Supergut

Spirituality. Gold & Silver

[X Freeze @XFreeze]

Britain now arrests more people for social media posts than China, Russia, and Turkey combined nearly matching the rest of the top 10 countries combined

Britain really leads the world on these thought crimes

Insane how the UK, which used to be a free country, turned out to be so totalitarian

[Gold Grump Granpa @GoldGrumpGranpa]

Daily chart and 30-minute bars video recap of #silver and #gold futures.

As you can see, after the nasty slam of the last few days, the downside acceleration, the short-term exhaustion that accompanied the clearing of all those important daily lows, and the forced purge of countless weak longs, we have now bounced back and stalled EXACTLY beneath those same broken lows from last weeks' price action.🙃

This is no coincidence, of course.😉

Legions of trapped longs who resisted the urge to sell through the actual breakdown are now providing liquidity to the sell side as price revisits the area.
After enduring far deeper drawdowns, many are finally using the bounce to exit for a smaller loss.🥲

The cleaning job was thorough, but make no mistake: we are now sitting at an extremely important location, right ahead of a pivotal, historic #FOMC press conference.

It will be the first without our dear #Jerome running the circus, as the #Warsh era officially begins. You can safely assume markets will be even more nervous than usual.🤪

All eyes on the #FED later today.
As for me, I'll be placing a few greedy stinkies below current #PreciousMetals and #JuniorMiners prices, hoping for a late-spring volatility gift, courtesy of the press conference.☺️

Be careful out there: markets live off this setup.😌

[Feroce Research @FeroceResearch]

The greatest 6-month stint for Silver is coming up.

History and macro environment both tell you this, not me. The holy grail set up for metals.

For the past half a decade, global macros have found a way to ease 10y yields anytime numbers started to creep towards 4.60 - 4.70%

In this case, WTI Crude played a significant role in creeping yields to 4.7%. Now with WTI Crude heading back to sub $80, as expected and shared my views many times over the past recent weeks, this creates the perfect opportunity for 10y Yields to plateau at that 4.60 - 4.70% mark and fear of hikes are not as strong any longer.

Every cycle from 4.70% down towards 4.00% has ignited a stronger Silver rally each time for a span of 6 months on average.

The idea that metals become a safe haven when inflation is rising is very misinformed. Metals become the safe haven in THIS environment, when Yields, Dollar, and Crude no longer become the safe bets and we enter a "sticky/uncertain" period of inflation.

My view in Feroce Research is that there will be a strong rotation towards Silver, even money leaking from Semis may find its way into Silver.

The fundamental view of supply/demand deficit continues to exist, as well as the technical resistance since 2023 turning into a support for the first time this year.

If silver were to replicate the move that happened last year, which we also had caught, we can expect $180 by the end of this year. My conservative target sits at $130 for now, until later upgraded.

This is one of the few moments where fundamentals, technicals, quantitative positioning, and macros all align for an industry.

[Feroce Research @FeroceResearch]

One man's FOMO in Semis $SMH and fear in Silver + Metals is another man's holy grail moment

Market has a funny way of being rotational,

and that rotation only ever makes sense in hindsight once the money has been made

[Atticus @redl3tters]

I used to date this girl who was very into the idea of being the best girlfriend ever and one of the ways she set out to accomplish this was by regularly waking me up by giving me head.

I’d often regain consciousness to the sensation of her initiating the act, which was great, but –– and I know this might surprise you –– after a while it got old.

Many mornings, I just wanted to sleep in for an extra hour rather than “rise” and shine at 6 am. Head is cool, but having your final hour of sleep stolen away does start to take a toll on a man after a while.

So at a certain point, I started to think maybe I should tell her to chill out a little. Like, hey, I see what you’re doing here and I love the spirit behind the commitment, but… maybe later, ya know?

Yet in the midst of that thought, I had an epiphany:

This isn’t really about me.

This girl is on a mission. Being the best girlfriend ever gives her an identity and purpose and meaning. Who am I to prioritize my own fleeting desires over her deeper needs? Getting my dick sucked at 6 am is about her.

So the wakeup head continued. Morning after morning. I never said a word. Because I am an incredible person.

This is what empathy is like, ladies. Many of you could use some.

[Francis Hunt - The Market Sniper, CMT (MBA) @themarketsniper]

Even a few Precious Metals peeps are possibly sleeping on this Silver weekly HAMMER Candle, inside of a weekly falling wedge.
Another rejection of the 60's by the weekly close, at the FW splitter.
@CapitalCosm @sdbullion @competentinv @MilesFranklinCo

[Gold Grump Granpa @GoldGrumpGranpa]

#SILJ daily high at 29.91: you couldn't make this stuff up.🤣

#GDXJ #JuniorMiners.

