYM $SERV

[Finn Stockinger @FinnStockinger]

Timing is Everything. $SMCI: When Fundamentals Outrun the Fear 🚀

I just did it again.

I jumped into a "problem child" stock that most of the market had written off.

I grabbed $SMCI at $27 right before yesterday’s earnings.

Today, the stock is up over 20%.

Why take the risk after the nightmare this company has put investors through?

➡️The China export scandal and former exec drama? I knew.

➡️The DOJ investigation and the missing audit? I knew.

➡️The 2024 accounting red flags? Every investor has those burned into their brain.

But in this market, timing is everything.

When a company is generating billions in revenue and scaling at this pace despite a fire in the legal department, you can’t just look away.

$SMCI is an established player - they are clearing out the old baggage while staying at the center of the AI infrastructure boom.

Key takeaways from yesterday’s earnings:

1️⃣EPS crushed expectations:

$0.84 actual vs. the $0.61 projected.

That’s realized profit, not just a "narrative."

2️⃣Margins are stabilizing:

The jump back to 10.1% shows they’ve regained pricing power and aren't just buying market share.

3️⃣ Demand isn't going anywhere:

Next quarter is projected to hit up to $12.5 billion in revenue.

AI giants are still queuing up for their liquid-cooled servers.

Signs they’re actually turning the corner:

➡️DLC Dominance:

They’ve successfully scaled Direct Liquid Cooling (DLC) production, shipping record volumes this quarter.

It’s no longer a prototype - it’s a massive, high-margin revenue stream.

➡️Operational Clean-up:

Management confirmed that despite the audit delays, they haven't found any need to restate previous financial results.

This is a huge win for credibility.

➡️Supply Chain Resilience:

Their new Malaysia facility is coming online, which will significantly lower production costs and help sustain those 10%+ margins.

���️The Reality:

Operationally, SMCI is firing on all cylinders.

The paperwork - the audit and the 20-F - is a mess, but with cash flows this strong, there’s a massive incentive to get it resolved.

Buying at the point of maximum fear, when the fundamentals are this disconnected from the stock price, is how you catch the real moves.

👇
I know @ParadisLabs also jumped into $SMCI - what do you guys think?

Is anyone else in this with us, or were you all waiting for a "safe entry" that’s now 20% more expensive?

[Esther & Michael @SuperLuckeee]

10 years ago, AMD was trading at $2 and up 21500% now.

AMD was losing money, but their technology was powerful.

20 stocks with same set-up as AMD (price target 1 year from now):

1. $SMCI (~$35) Full-rack liquid-cooled AI GPU servers shipped direct to data centers at scale. PT: $70

2. $APLD (~$40) Building AI factory campuses for hyperscalers just signed a $7.5B lease. PT: $120

3. $VIAV (~$54) Tests and validates every optical AI data center link before it goes live. PT: $200

4. $SOUN (~$9) Conversational AI agents handling drive-thrus, healthcare, and enterprises at scale. PT: $30

5. $DOCN (~$161) Inference cloud for AI startups saving 15% vs AWS — 254% ARR growth. PT: $600

6. $FORM (~$150) Advanced probe cards that test every AI chip before it ships from the fab. PT: $400

7. $AEHR (~$96) Burns-in and stress-tests silicon carbide and AI chips before deployment. PT: $225

8. $ACMR (~$55) Wet cleaning tools that remove nanoscale contaminants from every AI wafer. PT: $160

9. $POWI (~$78) Power conversion chips cutting energy waste inside every AI server. PT: $210

10. $WOLF (~$43) Silicon carbide wafers enabling more efficient power delivery for AI data centers. PT: $100

11. $AMBA (~$75) Edge AI inference chips for surveillance, autonomous vehicles, and robotics. PT: $120

12. $SLAB (~$220) Mixed-signal chips connecting the sensors and IoT devices in every AI edge system. PT: $600

13. $MKSI (~$300) Gas and power delivery systems used inside every AI semiconductor fab. PT: $600

14. $OSIS (~$240) AI-powered inspection systems securing airports, ports, and critical infrastructure. PT: $400

