Here's what the $SPCX unlock schedule looks like for the 95% of the shares that are currently frozen:
IPO (June 12, 2026): Only ~4โ5% public float initially available.
First major unlock (~Aug 11, after Q2 earnings): Up to 20% of eligible locked shares.
Rolling 7% releases every ~15 days from late August through late October.
Biggest single tranche (~Nov 9, after Q3 earnings): +28%.
Full unlock for eligible shares by ~December 9, 2026 (180 days post-IPO).
Performance bonus: An extra +10% (total 30% after Q2) is possible if the stock stays โฅ30% above the $135 IPO price.
@ElonMusk & certain major investors: Separate 366-day lockup (unlocks around mid-June 2027). They do not get any of the early releases shown above.
@SpaceX Unlock Chart courtesy of @grok
$AAOI has got to be one of the most frustrating stocks in the market. $20 point moves a day with no rhyme or reason. Closes LOD yesterday and now rips $21 today
@BigPapaWhoop Of course, and I also know that the stock hit thresholds to allow insiders to sell more early. Know an employee that has dumped a total of 60% of shares today, so yeah, ya yoyo