@KJVPopulist The question is can Paxton outlast the shifts in Travis, Hays, Williamson, Bexar, Denton, Collins, and Tarrant? Paxton will need great turnout in Parker and Montgomery, including Comal and other strong GOP counties. I think it’ll come down to inches due to all the shifts.
EARLY VOTING UPDATE:
Today, we received approximately 80,000 early ballot packets. All packets were processed, and signature verification was completed by 2:00 p.m., breaking our previous record!
We continue to see higher daily voter turnout at our early voting locations compared to previous elections.
Now that the Recorder’s early voting staff are informing voters of their options, more than 80% of voters bringing in their green early ballot envelopes are choosing to have them ID-verified and stamped. This is a dramatic increase from the Primary and clear evidence that voters welcome this new option.
HAPPY VOTING!
Enjoyed visiting with the Canyon Lake Republican Women last night!
We discussed protecting taxpayers, tackling the national debt, defending election integrity, and putting TX-21 first.
They’re fired up and ready for early voting to begin Monday!
$10 billion social service fraud in Minnesota. The Gov & Lt Gov asleep at the switch & taxpayers got ripped off. The Lt Gov is the Dem candidate for Senator. Michele Tafoya is an appealing candidate. If Republican voters turnout, Tafoya wins.
In MN, Trump helped GOP in some areas but hurt GOP in others. Cool thing about Demuth and Tafoya is they help GOP everywhere. All GOP candidates running in MN are being strengthened by their campaigns.
I hope future GOP candidates campaign like both Lisa and Michele are doing.
The Texas Senate RCP Aggregate.
The YouGov & NYT polls are Talarico +6 which is insane.
That would be Talarico by 600,000 votes. Not gonna happen.
If you remove those polls from the Aggregate, you get
🟦 Talarico 47.6% (+1.6)
🟥 Paxton 46%
I can testify how effective @GregAbbott_TX ground game is.
He has volunteers across the state making sure Republicans turnout, knocking on doors and informing them about the upcoming elections.
Most importantly they emphasize voting RED across the entire ticket top to bottom
I’ve spent my career building organizations, assembling strong organizations, creating jobs, and solving hard problems. I’ll do the same as governor. I will wake up every single day and fight for you.
THANK YOU, Jesup! Great crowd this morning.
Early voting continues today. Make a plan and VOTE: https://t.co/YWvOq6RDM8
New 15k Mail Drop
Total Statewide: D+5 on mail ballots.
For perspective, this lead should be D+20.
Honestly at this point it's too good to be true, need to get through the first weekend of EV.
Under Trump, immigration courts are ruling in favor of mass deportations.
Even at the Concord court in California, relief granted to aliens with a request has cratered from 30% to 2%. Removal orders have more than tripled this year, hitting an all-time high in August.
@mbaharaeen Also depends on if young voters show up or not. They seem checked out now. Both political parties have a lot of hate against them and low approval ratings.
@mbaharaeen The issue is that it will be state by state. Candidate by candidate. Debate by debate. Voter by voter. Virginia, Maryland, Texas, and other states like Kansas will have blue waves, but states like Florida, Ohio, Nevada, New York, and Minnesota won’t really have blue waves.