Sunil Shah

30 + years in Indian stock market. Currently Fund Manager & Partner at SRE PMS, earlier Head of Research at ENAM Securities (Direct). Loving Stocks…

[Sunil Shah @sunil_shah555]

@neweveryday99 768 raise to 11

[Sunil Shah @sunil_shah555]

@Lisazgen 06

[Sunil Shah @sunil_shah555]

As usual a childhood story one more time…

Run run tiger has come, a boy creates a false alarm and keeps on repeating it.

Now entire world knows the name of the boy..

It has no context with attack on Iran again today… ha ha ha…

[Sunil Shah @sunil_shah555]

@FI_InvestIndia Stories read / listened as a Child are best learning’s in life.

Story — run run a tiger has come - a false alarm wala story.

Cut to today —US - Iran conflict.

I will destroy them in 48 hours to a ceasefire.

Should one trust the ceasefire or consider it as a false alarm.

[Sunil Shah @sunil_shah555]

Many say - earlier when war happened, markets fell only to bounce back again

Many say - even during Covid there was uncertainty & loss of life so now what is different

Now assets r getting destroyed & it takes long time to repair + during Covid liquidity was crazy unlike now.

[Sunil Shah @sunil_shah555]

Since 1991, Sensex in last 34 years has grown at 12.5-13% I.e 2x every 5.5-6 years.

Pre covid it was 42k and then corrected to 26k-27k March 2020.

It became 3x from the bottom in 4 years, this is not the norm.

Normal is 2x in 6 years

We have to live with the 2x norm & not 4x

[Sunil Shah @sunil_shah555]

4.5 years of bull market cannot get over by 4.5 months of bear markets…

[TN Investors' Assn @TIA_Investors]

As we are nearing full auditorium capacity, we are opening for registrations to attend the upcoming TIA 20-20 Ideas Summit to be held on 21st Feb, 2026 in ONLINE only mode.

Kindly follow the instructions, make payment of Rs 7500 only and fill the google form (link given in tweet) with the required details to complete the registration.

Registration email ID should be same as your zoom login email ID (or else your entry access will be denied into the webinar by zoom)

https://t.co/SafiexPVy0

[Sunil Shah @sunil_shah555]

An old saying, recall it from childhood days — Enemy’s Enemy is a friend.

US v/s China & Russia, India & EU, Canada & Mexico, Venezuela & Iran

So Mr. Trump has done more to unite the world, surely it calls for a Nobel peace prize..😂 🤣😜😜..

[Sunil Shah @sunil_shah555]

People who came after Covid in markets are now facing Covid type situation in markets…

Making money in markets is directly proportional to the number of bear markets faced by the market participant.

[Sunil Shah @sunil_shah555]

@Iamsamirarora @Flipkart People who came after Covid in markets are now facing Covid type situation in markets…

Making money in markets is directly proportional to the number of bear markets faced by the market participant.

[Loic @LoicReco]

China has a car factory bigger than San Francisco, their LLMs cost 68 times less than ours, they've built the world's first thorium reactor, and they lead in 37 out of 44 critical technologies.

If America has brainwashed you into believing China is behind them, this thread will open your eyes:

[Sunil Shah @sunil_shah555]

@Nigel__DSouza We are fortunate that there is time gap between Mr Trump’s Tweet timings & the revocation thereafter & Indian markets working hours from 9.15-3.30

Luckily for us Trump’s tweets do not come and vanish during Indian markets working hours.

25% to rethink over weekend.

Ha ha.

[Sunil Shah @sunil_shah555]

Who will make highest return in HDB IPO?

People who bought in grey markets?
1 who will apply in IPO?
1 who will buy on listing?

No my friend it is HDFC Bank - the 1 who is doing OFS.

HDFC bk might be first to cross Rs 1,00,000 cr profit mark.

Remember to go back to sleep.

[Sunil Shah @sunil_shah555]

History teaches & we have to learn from it

Hul, Reliance & ITC 4-8 years of O% return

Same for HDFC Bk today

Co might do 62-65k cr profit this year, in next 4 years can do 1 lakh cr, at PE of 30 once, mcap can be 30L cr, implies 150% return & a promise that 1 sleeps for 4 yr.

[Sunil Shah @sunil_shah555]

Price on Feb 12 was 1390 HDFC Bk

Remeber the promise to sleep for 4 years so if one is awake and looking at CMP, just go back to sleep...

Stock market is a beautiful place if correct investment is done at apt price, the only thing to do is to do nothing.

[Sunil Shah @sunil_shah555]

A very very sad incident at
Ahmedabad but no 1 asked 2 cancel license of Tata

If Air India was owned by govt or Ambani or Adani, it would have been crazy hue & cry by all

This is true power of brand, even if things go wrong, people stand with you in tough times

Sad day indeed.

[Sunil Shah @sunil_shah555]

@Iamsamirarora Sir

Let’s separate wheat from chaff

India GDP approx 4000 bln

Exports is 800 bln of that

Service exports is 400 & goods exports is 400 bln

Exports to US is 80 bln & 25% tariffs means 20 bln

It is 0.5% of GDP

We get scared.

Dikhave pe mat jao, Apni akkal lagao isn’t it?

[Sunil Shah @sunil_shah555]

@Iamsamirarora Levying tariffs don’t increase productivity.

Simple economics.

China is productive and hence factory of the world.

Style of POTUS might not give him the desired results.

Tariffs raise prices & make imports expensive.

Steps to improve productivity is the answer isn’t it?

[Sunil Shah @sunil_shah555]

@deepakshenoy Vodafone - competition tumhe jeene nahi dagi (competition - jio & Airtel won’t let u live)

Govt. tumhe marne nahi dagi (govt won’t let u die)

Otherwise CCI comes into play and freedom to raise mobile charges gets capped as Industry is practically a duopoly

Writing on the wall.

[Sunil Shah @sunil_shah555]

@jitenkparmar I grew up reading stories more than school books

A dog walking in shade of bullock cart believed he was one carrying load of cart

Who carries the load to take stock prices up?

Fundas
Technical
Quant
Insider info

No- it’s liquidity- Money comes & prices rise & is Money back?

[Sunil Shah @sunil_shah555]

A promise to Nehal (wife) from yday

Taking it completely off for next 1.5 month

No Netflix
No Amazon prime
No webseries
No movies
No plays
No Realty show
No shows at NMACC

She was like I love u…❤️💕💕
I slowly whispered now only IPL… 🏆🏆🏏🏏

& then the battle started😜😜

[Sunil Shah @sunil_shah555]

U can clap only with both hands… Not to take anything away from the lady in the home but a father too struggles in every home.

Source —TOI

[Sunil Shah @sunil_shah555]

@KotakMF @NileshShah68 All that was accepted as norm in bull markets get badly punished is bear markets

Low earnings growth (10–15%) and high valuation (50-60x)

Corporate governance (IndusInd, Gensol)

QIPs, Pref, IPO

Promoter selling v/s Buy back

When money is chasing stocks price goes up. Simple