thane

[antirez @antirez]

Btw I believe we have a mostly wrong framing of what could be done in Europe. Italy's Leonardo supercomputer datacenter alone plus Swiss National Supercomputing Centre has more than enough compute to train a very large LLM. It's not something impossible, also there is not magic recipe: it's just scaling, every smart team with the GPUs is doing it. People that fatally believe it is not something within reach are wrong.

[thane @thaneonx]

@MoneySmrt @dhh I never said the state creates wealth: that's your strawman. Markets create wealth; the state sets the rules. The loudest 'government builds nothing' crowd is usually the most subsidized. $22B of SpaceX revenue is your tax money. I want rules, not oligarchs cosplaying self-made.

[thane @thaneonx]

@ricfs @dhh Agreed, the monopoly on force is the scariest power there is. So notice it now runs on one man's rockets and satellites. Even Trump tried to cut his contracts and couldn't, too dependent. A government that can't fire a billionaire isn't free of him. That's oligarchy.

[thane @thaneonx]

@henriquev @dhh You said laissez-faire and liberty from the state. Hayek called dogmatic laissez-faire harmful and backed a minimum income. Mises said the state is necessary. Smith wanted courts and schools. Markets with rules IS classical liberalism. The no-rules version is ancap.

[thane @thaneonx]

@MoneySmrt @dhh "The state doesn't create wealth." Posted under a Musk thread. SpaceX runs on $22B in federal contracts. Tesla made $11B+ from a government-made credit market. Pick a better mascot. I'm pro-market. I want rules, not oligarchs with rockets.

[thane @thaneonx]

@dhh I'm a capitalist (@dhh) But when one man amasses enough wealth to destabilize democracies and NATO, that's not a free market.

That's oligarchy.

Enough ancap, accelerationist nonsense. Bring back old-school liberalism: markets with rules.

[thane @thaneonx]

@dhh Wealth hoarded by a tiny elite isn't prosperity, @dhh.

Europeans get ambulances, insulin and college without bankruptcy. Paid vacation by law.

Funny coming from someone with Danish roots... Denmark is the model you're trashing. Spare us the propaganda.

[Ursula von der Leyen @vonderleyen]

Today, the European Union took a major step forward.

All Member States agreed to open the first accession negotiations cluster with Ukraine and Moldova.

At the first Intergovernmental Conference on Monday, we will open the cluster on fundamentals; the backbone of the accession process.

It covers the core values and principles on which the EU is built, from the rule of law to strong democratic institutions.

This is a recognition of the determination, courage and hard work shown by both countries in advancing reforms, even in the face of immense challenges.

And a signal that the EU’s offer of peace, stability and opportunity is unmatchable.

Enlargement is a strategic choice.

By bringing our nations closer together, we strengthen peace, security and prosperity across our continent.

In a world marked by growing uncertainty, a larger European Union is in our common interest.

Enlargement remains one of the EU’s greatest success stories and our best investment in our shared future.

[thane @thaneonx]

@MatteoZanellii @dhh A Matté ma che stai a di’…. anche no grazie. Sì è rotto il patto Atlantico, si è minacciato di invadere un territorio Europeo, si è insultato i nostri rappresentanti e ci hanno trattato da schiavetti… che Dio salvi l’America da Land, Thiel, Musk, Trump.. baci eh

[Andrew Ng @AndrewYNg]

There will be no AI jobpocalypse.

The story that AI will lead to massive unemployment is stoking unnecessary fear. AI — like any other technology — does affect jobs, but telling overblown stories of large-scale unemployment is irresponsible and damaging. Let’s put a stop to it.

I’ve expressed skepticism about the jobpocalypse in previous posts. I’m glad to see that the popular press is now pushing back on this narrative. The image below features some recent headlines.

Software engineering is the sector most affected by AI tools, as coding agents race ahead. Yet hiring of software engineers remains strong! So while there are examples of AI taking away jobs, the trends strongly suggest the net job creation is vastly greater than the job destruction — just like earlier waves of technology. Further, despite all the exciting progress in AI, the U.S. unemployment rate remains a healthy 4.3%.

