Funny how people love when you’re right… until you’re right about something they didn’t want to hear.
When you’re correct about a feel-good outcome, like #Bitcoin going up, most people clap, smile, and maybe join the celebration.
But when you’re right about something controversial? Something they mocked, dismissed, or loudly opposed?
That kind of truth gets you labeled arrogant, lucky, or worse.
But here’s the twist: if someone gets it right, especially when most got it wrong, shouldn’t that spark curiosity, not contempt?
Truth feels like an attack when you’re loyal to a lie.
If your view was the popular one… and it still failed, then the real lesson isn’t to double down on ego, it’s to rethink your lens.
Most people never pause to ask:
“Why was I so sure, and yet so wrong?”
“What bias blinded me?”
“What can I learn from the person who got it right?”
Humility isn’t admitting you’re wrong, it’s being willing to grow from it.
Let’s stop resenting those who saw it coming. Start studying them.
In a world full of noise, being able to change your mind is a quiet superpower.
Cycle shenanigans.. That would line up with Sell in May and go away meme talk.
Around a year + a couple of weeks after the Bitcoin halving, a decent crash occurs. It's cyclic.
We're a year and a couple/few weeks after the last halving now.
While we hold the Monthly and Quarterly Pivot R1's, I'll aim higher.
But, I'm forever scanning for the equal and opposite possibilities.
Manage yo' risk, or the market will manage it for you, and you won't like how it goes about it lmfao.
One of the best paragraph I ever read and that is still printed in my mind:
"Trading is an art that is learned not by adding something to one’s knowledge, but by removing something from one’s nature.
Waiting, for a trader, is the most refined and difficult form of action to master.
To wait and to do nothing are two very different things, within waiting lies opportunity.
In the time “wasted” waiting, the mindset of a true trader is forged.
Waiting is not for everyone, only those who have understood that trading is also a patient hunt, waiting for the prey to stick its nose out of the den, are capable of “wasting” time wisely.
Boredom is a treacherous sidekick of the ego, an apparently harmless ally, yet one that ensnares the minds of many traders.
Lurking, like a cat, scanning for opportunities: it’s a concept universally accepted in theory, but practically ignored by a vast number of aspiring traders.
Doing nothing and waiting are two very different things.
Observing patiently, awaiting the right moment, is boring, very boring.
Opportunities will be missed.
But that is the price to pay to avoid unexpected setbacks, ones that often stem from a small trade made to escape boredom or to chase the latest “trend” everyone is talking about."
"Fisherman's Guide To Why BTC Price Is Going To The Moon"
It’s 2020. I'm up in Darwin, flickin’ lures, chasing the elusive barramundi — the fish that turns grown men into obsessed, tackle-huffing weirdos. They say the 1 metre barramundi is the most exclusive club in Australia, an absolutely right !
But here's the kicker: they’re only biting one lure. One.
Not your $40 handcrafted Japanese designer lure that comes with a user manual and a warranty.
Nope.
They’re smashing the humble $8 green bomber.
Looked like something you'd find at the bottom of a bargain bin at BCF. But for months, the barra only had eyes for that thing. Nothing else worked. It became the holy grail of barra fishing.
And everyone knew it.
Enter: The Supply Crunch
First, the local fishos started buying them out.
Then the charter boat operators — the big dogs, the pros — started hoarding them like schooners on a boys weekend when happy hour is about to run out.
They couldn't run charters without green bombers. No lures, no fish, no five-star TripAdvisor reviews. Simple as that.
So what did they do?
They started buying them in bulk.
Stacking redundancy bombers.
Buying spares for the spares.
One bloke reckons he had 40 in his shed like it was a super fund.
Then COVID hits.
Supply chains go belly-up.
Tackle shops go dry.
China’s shut. Shipping containers stuck.
People were driving thousands of kilometres to hunt down a green bomber.
Calling mates in Victoria like: "Oi, can ya chuck a few in the post?"
And then the price…
That $8 lure?
Now going for $180 on the black market.
That’s not a typo. Not a tall tale. That’s a 2,150% gain on a bit of plastic and wire. All because the supply was fixed and demand went up a touch.
**The big concept here, is green bomber lure demand lonly doubled, but with fixed supply, the price of a bomber went parabolic 20x.**
Now, Think About Bitcoin
Bitcoin is the green bomber of global finance.
It’s:
The one thing that actually works.
The thing everyone wants when it matters.
Scarce. Capped at 21 million. No more. Ever.
And we’re only just hitting the start of the institutional barra season.
We’ve got:
ETFs stacking daily
Michael Saylor buying like he's got a cheat code
Tether chucking BTC on the balance sheet like it’s a side hustle
And yet… price hasn’t gone vertical. Why?
Because the market’s still running on paper BTC — IOUs, derivatives, and a bunch of traders selling air pretending it’s Bitcoin.
But when real demand hits — when everyone wants actual, hold-in-your-wallet, can’t-be-rehypothecated BTC?
That’s when it breaks.
The Math Is Stupid Simple
Let’s say for example 20% of gold's market cap flows into BTC.
Gold’s around $14 trillion.
20% is $2.8 trillion.
Bitcoin's current market cap? About $1.3 trillion.
So that $2.8T inflow? That’s not a 20% pump. That’s a 100%+ blow-off top, minimum. And that’s before leverage, panic buying, or FOMO kicks in.
Because again — fixed supply, rising demand = asymmetry.
You don’t need everyone to jump in.
You just need someone big to run out of green bombers.
What To Do?
Simple:
Take your coins off exchanges. Don’t feed the paper machine.
Hold your keys. Be the bloke with 40 green bombers in the shed.
Front-run the barra charter operators. Institutions are just starting to understand that Bitcoin is the only lure that works.
Summary for those at the Pub
Bitcoin is the green bomber of finance.
The price won’t rise linearly — it’ll go parabolic when supply gets pinched.
You won’t be buying BTC at $180,000 because of hype — you’ll be buying it because you have no choice and there’s only one lure that works.
Stack now, before everyone realises the tackle shops are already empty.
You either get in now...
Or you're the bloke chucking $40 lures into the water wondering why you’re not getting a nibble.
The green bomber boys knew.
The Bitcoiners know.
Don't wait till it’s $180 a lure.