"The bursting of the Bitcoin bubble"
- The Economist, October 2011
People have been calling Bitcoin a bubble since it was worth $30 in 2011.
12 years later it's worth $30,000.
If you're still calling it a bubble or a fad, maybe now is the time to ask why you've been wrong so far.
Ignore the price for a moment. What is Bitcoin actually?
It's the solution to a global problem: How to store wealth long-term without the risk of debasement and seizure.
It's is a technological breakthrough.
Teslas are engineered to be the best car.
iPhones are engineered to be the best mobile device.
Bitcoin is engineered to be the best store of wealth.
Do you think investing in tech stocks is normal but investing in a technology that addresses one of the biggest problem on earth (storing value) is dumb? 🤔
The majority of people are storing their wealth in assets that leak value to inflation or debasement over time and are liable to seizure by increasingly capricious governments.
Sovereign debt, equities, real estate, gold, fine art... They are all imperfect stores of wealth, but they were the best we had until Bitcoin.
"But Bitcoin has no intrinsic value!"
Here's why Bitcoin is valuable:
It's Finite: There are only 21 million coins. There's no central banker who can debase your wealth.
It's Divisible: you can buy / sell $0.10 worth, or $10 Billion worth.
It Can't Be Seized: It can't be physically taken from you. There are ways to store it so that no external party can take it from you. You have full control over your property. Do you know anything else like that?
It's Supply Inelastic: Unlike almost everything else on earth, as the price of Bitcoin rises, there's no way to make more of it. That prevents the price from falling due to a sudden supply glut.
It's Portable: You can move anywhere in the world and have access to your Bitcoin without permission. It weighs nothing and you can move across borders without anyone knowing you own it.
It's Free From Counter-party Risk: The entire financial system could melt down around you. JP Morgan could go bankrupt. And you could still have your coins without needing to be bailed out by anyone.
It's Globally Accessible: Storing wealth is a global problem. And Bitcoin isn't jurisdiction specific. No one gets special treatment - it's a fair protocol available to all.
No other asset on earth has these combined characteristics. It had to be invented.
#Bitcoin was engineered as the ideal store of value.
It has gained more since March 2020 than the S&P500 has gained since the bottom of 2009.
It's not just some widget that anonymous people like me are hallucinating over.
Now that Blackrock, Fidelity, Deutsche Bank, Crédit Agricole, Citadel, and other large institutions are about to offer it to their clients you can either dig your heels in and say that they're just getting in on the scam, or you can try to understand why 70% of supply hasn't been sold in over a year despite large volatility.
Why are Billionaires stacking Bitcoin?
Why is famous trader Paul Tudor Jones saying he's "never sat on a horse as long as he's sat on Bitcoin?"
Are we all morons? I certainly don't feel like a moron watching investments 10x over a 4 year period.
The time to ask questions with an open mind is running out. The institutions are coming. And the fiat wave won't be far behind them.
The window of opportunity on the most obvious investment of our generation is closing.
You'll still benefit by stacking BTC at $300K a coin.
But you'll hate yourself for ignoring this tweet.
The leading candidate of the 22nd largest economy in the world wants to destroy the central bank.
And he's providing a playbook for future politicians who want to turn high inflation into a campaign advantage.
The days of human-run monetary policy are coming to an end.
#Bitcoin will provide humanity's first monetary constant.
https://t.co/t2L4Rsal0E
Kon'nichiwa.
🇪🇺 EU long bond yields are breaking out
🇺🇸 US 10 year yields are ready to break through last year's highs
🇯🇵 Japan says they'll sell more US Treasuries at around 150 USDJPY. Dollar-Yen 145.5 and climbing 🍿
Some people were born without electricity in their homes and later watched Neil Armstrong walk on the moon.
The future will shock us.
But will it get here in time?
I talk about the debt spiral vs. rapid tech advancements (and what it means for #Bitcoin) in my latest piece.
Tl;dr: The debt spiral is here. YCC is coming. But the future is bright for humanity.
Finite BTC will gain purchasing power as the fiat system prints itself into oblivion and technology brings abundance.
BTC will be adopted organically.
Humanity wins big time in the end.
https://t.co/eX3s8YsUhb
That feel when bond-heavy institutions are one ETF approval away from starting a bidding war for your #Bitcoin
High-Alpine morning espresso hits different when you've front-run the suits.
#Bitcoin priced in long-term US Bond ETF (TLT)
If you think BTC volatility is painful, imagine the pain of vaporizing your wealth by lending money to the US government for 20+ years.
Global bond rout underway.
TradFi is shook. #Bitcoin folks knew this was coming.
Many more shoes to drop. The Fed buys everything in the end, or it all comes down. Stack Sats and enjoy summer ☀️⛱️
DOJ considering fraud charges against Binance.
Only one target left to clean up before BlackRock gets the go ahead.
US really wants to see what's on the other side of this level for BNB.
Will it hold? 👀
- BOJ yield curve "control"
- US Interest payments going parabolic
- Yields nearing highs despite much lower inflation
- Treasury to dump $1.8 Trillion in new debt onto the market
Fitch is underselling it. Global sovereign debt is a dumpster fire.
MicroStrategy is about to pump another $750,000,000 into #Bitcoin@Saylor is channeling demand for a Bitcoin ETF into demand for MicroStrategy shares.
He's printing infinite MicroStrategy shares and buying finite BTC.
Central Banks and governments should take note.
Looking at TradingView with complete apathy today because if humans just unlocked the key to abundant energy, then literally everyone is getting rich 🎉
My grandchildren will think we lived like medieval peasants 😂
8.1 Billion people on the planet.
The pessimist calls this overpopulation.
The optimist knows that top-tier education is available for free online, so the odds of scientific breakthroughs increase with population.
Superconductors might be about to change everything.
Abundant energy? Desalination? Cheap housing? Cheap everything?
When everything is abundant and anyone can build anything with AI + Robotics, corporate profits will trend to zero.
Stocks as a store of value will make a lot less sense in this world.
Parabolic issuance sovereign debt even less so...
Asteroid mined gold? Lol
When everything is abundant, engineered scarcity #Bitcoin will be even more valuable.
Just need to make it work in a world where people have quantum computers in their pocket (or brain) 😄