@SportsSturm Timing of Micah trade was so bad. GB got him immediately for ‘25. We got Clark for ‘25, a ‘26 1st (equal to ‘25 2nd) and a ‘27 1st (equal to ‘25 3rd)… if the “round per year” waiting tax applies.
Or:
NYG present value: #10 overall
DAL present value: Clark and 2nd and a 3rd.
@TheDraftShow During a 30 visit, does DAL learn anything useful about OTHER team’s draft plans… especially if the players have already visited several teams picking ahead of DAL?
To think that we aren't just going "to the Moon," but rather traveling to meet it at an exact point in space... changes everything.
It all comes down to orbital mechanics: arriving at the precise location, at the precise moment.
One tiny error... and it simply doesn't happen
@DannyPhantom24 Reminds me of Clemson’s Dabo hire: ridiculed as not an X-O’s strategist (hadn’t been a coordinator prior to HC), but great organizational & people skills.
CEO-type doesn’t always work (but has for Clemson). Hope it works for DAL… early returns encouraging.
@Kyle_Youmans Twitter on 20: Do NFL teams have access to player position data from College games? With so many prospects skipping workouts (e.g Will Johnson), wondering if NFL teams can still measure long speed (while media scouts depending on combine workouts are left guessing)
“Why aren’t you cheering Trump & DOGE? I thought you wanted spending and deficit cuts!"
Because I’ve been doing this for 25 years and can’t be tricked by gimmicky nonsense. Trump’s first term added $8 trillion in enacted spending hikes and tax cuts to the deficit - half of which was unrelated to the pandemic. This time around, Trump has proposed roughly $8 trillion more in tax cuts and spending hikes over the decade. And right now, a GOP Congress is preparing to abandon most reconciliation cuts and instead add $325 billion this year in new spending. We’re headed towards $4 trillion deficits within a decade.
So, no, I don’t get excited when DOGE cancels $1 billion in govt contracts. Or saves $3 billion in federal workforce reductions out of a $7,000 billion budget. Not when Trump and Congress are also preparing to add $800 billion more annually in proposed new tax cuts and spending.
And no, the huge savings are not coming. Even (unrealistically) eliminating 20% of the federal workforce would save $60 billion, and overhauling federal systems to sharply reduce payment errors may save perhaps $80 billion (and is probably unlikely too). For all of DOGE’s bluster, administrative and executive reforms would at best save 1-2% of federal spending and offset only a small fraction of Trump’s red ink agenda.
That leaves trying to unilaterally impound spending such as USAID—which is wildly illegal—or actually going to Congress to pare back spending the constitutional way. But Trump has already taken Social Security, Medicare, defense, veterans, border (and interest) off the table, which is 2/3 of all spending and is driving deficits. And the GOP Congress seems ready to give up on cutting the remaining one-third of spending. Want to cut spending and the deficit? How about they stop passing budget-busting bills. Don’t brag about your coupon-clipping frugality at the same time you are buying a $250,000 Ferrari. I’m not going to cheer Trump and DOGE for adding “only” $750 billion to deficits instead of $800 billion. We’re still going backwards.
I’ve spent decades studying the federal budget. I know that $7 trillion(!) behemoth inside and out – where the money really goes, and where the savings opportunities lie. So I can also detect bullshitters who talk tough about trillion-dollar spending cuts without doing their homework. It’s the ones who claim most spending goes to undefined “waste,” federal salaries, immigrants, foreigners, Ukraine, or non-working welfare recipients. It’s the ones who claim we can easily balance the budget or cut $1 trillion without specifying exactly what line-items to cut. Or that we can return to 2019 spending levels for each program, which means a 20% inflationary cut, defaulting on the federal debt, and kicking off every senior who has since retired into Social Security and Medicare. It’s all hot air and empty bluster. Tough talk without following through on anything substantive. Just wait until you see the final deficit numbers in October.
And this is why GOP movements to cut spending always fail. They make absurdly ambitious promises without doing their homework, understanding where the money goes, and specifying real plans to fix it. You can’t significantly cut the deficit just by cutting waste, firing bureaucrats, and defunding immigrants and foreigners. There are no easy short cuts. You have to stop cutting taxes and then address Social Security, Medicare, defense, and a lot of other popular programs. Wake me when the GOP goes there.
So, no, I will not get excited about a couple billion in DOGE savings on one hand while Trump pushes Congress to add $8 trillion over the decade in tax cuts and spending with the other hand. I’m not that gullible.
@davidhelman_ Lot of blame to go around. Dak had some critical misses…
- Underthrown Dowdle when he’d beaten LB
- Airmail Lamb down (nullifying DPI so drive killing Guyton hold stood)
- Missing Lamb on skinny post for easy TD
- Missing wide-open Zeke near goal line
FG on all those drives
The is a perfect illustration of the difference between the two parties. Dumbed-down platitudes and slogans versus facts, history and reality. Unfortunately, this country has too many people that consume a steady diet of the former and none of the latter.
@BryanBroaddus Can spending a 4th for Lance ONLY be justified if Dak walks and Lance is starter in ‘25?
Feels like the (prideful) path Jones is on right now…
@MoveTheSticks@BryanBroaddus Does that value distribution remain pretty constant between years? I assume the general pattern holds (but maybe with different cutoffs)
If it shifts between years (and I’d assume it would), are team’s internal “trade value charts” tweaked each year to reflect this?
@davidhelman_ You are REALLY good at this & am excited to see what other doors open up for you! (Always loved your work with the Draft Show... we were so spoiled having Brugler, Broaddus & you).