[David Shaw @David90shaw]

🚨 THE MASK HAS COMPLETELY SLIPPED.

Keir Starmer is banning social media for teenagers, but guess which app is magically exempt?

Bluesky. 🤡

They are blocking every platform that allows independent free speech, while leaving the ultimate left wing echo chamber wide open.

This was never about child safety. It is a highly coordinated plot to trap your kids in a digital bubble and brainwash them with pure establishment propaganda.

They want total control over what the next generation is allowed to think.

RT if you refuse to let the Labour elite indoctrinate our children! 🇬🇧🔥

[Brian Krassenstein @krassenstein]

MAJOR BREAKING: In a now deleted post by former MMA fighter Daniel Cormier, he posted screenshots of Eric Trump trying to get an insider scoop on whether any of the MMA fights at the White House are rigged so that he could try and illegally make money off of them..

Below is the Direct Messages that Trump allegedly sent Cormier. There is no reason to doubt the legitimacy of these messages.

[Gold Grump Granpa @GoldGrumpGranpa]

Glorious #COMEX Sunday open for #silver and #gold futures.

#FuturesTrading #CleanReversal

[Gold Grump Granpa @GoldGrumpGranpa]

Going into Kevin #Warsh’s first #FOMC press conference as #FederalReserve Chair next week, here’s a chart showing every Federal Funds Rate decision since 2022, marked by a red vertical line.☺️

What becomes evident on a weekly chart is that, as feared as FOMC days are, their impact tends to be inherently short-lived. They can certainly dictate intraday price action and influence the following few sessions, but they exert very little structural influence on the underlying trend.😉

We all have vivid memories of brutal slams, especially during the press conferences. Those events are real, of course, but they stand out precisely because they are more traumatic than the neutral or even positive outcomes that accompanied other meetings. Yet, as the chart clearly shows, those vicious smashes did not stop #gold from climbing from roughly $1,700 to $5,500 in about three years.
Not too shabby.😌

We are now down a hefty 28% in 133 days, sitting right at support after clearing the particularly obvious March low.🤠

To be honest, I would not be surprised to see this correction drag on a bit longer, especially in time rather than in price. That said, I also think most of the cleaning damage has already been done. From a price perspective, we are back at levels that look more than reasonable for starting to accumulate long-term positions again.

Never forget that nominal charts are deceptive in a fiat currency system. Part of the thunderous uptrend you see is simply the consequence of the relentless erosion of the purchasing power of the dollars sitting in your pocket.🥲

And do not even get me started on gold relative to the #MoneySupply or #PublicDebt.😅

Let’s see how the new Fed Chair makes his debut.🙂

#FederalFundsRate

[Gold Grump Granpa @GoldGrumpGranpa]

#JuniorMiners-to-#PreciousMetals ratios expressed through ETFs: GDX/GLD and SILJ/SLV.😊

It's nice to see both ratios recover into the weekly close, alongside #gold, #silver, and the miners themselves.😌

#SILJ #GDXJ

[Gold Grump Granpa @GoldGrumpGranpa]

#SI, silver futures: Commitments of Traders report

I was really curious to see how last week's slam in #silver showed up in #ManagedMoney and #SwapDealers positioning.☺️

Of course, with the #COT report still archaically frozen at Tuesday's close, I had to wait a week and a half only to find that not much actually happened, especially on the Managed Money side.😅

Swap Dealers increased their net short position more decisively, adding 3,320 contracts, or nearly 16% to their existing exposure while SI fell 10% last week: MM barely flinched, adding 389 contracts.😌

This week's figures are much flatter but, once again, they only reflect positioning as of Tuesday's close. We'll have to wait another full week to see how the big boys reacted to Thursday's and Friday's gorgeous reversal.🙃

A medieval #COMEX reporting system, with no credible justification in 2026 other than preserving asymmetric informational advantages.🤡

#Futures #MarketStructure #PreciousMetals

[Gold Grump Granpa @GoldGrumpGranpa]

Oh look, #SILJ and #GDXJ reacting at the support area after the vicious clearing of the March low.🥳
Who could ever have imagined something like that?😌

#CleanReversal #PreciousMetals #JuniorMiners

[Gold Grump Granpa @GoldGrumpGranpa]

#Silver and #Gold futures waited patiently for the #COMEX ghost pit close before exploding vertically, as if those hours still matter.☺️

#SILJ and #GDXJ obviously enjoyed the party, finally delivering a respectable rebound: +7.38% and +6.92%.

