stumpyuk

Advocating Networked Commons Governance (NCG) - a practical British upgrade to fix elite disconnect, endless negation & gridlock.
Democracy matters.
Citizen

[stumpyuk @stumpyuk]

https://t.co/KZXUomsiRM

[Rahul Sidhu @rahul]

One of the most prolific criminals in all of San Francisco tells @adam22 that “crime in San Francisco is over with” because of Flock cameras + drones. He complains that he can’t even do drivebys anymore.

It’s simple: when the risk of getting caught is too high, crime plummets.

[stumpyuk @stumpyuk]

@amlivemon I said this from the outset of the tournament...

[Patrick Collison @patrickc]

It's been interesting and puzzling to witness the problems with accuracy in UK economic statistics over the past few years. (See the links in the next tweet for more.) It seems that the Office for National Statistics, ONS, now struggles to effectively measure basic figures such as employment, trade, and inflation. This resulted in a quite scathing government report published last summer, where Robert Devereux, a former permanent secretary, concluded that "most of the well-publicised problems with core economic statistics are the consequence of ONS’s own performance."

There's a lot of discussion about the travails facing the UK these days (including this big piece in The Atlantic a few weeks ago[1]), and the problems with the ONS feel like an unsettling microcosm of diffuse decline in broader institutional competence.

Anyhow: at Stripe, we became curious about the UK's published entrepreneurship data. While we observe a boom in many parts of the world, official figures don't show a similar increase in the UK. In the latest Stripe Economics post, we dug into the data, and, as far as we can tell, the official figures are probably misleading. The good and the bad news (mostly good, I think!) is that the UK is almost certainly witnessing an unmeasured boom in entrepreneurship: https://t.co/R7oTZNmxc6

UK-specific issues aside, I suspect that this measurement question is illustrative of forthcoming econometric challenges. Keeping the world's macro indicators up-to-date in response to the faster-than-usual changes wrought by AI will be both increasingly difficult and increasingly important in the coming years.

[1] https://t.co/OAnwRmpyON

[stumpyuk @stumpyuk]

@sophielouisecc ...or be able to buy their own home.

[stumpyuk @stumpyuk]

@amlivemon I told you it was coming home!

[stumpyuk @stumpyuk]

@Ben04650002 You can't even comprehend a simple police statement, so I can fully understand why you can't/won't engage in the more technical rendering. Jog on now...

[stumpyuk @stumpyuk]

@Ben04650002 @InspGadgetBlogs One minute you are worringly obsessed about the minutiae of the police statement, then when you get a comprehensive answer to your repeated "Why?" question, you run away. You were never interested in the answer, were you?

[stumpyuk @stumpyuk]

@RuthMBettie @GHWTowler There is a lot of truth in this, but failing to follow guidance has over-sized implications down the line at Jury Trial.

[stumpyuk @stumpyuk]

@RuthMBettie @GHWTowler If they hadn't made the statements, they would be pilloried for not following guidance in combatting the online speculation and thereby risking the integrity of the operation. It would have handed Defence Counsel the first small wedge in their case.

[Iain Martin @iainmartin1]

Is it really true that Parliament is being sent away for the summer and only then a new Prime Minister will be appointed? This seems… odd.

[stumpyuk @stumpyuk]

@JuliaHB1 Sorry no, the national guidelines place an obligation on them to counter widespread online speculation. https://t.co/rrDITvCT42

[stumpyuk @stumpyuk]

https://t.co/TPxvH6NaNp

[stumpyuk @stumpyuk]

@LupineLives Is he really an upgrade on Starmer (who whipped his MPs to vote against him being referred to the Parliamentary Standards Committee)? Snivelling weasels, the lot of them.

[stumpyuk @stumpyuk]

@Ben04650002 @InspGadgetBlogs Formal police guidelines say otherwise:

[stumpyuk @stumpyuk]

https://t.co/TPxvH6NaNp

[stumpyuk @stumpyuk]

https://t.co/TPxvH6NaNp

[Rich @rich_rdctd]

@UKDecline Damn, my counter is slow

[stumpyuk @stumpyuk]

@LupineLives They've re-arrested the the 2nd guy (from Rotherham), gives the Police more time on the clock to keep him in custody.

[stumpyuk @stumpyuk]

@ourtone69 @gmhales It was "no information" and they didn't rule out a link at all. The press mangled the official police statements and gave the impression that they had: https://t.co/SmoLYiGJe9

[stumpyuk @stumpyuk]

@King_Rat_II @gmhales They certainly hypothesize in investigations...but they have the data and info to help them do that that isn't available to the public.

[stumpyuk @stumpyuk]

@schoopydobloop @gmhales But if the Police are being asked the perfectly reasonable question about a political motive, then it's perfectly reasonable to give a true and accurate answer.