Stupidgoal

Polymarket sports bets with positive ROI

[Stupidgoal @stupidgoal]

@Pinnacle No, but it can make analysing data much faster by helping you build dashboards, ingest data into a database, write queries.

[Stupidgoal @stupidgoal]

@Jelitics: Give me a Polymarket account with $100k, I'll deploy the same betting strategy I tested publicly with great success (see my website).

We'll split the profits every 6 months.

At least you'd be cheering on teams whose bets have a positive expected value.

[Jelitics @Jelitics]

I lost $13.5M in less than 60 days.

My PnL went from $20M to $6.5M

The same risks that made me millions...

Are the same risks that made me lose millions.

I saw this coming, yet I still couldn't stop myself.

The more I won, the more my perception of risk became distorted.

At some point, I wasn't chasing money anymore.

I was chasing the feeling.

The hardest part to explain is that your brain doesn't care you're still up overall.

It fixates on what you've lost.

Those losses feel just as real.

That's where the spiral begins.

Deep down, I know exactly how this story ends if I stay on this path.

I'll lose everything I've built.

This is the darkest path I've ever been on.

The constant swings have broken me mentally.

But I refuse to let my own mind defeat me.

[Stupidgoal @stupidgoal]

@BetfairExchange you forgot to settle greyhound AvB market for the 09:27 Townsville race today

[Stupidgoal @stupidgoal]

Coco Gauff has a 6-1 record vs Muchova, 6-0 on Hard, 0-1 on Clay (last match won by Muchova in three sets).

Anything above 2.00 feels like value to me on this non-Clay surface (Grass).

[Stupidgoal @stupidgoal]

@thomasdeutsch13 @RacingPost @Polymarket I often see massive drifts on horses and dogs on Betfair, especially on low level racing, same thing for football.

That's just the nature of exchanges. It doesn't bother me.

[Stupidgoal @stupidgoal]

@robpizzola 90 min then have mini extra times of 5 minutes.

At the start of each, both teams have to remove 2 players.

If at the end of any of these 5 minutes one team is ahead, they win it.

[Stupidgoal @stupidgoal]

Because Norway will win it?

[Weefo @vveefo]

if you bet $1.000 on the 5 of them you’ll make anywhere from $500-$5.000 with no risk

why no one is talking about this?

[Stupidgoal @stupidgoal]

@nickwhite1995 There should never be voiding in markets.

I believe in simplifying laws and rules (in any domain) so that there are very few open to interpretation.

Because interpretation can favour certain parties over others.

VAR is a classic example.

Govt overreach another.

[Stupidgoal @stupidgoal]

Hull v Muddlesbrough

Only 2 of the last 10 EFL Championship Playoff finals had 3+ goals.

This final is usually a cagey affair.

Any odds above 1.50 for Under 2.5 Goals today feel like value.

[Stupidgoal @stupidgoal]

THE CHAMPIONSHIP PLAY-OFF

Hull v Middlesbrough

They met twice this season, 1 win each.

Hull finished 6th in the table, Boro 5th.

In the last 10 years 40% of lower table finishers won this match.

Perhaps we should bet on Hull to lift the trophy at 2.75?

[Stupidgoal @stupidgoal]

@PolymarketFC @PolymarketSport BTC markets are boring. Why not make a deal to let people trade (and watch) UK greyhound racing markets?

Several races per hour and great fun to watch.

To get started, contact the @GreyhoundBoard

[Stupidgoal @stupidgoal]

@theawayfans Agreed. But tactical fouls in midfield should be punished with a red card in my opinion.

[Stupidgoal @stupidgoal]

@chrisgambler247 The role of govt should be to protect people from hurting each other. Not to save people from themselves.

If they really must impose checks, it should only be on parents with non-adult children.

[Stupidgoal @stupidgoal]

After 1100+ $1 bets and +$56.67 profits, we're stopping our Bet Against The Market tips.

Polymarket introduced fees, so we'll keep betting as market makers.

If we sent you signals when our orders got matched you wouldn't be able to bet at the same odds.

[Stupidgoal @stupidgoal]

@CaanBerryTrader It's 2026. Use Polymarket.

[Stupidgoal @stupidgoal]

$1 BET AGAINST THE MARKET
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
👉 ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS
Odds: 2.22 (45c)
Polymarket: mlb-sd-ari-2026-04-26

[Stupidgoal @stupidgoal]

$1 BET AGAINST THE MARKET
Athletics vs. Texas Rangers
👉 TEXAS RANGERS
Odds: 1.92 (52c)
Polymarket: mlb-oak-tex-2026-04-26

[Stupidgoal @stupidgoal]

$1 BET AGAINST THE MARKET
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-04-26?
👉 NO
Odds: 2.27 (44c)
Polymarket: fl1-pfc-lil-2026-04-26

[Stupidgoal @stupidgoal]

$1 BET AGAINST THE MARKET
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-04-26?
👉 NO
Odds: 2.50 (40c)
Polymarket: sea-gen-com-2026-04-26