druid

I am albino, you wished to see me?

[druid @spergwit]

One Nation's strategy should be to aim for opposition in their own right in 2028 (and subsequently complete TLD) and then government in 2031 with a possible majority in both houses. It is actually preferable for them to not form government in 2028, whether in their own right or in some alliance with the LNP, and let the material conditions take their course through to 2031. If they were to win in 2028, they would almost certainly have to form a coalition with the LNP because it is impossible for them to win a senate majority. The LNP would likely take advantage of their political naivety by disproportionately occupying powerful ministries, leaking to the press, asserting their power via the senate to influence (water down) ON legislation, and ultimately re-staking their own claim to political relevance.

2028 - outwardly aim for government and campaign against Labor/Albanese; internally aim for opposition without the LNP, focus on getting the upper end of the likely 9-13 senator range to make possible a senate majority in 2031. Use these three years to access departments/data and properly draft legislation/policy, while sorting through a huge new cohort of MPs (many of whom will likely be duds).

2031 - aim for government and a high-30s primary vote, campaign hard to secure a double majority (will be dependent on, as a rough estimate, about 8 LNP defections if ON manage to climb up to 36-38% primary).

And between now and 2031, put in as much effort in every single state election campaign (even just to hold the balance of power) to minimise the likelihood of state government obstruction to a future federal ON government.

Having no state leader and not even a subtle ground game less than 150 days before the VIC election doesn't exactly convey their awareness of the above.

[druid @spergwit]

One Nation's strategy should be to aim for opposition in their own right in 2028 (and subsequently complete TLD) and then government in 2031 with a possible majority in both houses. It is actually preferable for them to not form government in 2028, whether in their own right or in some alliance with the LNP, and let the material conditions take their course through to 2031. If they were to win in 2028, they would almost certainly have to form a coalition with the LNP because it is impossible for them to win a senate majority. The LNP would likely take advantage of their political naivety by disproportionately occupying powerful ministries, leaking to the press, asserting their power via the senate to influence (water down) ON legislation, and ultimately re-staking their own claim to political relevance.

2028 - outwardly aim for government and campaign against Labor/Albanese; internally aim for opposition without the LNP, focus on getting the upper end of the likely 9-13 senator range to make possible a senate majority in 2031. Use these three years to access departments/data and properly draft legislation/policy, while sorting through a huge new cohort of MPs (many of whom will likely be duds).

2031 - aim for government and a high-30s primary vote, campaign hard to secure a double majority (will be dependent on, as a rough estimate, about 8 LNP defections if ON manage to climb up to 36-38% primary).

And between now and 2031, put in as much effort in every single state election campaign (even just to hold the balance of power) to minimise the likelihood of state government obstruction to a future federal ON government.

Having no state leader and not even a subtle ground game less than 150 days before the VIC election doesn't exactly convey their awareness of the above.

[druid @spergwit]

@Dandyist @Haryan_Glaeddyv Isn’t this your man @welkreig

[druid @spergwit]

@Whereofonecant7 I distinguished it from shitboxes 😭

[druid @spergwit]

William Blake and the Eternals

[druid @spergwit]

@tradcathmexican Your reading comprehension is poor.

[druid @spergwit]

The rise of the Naarmgroid correlates strongly with the young male lower-middle class appropriation of Gant, Ralph Lauren linen shirts, RM Williams, RayBan clubmasters, and the purchase of a BMW 3 series or Mercedes C Class as a first car.

The bourgeois private school male reinventing themselves through a new system of status signs: the mullet and the moustache, shitty niche streetwear brands and faded jeans, performative tribalism about local coffee roasters, the conscious change in speech to broaden the accent and an argumentative style of “it’s not hard, just don’t be a racist cunt bro”, intentionally buying a shitbox car or a 1980s Volvo 200 series or an old LR Discovery or a VW Van to convey the ‘tasteful poor’ aesthetic, learning how to play chords for Oasis songs on the guitar for a future beachside camping trip, proclaiming their support for the Greens even though their parents are “full blown brainwashed liberals”, disavowing the toxic culture at their APS school, spending Saturday nights at the Provincial and Yah Yahs instead of in Richmond and Chapel St, Sunday afternoons at the Great Northern or North Fitzroy Arms before creeping back home across the river to Kew, and taking shirtless photos at BTV wearing the biker cap of a girl who they’ll try to get with later that night by channeling their newfound sensitive masculinity à la Keli Holiday.

All topped off with a cultural shallowness epitomised in that unmistakable Triple J taste where Spacey Jane is the best band of the last three decades and Lime Cordiale have such a unique sound.

Over the last 3-5 years, there was also a corresponding increase in the number of lower-middle class guys who desire the social status of the founding Naarmgroid stock. The male who went to a $5k a year regional school, got a 70 ATAR but was still slightly above average intelligence for his cohort, moved to Melbourne to go to Deakin or Latrobe to study science or commerce, and has embraced the Naarmgroid style because of (a) an inferiority complex being from outside the city; and (b) to get women. The guy who, rather than resenting his rich parents, resents his poor bogan parents.

[druid @spergwit]

@Rcbz2n Your reading comprehension is evidently poor.

[druid @spergwit]

@musi_lunghi 18th Brumaire is most applicable to trump imo

[druid @spergwit]

@augustcarelia Agree with the first sentence

[druid @spergwit]

@augustcarelia It’s more so general bourgeois purification not right wing purification.

[druid @spergwit]

So believe me when I say
There’s no hope for the USA

[druid @spergwit]

I should clarify I’m not sold on the term ‘Monocultural’, as it may just serve to needlessly over-complicate anti-immigration rhetoric, but the media and ALP are certainly moving towards solidifying multiculturalism as a key point of contention in the current electoral cycle. Despite Minns being so sure that multiculturalism was not up for debate last year, it seems Labor now want the confrontation.

It is inescapable that either party will have to invoke some term to explain their ‘vision’ or conception of the country during the campaign. For Labor, this is very clearly ‘unity’ through diversity and multiculturalism. One Nation have to counter it with something, whether the Monoculture or an alternative.

[druid @spergwit]

The Monoculturalism-Multiculturalism debate can be the all encompassing theme of the 2028 campaign if — and it’s a big if — ON and sympathetic media properly expound the position to step over the cleverly misdirected hysteria by the Left about ‘no more kebabs, sushi, and curry’.

[druid @spergwit]

Re Vic state election from @KosSamaras
“The old Labor coalition is being pulled apart, and where it still holds is now almost entirely down to diversity.”

[druid @spergwit]

The window
And the tree in the wind

[druid @spergwit]

Come hither, come hither

https://t.co/K56MjllL6p