Bryon

business owner💴crypto enthusiast

[CCA @CelticConnect_A]

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[EireX @lastman3344]

Right lads,

Bitcoin’s monthly picture into the close is worth a look.
March closed green at +1.81%. April followed with +11.87%. May’s currently red around -3.2%.

The clean stat is this, in every bear market year of the cycle (2014, 2018, 2022), BTC has never strung together three green months in a row.

We’re still tracking that same pattern.
We’re in the distribution phase after the 2024 halving top.
Classic cycle behaviour, strength gets sold into and momentum stays capped.

The smart money uses those pops to lighten up while they keep accumulating the dips.
That’s why you rarely see big consecutive green runs once the peak is in.
Can we get a late reclaim today and flip May green for the first time in a bear year?
Or does it close red and keep history intact?

Red or green close?

What’s your read?

Stay sharp and protect the capital.

EireX | Celtic Connect Alpha | CCA

[Bryon @strawking2]

@lastman3344 😎

[Bryon @strawking2]

@BigFootMau5 Ya definitely I’m doing my best to lean the order book haven’t quite got it down but soon👌

[EireX @lastman3344]

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[EireX @lastman3344]

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[EireX @lastman3344]

Set those reminders lads 🫡

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[Bryon @strawking2]

@lastman3344 let’s do it🔥

[Bryon @strawking2]

@lastman3344 @tootrocka @CelticConnect_A LFG👑🫡

[EireX @lastman3344]

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[Bryon @strawking2]

@lastman3344 That natural wave is on point👌

[EireX @lastman3344]

4AM starts build different.

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London session mapped out.
Weekly roadmap prepared.
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[Bryon @strawking2]

@lastman3344 @the1440club Facts

[EireX @lastman3344]

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Woke up this morning to the lovely news: Facebook chat gone, Instagram account permanently deleted… and now even ChatGPT has me on the naughty step.

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Trade the reaction — not the guess.

[EireX @lastman3344]

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[EireX @lastman3344]

CCA / EIREX VIP MARKET bitcoin:native UPDATE

Right lads, here is where we stand on #Bitcoin as we close out the European session. Price sitting at 78,117 after a savage 4H rejection from the 79,148 supply that has been capping every bounce attempt since the 14th. The 15 minute structure printed bear bias with RSI rolling at 51, the 1H gave us a full bear read with RSI bleeding to 32, proper oversold on the lower timeframes, and the 4H still reads neutral on bias but firmly below VWAP across every timeframe. That below VWAP condition is the key tell here. Volume is coming in normal on the dump, no panic capitulation print, which tells me this is mechanical liquidation flow rather than any fundamental shift in regime.

The structure is clean if you know where to look. The 4H broke down through the 78,849 demand and tagged the 30 day long max pain shelf at 77,585 which is sitting just beneath us. That is the magnet the algos have been pulling price toward since the rejection at 83K value area high earlier in the cycle. Point of control on the 4H volume profile sits right where we are trading, around the 78,200 area, so price is parked on heavy historical acceptance. Below that, 77,103 is the next yellow line of significance, then a complete void down to the green value area low extension near 72,300, but I do not see that print today without a proper catalyst.

Liquidity context tells the real story. CoinGlass shows 101,312 traders rekt in the past 24 hours with 468 million wiped. Longs took 441 million of that while shorts only took 27.5 million. That is a 16 to 1 long side massacre, with the largest single liquidation a 21.59 million Bitget BTC long. Liquidation heatmap on the 3 day and 1 month views shows the yellow magnets we already tagged, the 77,800 to 78,000 zone got swept hard, and the residual liquidity now sits in a thick band between 79,300 and 81,400 to the upside, with the heaviest single cluster at 80,700 to 81,000. That is where the next move pulls toward if we get any kind of reclaim. Below us, liquidity is thin to 77,100, then a real void.

Derivatives are flashing a regime shift. Funding has flipped. Binance BTC accumulated funding now positive at 0.0052 percent, OKX at 0.0155 percent, but Bybit still negative at minus 0.0082 percent. Current funding is green across all three majors, predicted is blank. That tells us the leverage that drove the long liquidation cascade has been flushed and we are entering a cleaner book. Longs to shorts ratio across exchanges shows 47.9 percent longs versus 52.1 percent shorts aggregate. Bybit sits at 44.8 to 55.2, Hyperliquid 44.9 to 55.1, HTX 44.7 to 55.3. That is a meaningful crowd short tilt building beneath us after the long flush. Open interest sits at 57.55 billion, down 2.68 percent on the day, CME bleeding 4.25 percent, Binance OI down 1.59 percent. That is deleveraging, not capitulation. Options OI is 56.62 percent calls versus 43.38 percent puts, with 24 hour volume nearly balanced at 49 to 50. No panic put buying.

So what I am looking at here lads is a textbook liquidation sweep into the 30 day max pain magnet at 77,585, with a clean wick that has not even printed yet. The longs have been disinfected, funding has reset, and the crowd is now leaning short into a level where the algos have historically defended. But and this matters, we have not yet seen the reclaim.

Below VWAP on every timeframe means we do not get to call ourselves bullish until 78,500 reclaims and holds. Until then, we are in a discount zone of the recent range, waiting for either the deeper sweep to 77,585 and 77,103 or the V reclaim back through the broken structure.

CCA waits for confirmation. We do not gamble in dead zones. Patience is the edge, not prediction.

[EireX @lastman3344]

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[EireX @lastman3344]

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[EireX @lastman3344]

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TRADE THE REACTION — NOT THE GUESS.

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