chandra mohan singh

[Alter Ego @AlterEgo_eth]

How to build a self-learning Polymarket BTC UP/DOWN trading bot using Hermes Agent (FULL GUIDE)

No coding experience required. Here's the full setup in 7 steps

Hermes is an open-source autonomous agent by NousResearch - an AI lab backed by $70M from Paradigm

The key difference from other agents: Hermes doesn't just execute instructions - it accumulates knowledge after every trade and builds its own strategy over time. The longer it runs, the smarter it gets

Step 1. Install Hermes via Atomic

> Go to https://t.co/0xdjCNxmuI - this is the easiest way to run Hermes without touching CLI

> Download the app or choose "Run in Cloud" if you don't want a local setup

> Connect your model API - Claude, OpenAI Codex, or free local models like Gemma or Qwen

> Connect your Telegram bot via the Skills tab for real-time notifications on every trade

Step 2. Feed it a trading repo

> Instead of building logic from scratch - find a GitHub repo with ready-built trading logic and give it to Hermes

> Best repos for Polymarket crypto UP/DOWN markets right now:

• JLowo/gengar_polymarket_bot - Quarter-Kelly sizing, Brownian motion probability model, circuit breaker, Telegram

• joicodev/polymarket-bot - Black-Scholes, EWMA volatility, cleanest math

• djienne/Polymarket-bot - two strategies: Gabagool arb and Smart Ape momentum, web dashboard

> Pick one and send Hermes the repo link with your requirements

Step 3. Key prompt to send Hermes

> Tell it to build the logic from the repo, migrate to Polymarket CLOB v2, use Quarter-Kelly for position sizing, keep DRY_RUN=true by default, and add tests before going live

Step 4. Create a trading wallet

> Ask Hermes to create a wallet it will manage independently

> Confirm you understand the risks

> Deposit funds only after DRY_RUN testing is complete

Step 5. Migrate to CLOB v2

> Send Hermes the executor update prompt to migrate from legacy py_clob_client to py_clob_client_v2

> This is critical - the old client doesn't support current Polymarket infrastructure

Key settings: host=https://t.co/P5xcIBWuSm, chain_id=POLYGON, use_server_time=True, retry_on_error=True

Step 6. Configure your .env file

> Hermes will set up all environment variables: PRIVATE_KEY, SAFE_ADDRESS, MIN_EDGE, MIN_BET, MAX_BET, BANKROLL, DRY_RUN

Never expose private keys in chat or logs - Hermes has built-in safety skills for this

Step 7. Run tests before going live

> Ask Hermes to run pytest and verify: Kelly sizing, fee calculation, probability estimation, order sizing, executor initialization

Green tests = ready to trade

Start with $1–$2 trades. Let Hermes observe the results, build its own patterns, and adapt

The self-learning loop does the heavy lifting - your job is to let it run

Like/RT/Bookmark if this was helpful!

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