Roger Mann

Investor, macroeconomics, and geopolitics - no predictions, only observations.

[Roger Mann @sunbbab]

1 billion dead means stocks drop 50 percent

[Mario Nawfal @MarioNawfal]

🇺🇸 Bill Gates on AI:

"We do need to monitor any sophisticated model and record exactly what’s being done.

100%

Writer: Samuel

[Financial Times @FT]

Companies are spending billions on AI subscriptions every month. But how much value are these tools really providing in return?

John Burn-Murdoch examines the data behind a new study about the technology's impact on productivity. https://t.co/WMRWATE849

[Financial Times @FT]

ECB expected to raise rates to fight inflation shock https://t.co/5BGhnetT6n

[*Walter Bloomberg @DeItaone]

GOLD FALLS 1% AS FED, MIDDLE EAST PRESSURE MOUNTS

Gold posted a second straight loss as renewed Middle East military action and hawkish Fed expectations pressured prices.

Front-month gold settled 1% lower at $4,431.10/oz, but still gained 9.4% in August.

Silver fell 1.2% to $66.221/oz, while posting a 15% monthly gain.

Markets now turn to upcoming U.S. inflation and labor data for direction.

[Roger Mann @sunbbab]

$Baba Alibaba Has An Edge In Monetizing AI Agents
That explains why the stock is selling off 3.5%

[Roger Mann @sunbbab]

That’s 4% up from now. Wow! Is that your real picture, Is that your real name?

[*Walter Bloomberg @DeItaone]

UBS SEES S&P 500 BULL RUN EXTENDING

UBS raised its S&P 500 targets to 8,100 for December 2026 and 8,400 for June 2027, citing stronger earnings and resilient growth.

The bank now expects EPS of $350 in 2026 and $400 in 2027, driven by strength in technology, semiconductors and energy.

UBS remains bullish on resilient economic growth, a patient Fed and accelerating AI adoption.

Key risks include higher oil prices, renewed inflation and disappointing AI returns.

[Roger Mann @sunbbab]

The look on this guy makes me want to sell everything $HD

[Roger Mann @sunbbab]

$HD made 10% on shorting this pos company selling screws and nails with a pe of 24

[Roger Mann @sunbbab]

$HD Home Depot is the worst retail stock. Short it for 10% gain down to 300

[Roger Mann @sunbbab]

$TLT

Chair Kevin Warsh's proposal to give markets less insight into the Fed's reaction function would not improve policymaker feedback, but could instead delay monetary policy transmission and create unnecessary volatility in financial markets.

[Roger Mann @sunbbab]

US debt #spy

[Roger Mann @sunbbab]

US Bonds

[Casper @casper_smc]

While everyone's distracted by the Leopold fund collapse, Japan could crash the world economy.

Here's what nobody connected this week.

The Bank of Japan held its rates. No hike.

Then it did something it almost never does. It stepped into the market and bought its own currency.

Then the part that should be front page everywhere.

The US Treasury bought Japanese yen. First time in decades.

America is now defending Japan's currency.

Why?

Because the yen is what paid for America's party.

Japan is the largest foreign holder of US treasuries. For decades, investors borrowed yen at nearly 0% and pumped it into US markets. Stocks, tech, AI. It's called the yen carry trade, and it's been quietly funding America's debt for thirty years.

Until now.

Japan already spent $74 billion trying to stop the slide this year. It failed. The yen hit its weakest level since 1986.

So this week, both governments went in together. The yen ripped 4% in two days.

Currencies aren't supposed to move like that. When they do, someone is being forced out.

The same borrowed yen that pumped the AI trade is the money now leaving it. Leopold's fund wasn't a one-off. It was the first exit in a crowded theater.

Wall Street knows. They've been piling into the carry trade harder than they have in decades. [SHOW: 'Carry Trade Returns Soar Most in Decades' 7/21]

Not because they know something you don't. Because the returns were too good to leave.

And crowded exits are how small moves turn into crashes.

In 1987, Germany raised rates against a weak dollar. Two months later, the S&P fell over 20% in one day. Black Monday.

In 2026, it's Japan.

Except this time, the US government is already in the market - buying yen with its own reserves, trying to control the exit.

Governments don't do that unless the alternative is worse.

[Brian Tycangco 鄭彥渊 @BrianTycangco]

SK Hynix Daily 2X Leveraged Product ETF https://t.co/asgL5UvBZf is something else to see. A complete undoing of a nearly 10-fold rise. $SKHY

[The Economist @TheEconomist]

AI is charging ahead. Not even its creators—including @elonmusk—know how to keep up https://t.co/8UwsIS9FQY

[Peter Schiff @PeterSchiff]

$SPCX closed just above $115, nearly 20% below its IPO price and almost 50% below its high. This could be a harbinger of things to come for other overhyped stocks and cryptos. Look out below!

[Barchart @Barchart]

BREAKING 🚨: SpaceX

$SPCX falls to its lowest price in history and has now plunged 49% from June's all-time high, a total market cap loss of almost $1.5 Trillion 📉 📉

[Banana3 @Banana3Stocks]

$SPCX

People constantly ask me if I would buy SPACEX

I would, it needs to get pass the lockup and have more chart history

I would also prob nibble around $100 bucks

[Visual Capitalist @VisualCap]

Ranked: Countries With the Most Government Debt in 2026 💰

https://t.co/xBwysO639v

[Visual Capitalist @VisualCap]

Ranked: The Countries Gaining and Losing the Most Tourists ✈️

https://t.co/SX81327yml

[Visual Capitalist @VisualCap]

Mapped: Where Food Inflation Will Hit Hardest in 2026 🛒

https://t.co/rJKaP9B6tj