Citadel fired their best quant. He rebuilt their entire algo with Claude Fable 5 in 48 hours - and he's up $430,000 trading it against them.
He didn't take a single file. He didn't need to - ten years of that logic lived in his head, and you can't raid a memory.
Wallet proof: https://t.co/JSA6VkmGuX
Here's the engine MiroFish runs - and it's rigged in his favor. Picture a Galton board: a ball dropping through eight rows of pegs, bouncing left or right at random.
One ball is chaos. Thousands of balls always fall into the same bell curve. That's the law he weaponized.
Every ball is one trade. Each row is a volatility gate - news, liquidations, order-book flow, things nobody controls.
On a fair board every gate is a 50/50 coin flip. His model tilts each one to 0.54 - four cents of edge that only shows up when fair value splits from the book.
Four cents sounds like nothing.
Compound it through eight gates, thirty-two thousand times, and the whole bell shifts right of breakeven: 71% of trades land green.
$93 of edge per trade. $430k across the distance.
Watch the win rate converge in real time - it swings between 50 and 85% for the first few dozen trades, then locks on 0.71 and never leaves.
He doesn't predict a single trade. One trade is a coin flip. Eighteen thousand is mathematics.
They thought firing him protected the edge. They just handed it a grudge.
Copy the wallet quietly out-trading a $60B fund before they connect the dots: https://t.co/vbDZyVcfT3
From my experience, I was almost 100% in stocks.. no real estate, no gold, no bonds, no T-bills. I held Bitcoin briefly, sold around $30, then bought back at an average of $20K per BTC. With my approach, I could’ve retired in my early 20s if I wanted to.
For those under 35, here’s my advice…
•Focus on increasing your income and cash flow.
•Invest for growth with a long-term mindset.
•Avoid unnecessary lifestyle upgrades and lifestyle inflation.
•Keep learning and evolving in investing and finance.
Play the game right, and you’ll have the freedom to choose your path.
It's official:
The Fed's Reverse Repo Facility (RRP) is now down ~$2.5 TRILLION from its peak in December 2022.
The US is borrowing so much debt to fund deficit spending that the RRP has been DEPLETED to a 1,386 day low.
What does it mean? Let us explain.
(a thread)
BREAKING NEWS: The Federal Reserve's Reverse Repo Facility dropped another 8% today to their lowest inventory in 1,386 days, today. Do you know what happens when excess bank money runs out?
$SAI looks very bullish at current levels. Price holding pretty well despite its recent token unlock.
Solid product, top-tier team, and tier 1 investors (same as $TAO).
Higher in the coming weeks imo.
$HINT could be the Chainlink for AI agents.
The AI agent infrastructure market size is 70B and @Hive_Intel is the first AI agent infrastructure project in crypto.
Launching on Base chain.
Low market cap. Community owns most tokens, no VCs, No insider/No VCs means no sell pressure.
Sale goes live tomorrow on Fjord Foundry
Good morning, and welcome to Fed Day.
Economists' and the markets' expectations overwhelmingly favor a 25 basis point cut and forward guidance pointing to fewer 2025 cuts than previously signaled, together with a higher neutral rate.
For more details, please see: https://t.co/5LulnrjawH
#economy #markets #federalreserve #centralbanks #econtwitter @opinion