@MX3redux@andre_nuta@HarrisonHSmith@ggreenwald I am anti war in essentially all cases. I don’t know why we bombed Iran/got involved in the first place, but I assume it was a difficult decision that involved factors I haven’t considered. I wonder if his decisions/tactics would make sense to me if I had all the info he has.
@andre_nuta@HarrisonHSmith@ggreenwald I agree. I don’t usually stand up for this kind of rhetoric..but it works…truth a bunch of unhinged stuff..whole world thinks you’re a mad man who might really do it…oh look, we have a ceasefire and diplomacy. Pretty slick really.
4 days ago, I mentioned $NVDA was at the biggest pivot on the chart… and if it broke, things could get ugly fast.
Since then:
$NVDA -5%
$SMH -6%
And the market has done exactly what weak markets do. This is what downside expansion looks like... however, I don't think dips will be bought just yet.
$SPY and $QQQ both closed at the lows today, which tells me there’s no real bid into the close. The fear & greed index is sitting in the single digits, and sentiment is clearly shifting toward fear.
But the nuance is that weak markets don’t bottom because they’re "oversold."
They bottom when selling exhausts.
And right now, we’re still seeing:
- Failed bounces
- No bottoms forming
- No sustained follow through
- No sustained follow through
That’s not a bottoming environment just yet.
I’m watching for capitulation and an emotional flush where everything feels like it’s breaking at once, and for panic to take over.
That’s exactly where conditions start to change.
Until then, patience people.
"As traders inch up the ladder of profitability, they frequently hit mental plateaus that can only be overcome by adjusting position size and risk tolerance in a structured, deliberate way."
That's from John Carter's "Mastering the Trade" and it describes something I went through that nobody talks about. The plateau.
I got to a point where I was consistently profitable at small size. $500 days, $800 days. Steady. Reliable. But when I tried to scale up, everything fell apart. Same setups. Same process. Just bigger numbers. And suddenly my hands were shaking on entries, I was cutting winners early, and my stops felt like they were on fire.
The money didn't change the setup. It changed how I felt about the setup. And feelings drive execution whether you want them to or not.
What finally worked was scaling up in painfully small increments. Not doubling my size overnight. Going from 100 shares to 120. Sitting there for two weeks until it felt normal. Then 140. Then 160. Each jump felt uncomfortable for a few days, but then slowly it became the new baseline. The ladder has rungs for a reason.
$SPY Monthly closed red today, be caution. Thin candles showing upside is getting weaker.
Next two months or whatever should make you decent money back. Just be patience and wait for a good entry. I’ll do that job and you just buy and execute your positions.
$DJI: The Dow Jones has printed a monthly gravestone, a rare occurrence on this long-term timeframe. With the RSI above 70, there are two conditions that have preceded significant corrections.
150 likes & 30 reposts for a deep dive into the $SPX monthly chart.
@nandoolle@ganyicz Perhaps the speed-bump of AI generating unnecessarily complex code will smooth out in time/with updates? Do you think that eventually coders who don’t use AI will be left in the dust? Do you think AI will be more efficient than humans one day? -curious non-coder