15. $KOPN (~$5) Microdisplay chips for AR/VR headsets running AI at the edge. PT: $12

16. $MAPS (~$1) Maps and spatial data powering AI navigation and autonomous vehicle systems. PT: $2

17. $IONQ (~$54) Quantum computing hardware that will run AI workloads beyond classical chip limits. PT: $200

18. $AUR (~$7) Autonomous trucking AI hitting commercial launch across U.S. freight lanes. PT: $22

19. $SERV (~$10) Sidewalk delivery robots bringing AI physical autonomy to last-mile logistics. PT: $25

20. $BBAI (~$4) AI decisioning software for defense and intelligence agencies at classified scale. PT: $12

My favorite 4 are AUR, APLD, IONQ, SERV. Especially if the world becomes more automated with robots and self-driving.

[World of Statistics @stats_feed]

🚢 Vessels Crossed Strait of Hormuz

🟢 Feb 26 → 132 vessels
🟢 Feb 27 → 128 vessels
🟡 Feb 28 → 98 vessels
🟠 Mar 01 → 18 vessels
🔴 Mar 02 → 7 vessels
🔴 Mar 03 → 2 vessels
🔴 Mar 04 → 2 vessels
🔴 Mar 05 → 1 vessel
❌ Mar 06 → 0 vessels
🔴 Mar 07 → 1 vessel
🔴 Mar 08 → 2 vessels
🔴 Mar 09 → 1 vessel
🔴 Mar 10 → 2 vessels
🔴 Mar 11 → 1 vessel
❌ Mar 12 → 0 vessels
🔴 Mar 13 → 3 vessels
🔴 Mar 14 → 1 vessel
❌ Mar 15 → 0 vessels
🔴 Mar 16 → 1 vessel
🔴 Mar 17 → 2 vessels
🔴 Mar 18 → 1 vessel
❌ Mar 19 → 0 vessels
🔴 Mar 20 → 1 vessel
🔴 Mar 21 → 2 vessels
🔴 Mar 22 → 3 vessels
🔴 Mar 23 → 5 vessels
🔴 Mar 24 → 6 vessels
🔴 Mar 25 → 2 vessels
🔴 Mar 26 → 7 vessels
�� Mar 27 → 4 vessels
🟠 Mar 28 → 12 vessels
🔴 Mar 29 → 2 vessels
🔴 Mar 30 → 4 vessels
🔴 Mar 31 → 5 vessels
🔴 Apr 1 → 8 vessels
🔴 Apr 2 → 6 vessels
🟠 Apr 3 → 14 vessels
🟠 Apr 4 → 10 vessels
🟠 Apr 5 → 11 vessels
🔴 Apr 6 → 7 vessels
🟠 Apr 7 → 11 vessels
🔴 Apr 8 → 5 vessels
🔴 Apr 9 → 9 vessels
🔴 Apr 10 → 8 vessels
🟠 Apr 11 → 14 vessels
🟠 Apr 12 → 14 vessels
🔴 Apr 13 → 7 vessels
🟠 Apr 14 → 16 vessels
🔴 Apr 15 → 9 vessels
🔴 Apr 16 → 5 vessels
🔴 Apr 17 → 8 vessels

Sources: Windward Maritime Intelligence, Lloyd’s List, PIB India, regional briefings, Maritime News, Kpler Risk and Compliance.

[Michael McDonough @M_McDonough]

🚢Iran says the Strait of Hormuz is "completely open" again. Now the real question: are vessels actually transiting?

Our Hormuz crossings index updates every 30 min on a rolling 24-hr basis — by direction & vessel type. Watch the tape, not the talk.

[drarasu @drarasu71]

Medicine supply is stable today — but the clock started 6 weeks ago.

By late May–June, when old stock runs out, prices (already up 30–40%) will hit patients — especially in primary care.

Malaysia is 34 million people. We can’t rely on fragile global supply chains forever.

Medicine security is not optional. It is national security.

