251 Years at the Tip of the Spear
For 251 years, Marines have met every fight with resolve, precision, and an ethos that never wavers. The first to fight and the last to yield. America sleeps well because Marines stand the watch.
Happy Birthday, Marines. Semper Fidelis.
(Narrated by @netflix@mosquitobowl Director Peter Berg)
π₯(U.S. Marine Corps video by Staff Sgt. Patrick Katz)
Writing this in my personal capacity, but I have been flying these types of aircraft for more than 20 years, with over 8,000 hours, and have reasonable familiarity with how the charter world operates. I feel compelled to post after seeing commentary about the Lear 60 crash, from missile strikes to DEI to critiquing this poor womanβs final radio calls.
That last part is what I find most troubling. She was the second-in-command (SIC), and while she was empowered to point out mistakes as part of good crew resource management, she was doing her job, communicating with ATC right to the end in a terrifying situation. She likely knew before many of those calls that she was going to die. I have heard final calls from friends, from military pilots with thousands of hours in fighter aircraft, and they are just as heartbreaking because they know the end is approaching.
I understand the public interest given the footage and audio. But you do not know the aircraftβs maintenance history, whether there was a structural failure, if any failure was induced by turbulence, overspeed, or overcontrol, or everything happening in that cockpit. I am sure weather will be part of the investigation, but beyond that, it is speculation. The charter industry routinely hires commercial pilots very early in their careers to gain experience alongside an ATP-qualified captain before they move up to the airlines. She would still have the appropriate training, qualifications, and checkouts by an FAA examiner or designee.
Let people investigate, learn, and share the facts. Be respectful to those who perished and the families who carry their memories. God bless them and their loved ones.
Arizona gang β WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 21 will feature a potentially substantial severe weather event regionally. Scattered rotating supercell thunderstorms are expected, and a few tornadoes are probable across the Copper State.
Several hailstorms are also likely, and the strongest supercells could produce damaging hail up to hen egg size β or larger.
Please let your friends know that Wednesday is a day to stay weather aware β and have a plan should warnings be issued for your location.
"A climatologically rare and a concerning/well-above-typical risk for severe storms is expected, potentially including all severe hazards with large hail, damaging winds and tornadoes all possible," wrote the Storm Prediction Center.
The impetus is a strong upper-level low offshore of California. That's kinking the jet stream into a potent dip known as a trough.
Ahead of that disturbance, warm, humid air is being scooped north, introducing instability, or thunderstorm fuel. And our disturbance is lifting the air ahead of it, which will generate widespread showers/thunderstorms to feed off that storm fuel.
Meanwhile, the approaching jet stream dip is inducing wind shear, or changing winds with height. Surface winds will be south-southeasterly, but at 10,000 feet we have more southerly/south-southwesterly winds and then STRONG southwesterlies aloft.
Any thunderstorms that grow tall will feel these changing winds with height and rotate, hence the tornado risk.
Across the deserts between Phoenix and Tucson, it'll be a bit drier, meaning cloud bases will be higher β reducing the tornado threat.
But for Prescott, Sedona, Kingman, Flagstaff, the Grand Canyon area and even into southern Utah, it'll be a little cooler and more relatively humid, leading to lower cloud bases. That will make it easier for rotation to snake to the surface, perhaps resulting in a couple tornadoes.
We're also noticing the upper-air disturbance is taking on a "negative tilt," meaning it's shaped like a backslash, or \. Think of a soccer player kicking a ball. The kick is most powerful when the soccer player "follows through." This system's shape gives it more "kick", meaning we really have to watch it carefully.
Finally, much of Arizona is under a flood watch. A broad 1-2 inches is likely, and a couple 3-4 inch rainfall totals are possible where storms pass over the same areas repeatedly. That could lead to flooding in spots.
Please have multiple ways to be notified of warnings.
Just in: El Nino looms large over U.S. Winter Outlook
Expected impacts include warmer North, wetter South and East
--> News release + map images at https://t.co/I4Rec40zTi
Via @NWS@NWSCPC#WinterOutlook#ElNino
Weβve lost an icon. Margaret Hamilton, a computer science pioneer best known for her work at MIT leading development of the flight software for the Apollo missions to the moon, has died at 90. Read about her legacy via MIT News: https://t.co/ODkbdIsoHw