What amazes me more than the daily gains is where they chose to bounce. Both turned higher exactly at the 50% retracement of the entire, astonishing bull run from October 2023 to the absolute peak.😵

There's nothing magical about that level. Markets simply do what markets do, and sometimes they respect certain coordinates with almost absurd OCD precision.😌

Giving back half the gains of such a powerful advance is psychologically draining. After weeks of relentless losses, those who bought near the highs have likely surrendered and moved on.🥲

As noted recently, we took out a meaningful weekly low just two days ago, kicking out untold legions of newly minted wannabe gold bugs from their positions.
Many of them will never touch this sector again. 😅

The question now is whether we've completed enough spring cleaning to start building something constructive from these levels, or whether more blood still needs to be spilled before the market can fully digest the historic 2024-25 upleg.☺️

We now head into our beloved Tutor's Friday with no particularly important data releases on the schedule.

Do not to lose your shirt on a Friday.🤠

#PreciousMetals #JuniorMiners

[Gold Grump Granpa @GoldGrumpGranpa]

The failure at the key $30 and $120 levels on #SILJ and #GDXJ resulted in a truly nasty decline. You can see how buyers genuinely tried to engage there, but they simply couldn't break through the sellers' defense.🥲

We are now down a bloody 40% from the January/March highs, and downside momentum remains remarkably strong.🫣

At the same time, we are sitting right at the convergence of several meaningful static and dynamic support areas, immediately after flushing important weekly lows. So even though I'm underwater on everything I've bought in this sector so far in 2026, I'm still a buyer here.🤠

That's how I operate, not a general approach that is suitable for everyone. You have to find the style that best matches your strengths, weaknesses, temperament, and objectives.😊

You're responsible for your own decisions, based on your unique financial situation, constraints, and goals. Do your own homework and choose your poison.😙

I can tell you that even though I was planning to rebuild a full-sized position if a correction like this ever came, being offside still sucks, especially when it drags on for months.😤

Your mind inevitably starts searching for the perfect trade, ex-post. The temptation to build a fantasy where you shorted the exact top, sold everything at the ideal moment, and bought back at the precise bottom is so deeply wired into our primitive brains that the discomfort it creates is almost unavoidable.

In the end, the market we trade is our own emotional roller coaster.

The better you get to know it, the better your odds of surviving it.😌

#PreciousMetals #Inflation #JuniorMiners

[Gold Grump Granpa @GoldGrumpGranpa]

#Silver and #gold futures keep sinking, exploring territory they haven’t traded in since March.🥲

We’re heading into the much-anticipated #CoreCPI release and, to be honest, it’s better to get there with maximum fear and depression in the sector.☺️
That’s how a flush works.😌

[Gold Grump Granpa @GoldGrumpGranpa]

Trading and investing are difficult precisely because they run against normal human psychology and instinct.🥲

It was hard not to chase FOMO in early March, especially when you were exposed daily to a flood of success stories and glorious projections of precious metals grinding higher, forever, at double-digit monthly rates.☺️

Think about it: someone bought that breakout, exhausted from sitting on the sidelines or running a position that felt too small compared to others seemingly “printing money” on that same move.

Someone went all in above 157 on #GDXJ, only to watch “easy money” turn into hard money, then harder, then vicious, then irrational, and finally mercilessly, unfathomably brutal.🫣

#JuniorMiners are now on the opposite side of that euphoria, into the darkest phase of despair following a full cleansing cycle, having shaken out a solid chunk of newly minted late #gold and #silver bugs who were already mentally spending the money they were going to make.
That’s just how markets work.😌

#SILJ #SIL #GDX

[Gold Grump Granpa @GoldGrumpGranpa]

Flawless Clean & Reversal of yesterday’s high on #Silver and #Gold futures, followed by a vicious slam right after the NY open.🥲

Check the 60.095 and 4377.5 levels and appreciate the surgical precision of those references for #IntradayTrading.😌

#PreciousMetals #Futures

[Gold Grump Granpa @GoldGrumpGranpa]

We’ve seen extreme #volatility in #silver since September 2025.😵‍💫

Prices surged roughly 230% from the end of August into the January peak, then collapsed and effectively halved in just a few weeks.😵

And yet, here we are: fear is often scarier than the actual experience.😌