Studious Stoic

Then: CFA, Bulge-bracket bond desk, CBOT bond pit.
Now: Student of macro trading, bitcoin, coding, nutrition, exercise physiology, bowhunting, cooking.

[Studious Stoic @StudiousStoic]

@KLoaec Tapsigners are safe?

[Studious Stoic @StudiousStoic]

@mattgaetz With friends like Netanyahu, who needs enemas...

[Studious Stoic @StudiousStoic]

@marklevinshow With friends like Netanyahu, who needs enemas...

[Studious Stoic @StudiousStoic]

@LukeGromen Harley is as smart as they come, and has a great track record, but it does seem like with DXY already elevated, a surprise 50bp hike has a high risk of spiking DXY much higher with strong potential for a currency crisis that would make the "cure" worse than the "disease".

[Studious Stoic @StudiousStoic]

@ConvexityMaven I can't argue with your logic or your track record, but it does seem like with DXY already elevated, a surprise 50bp hike has a high risk of spiking DXY much higher with strong potential for a currency crisis that would make the "cure" worse than the "disease".

[Studious Stoic @StudiousStoic]

@LukeGromen What goes around, comes around....
Now the rust belt "blue collar" workers can tell the software people replaced by AI to "learn a trade"

[Studious Stoic @StudiousStoic]

@profplum99 @tomowenmorgan

[Studious Stoic @StudiousStoic]

@LukeGromen Assembly lines weren't "recursively self-improving" as LLM's are now becoming

[Studious Stoic @StudiousStoic]

@Enki_2046 @SantiagoAuFund I had a cab driver in Munich tell me that "BMW" stands for "Big Money Waste"

[Studious Stoic @StudiousStoic]

@jacksonhinkle bloodthirsty

[Studious Stoic @StudiousStoic]

@ctindale You're talking about long-term thinking, when all that our CEO's care about is making the next quarter's numbers so their stock doesnt get hammered.

[Studious Stoic @StudiousStoic]

@todd_hannigan You're talking about long-term thinking, when all the CEO's care about is making the next quarter's numbers so their stock doesnt get hammered.

[Studious Stoic @StudiousStoic]

@RepThomasMassie OK, it's not "April Fools Day", so I'm not sure how to take this.....

[Studious Stoic @StudiousStoic]

@ces921 As midterms approach, this is going to get much worse before it gets better.
I should start a polymarket-market on whether Trump will propose sending everyone checks sometime between now & November.

[Studious Stoic @StudiousStoic]

@JoeVill36605115 @SantiagoAuFund I'd be happy if Trump actually understood the movement.

[Studious Stoic @StudiousStoic]

@Alan_Couzens I'm 69 with a VO2 = 50 but my training routine is essentially what you described for the 50 year old group. About 30 miles a week, with 80% of time zone 2 , 15% zone 4, 5% zone 5.

[Studious Stoic @StudiousStoic]

@mrmikeMTL I'll bet 5,000,000 to your 1,000,000 that I can.

[Studious Stoic @StudiousStoic]

I think, a multi-dimensional bear market.
Perhaps the "shot heard 'round the world" was our confiscation of Russian reserves, but also China stealing IP from foreign companies operating there...Now Anthropic going into competition with the same pharma companies that have been using their models for R&D (which Anthropic can monitor). Throw in the global trend towards nationalism.
I'm not a globalist, but we're on a track that doesn't end well.

[Studious Stoic @StudiousStoic]

@TgMacro RSI is something that I pay attention to, but don't rely on.....but positive divergence at yesterdays new lows is also something to throw into the decision mix.

[Studious Stoic @StudiousStoic]

@spotgamma sell 20 delta puts & buy 20 delta calls for nice credit.