🎙️ My @BFMradio interview: https://t.co/iH7r5CbdYh

#HealthcarePolicy #Malaysia #MedicineSecurity #PrimaryCare

[Sohbet Karbuz @sohbetkarbuz]

here is a free website where you can see daily breakdown of vessel types passing through the Strait of Hormuz in an interactive way
https://t.co/6Az1gU104Z

[HFI Research @HFI_Research]

For the oil market, these are the only 5 charts that matter right now.

From Goldman:

[Jack Prandelli @jackprandelli]

Oil is the world's most actively traded commodity

A quick crash course:

What's inside a barrel:

⛽ Petrol 40-205°C
✈️ Kerosene/Jet fuel 150-300°C
🚛 Diesel 230-330°C
🛣️ Residue/Bitumen 350°C+

The benchmarks that move markets:

🇺🇸 WTI US standard. Light, sweet.
🇬🇧 Brent Global benchmark. 70% of world trade.
🇷🇺 Urals Russia's heavy export crude.
🇦🇪 Dubai Middle East benchmark.

The moments that shaped everything:
→ 1973 Arab Oil Embargo prices quadrupled overnight
→ 1980 Iran-Iraq War $14 to $35/barrel
→ 1990 Gulf War Saddam invades Kuwait. Oil spikes.
→ 2008 $147.27/barrel. All-time record. Until now.

And today?

Hormuz closed.
The largest supply shock in history.
Every lesson from that timeline is playing out in real time.
Right now.

If you want to know what happen next subscribe to my newsletter, link in my bio

[JH @CRUDEOIL231]

I feel like the oil market has already crossed the point of no return, regardless of how this war plays out.

At first this wave just swallowed up everything East of Suez. We saw force majeures popping up all over Asia and premiums going through the roof.

But now the Atlantic wall has officially crumbled. Only oil nerds like us are checking this stuff lately, but seriously—just look at the North Sea Platts window and the USGC diffs.

This is nowhere near normal. I know some ppl are getting all hyped up every time a single Handy tanker or LPG carrier squeaks through Hormuz, even claiming there’s a secret fleet of tankers slipping through.

I highly doubt it. If supply was actually fine, Atlantic physical diffs wouldn't be screaming like this. These numbers only happen when you're hitting a massive supply shock.

Like some of smart guys have noted, once you pass a certain threshold, it doesn't even matter if Hormuz reopens—the logistical bottlenecks will make it impossible to absorb the shock anytime soon.

I’m pretty sure we’ve already crossed that line.

#oott #iran

[Open Square Capital @OpenSquareCap]

Goldman's asking "Are We Running Out of Oil" . . . yes.
The two heat maps are telling, Asia first then Europe. Bottom two charts indicates what's to come as the physical commodity air bubble keeps moving. Demand destruction ahead w/prices if this keeps up.

[𝐓𝐨𝐤 𝐇𝐚𝐧𝐠 @Tok_Hang67]

Summary

• PMX minta tangguh pendedahan laporan siasatan pegangan Saham KP SPRM, Azam Baki.

• Pendedahan awal boleh jejaskan imej kerajaan, lebih-lebih lagi jika PRU berlaku tahun ini

• Azam dijangka tamat kontrak 12 Mei.

• Dilaporkan beliau sedang berusaha untuk dilantik sebagai Senator selepas itu.

• Cadangan RCI oleh Anthony Loke tak dipersetujui kabinet.

#TSR

[The Tectonic @thetect0nic]

Young workers should not be trying to become AI-proof. They should be trying to become strategically positioned at the intersection of machine scale and human consequence.

[Iran Military News ☫ 🎒 @IranMilitaryEN]

Intelligence Assessment: Sometime around early next week, the biggest and most intense phase of the current war will begin. Iran and the resistance are preparing to ‘end Trump.’ This week’s negotiation proposals are clearly a ruse to divert Iran’s attention from the final phase of the battle.

[Ross Hendricks @Ross__Hendricks]

Trump and Bibi up to their same dirty tricks

Less than 24 hours after declaring a five day cease fire on Iranian energy infrastructure, US/Israel just dropped bombs on a key Iranian gas processing facility

Iran now doing what it promised: opening up on GCC energy infrastructure in kind

Brent crude #oil back over $100 and futures tanking

Are we having fun yet?