Folks building on my last thread about those fed rate cuts where i called the bluff on too many easings now lets talk this iran ceasefire market. Trumps latest moves in iran are straight chaos. What the heck is the strategy here really.
Man, this weekend's UFC Seattle main event got me nostalgic — Izzy Adesanya vs young gun Joe Pyfer. Stylebender vs a power puncher on a tear. Feels like a crossroads fight for the division. Who you got?
GPT-6 by June 30, 2026? Polymarket pricing Yes at just 20¢ 😂
People think OpenAI delays again like GPT-5 → o1 → o3
But it’s 2026 — AGI pace accelerating and crowd still betting on "one more year"
#AI#Polymarket
BTC around $68.75K–$68.8K (CMC, CoinGecko, Binance avg), down ~2.6% in 24h after rejection near $70.6K. Polymarket “Up or Down Mar 22” (noon ET) shows extreme skew — Up <1%. Price already well below ref. #BTC#Polymarket
A brief recap of my LP experience with NCAA on @Polymarket
- made a total of $18k in 5 days providing liquidity.
- total banroll used: $150k-200k.
- had 0 knowledge of college basketball, all required was some maths and attention.
- the whole process was pretty straight-forward: check the odds on major bookies, put the bids in accordingly, change/update the bids with a certain frequency (a screenshot of Daily Rewards window attached below).
- the most profitable LPing is in Live games - $60k in total for Moneyline with pretty limited competition.
- however, got filled a couple of times for 100-200k shares with no chance to sell at break-even (filled by large market orders on the other side moving the market by 1-2c), had to sell at a total $3-4k loss.
- overall profit ~ +$15k , I'll take it 💰
Polymarket Fed-rates gem right now — "What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?" Multi-outcome monster, crowd pricing year-end terminal rate. Most honest truth machine printing the long-game path — this is HUGE for end-2026 outlook! 📈💥 #Polymarket#Fed2026#BullishTerminal