Why is the AI jobpocalypse narrative so popular? For one thing, frontier AI labs have a strong incentive to tell stories that make AI technology sound more powerful. At their most extreme, they promote science-fiction scenarios of AI “taking over” and causing human extinction. If a technology can replace many employees, surely that technology must be very valuable!

Also, a lot of SaaS software companies charge around $100-$1000 per user/year. But if an AI company can replace an employee who makes $100,000 — or make them 50% more productive — then charging even $10,000 starts to look reasonable. By anchoring not to typical SaaS prices but to salaries of employees, AI companies can charge a lot more.

Additionally, businesses have a strong incentive to talk about layoffs as if they were caused by AI. After all, talking about how they’re using AI to be far more productive with fewer staff makes them look smart. This is a better message than admitting they overhired during the pandemic when capital was abundant due to low interest rates and a massive government financial stimulus.

To be clear, I recognize that AI is causing a lot of people’s work to change. This is hard. This is stressful. (And to some, it can be fun.) I empathize with everyone affected. At the same time, this is very different from predicting a collapse of the job market.

Societies are capable of telling themselves stories for years that have little basis in reality and lead to poor society-wide decision making. For example, fears over nuclear plant safety led to under-investment in nuclear power. Fears of the “population bomb” in the 1960s led countries to implement harsh policies to reduce their populations. And worries about dietary fat led governments to promote unhealthy high-sugar diets for decades.

Now that mainstream media is openly skeptical about the jobpocalypse, I hope these stories will start to lose their teeth (much like fears of AI-driven human extinction have).

Contrary to the predictions of an AI jobpocalypse, I predict the opposite: There will be an AI jobapalooza! AI will lead to a lot more good AI engineering jobs, and I’m also optimistic about the future of the overall job market. What AI engineers do will be different from traditional software engineering, and many of these jobs will be in businesses other than traditional large employers of developers. In non-AI roles, too, the skills needed will change because of AI. That makes this a good time to encourage more people to become proficient in AI, and make sure they’re ready for the different but plentiful jobs of the future!

[Original text in The Batch newsletter.]

[Alan Friedman @alanfriedmanit]

Trump behaves like a Russian agent inserted into the U.S. presidency.

[Garry Kasparov @Kasparov63]

As I’ve said since that first Trump term, we may never know why Trump is so loyal to Putin. Bribery? Blackmail? Affinity for dictators & oligarchs? KGB asset? All of the above? More important is stopping him, because if he were a Russian agent, what would he do differently?

[thane @thaneonx]

@PeteHegseth @POTUS Want to throw money away relocating your troops and undermining your own position? Be my guest.

[thane @thaneonx]

@b_aware66 @ricpuglisi @iurimariaprado @ilpost @francescocosta Ehm sulle saponette era una leggenda metropolitana. Non toglie nulla ai crimini feroci dei nazisti ma semplicemente tutti gli storici concordano che fosse solo propaganda. Hanno fatto solo quello che fanno sempre spiegare e dare valore ai fatti.

[Elisa Mosini 🇪🇺🇮🇹 @MosiniElisa]

Macron: “A US president, a Russian president, and a Chinese president who are against Europeans. This is the right moment for us, wake up.”

Let’s truly wake up with awareness and a deep conviction: we are capable of facing any challenge only together, as Europe.

🇪🇺

[Gandalv @Microinteracti1]

Americans are raised from birth on a simple gospel: everyone wants to live here. The greatest country. The dream. Come one, come all.

Except they don’t. No European is packing their bags for a country where a burst appendix can take your house. Where you can lose everything you’ve ever worked for because your pancreas had a bad Tuesday.

The United States spends more on F-35s and aircraft carriers than the next ten countries combined. It has not won a war since 1945. It has, however, won the GDP numbers, which are genuinely extraordinary, and which Americans will mention within four seconds of any conversation about healthcare, housing, or the fact that 530,000 of their fellow citizens go bankrupt every year for getting ill.

Sixteen other countries solved this.

But sure. The jets look fantastic.

Gandalv / @Microinteracti1

[thane @thaneonx]

"Donald Trump ha gravi disturbi psichiatrici, dice sua nipote". https://t.co/acTOAg6Xsw

grande podcast/intervista de IlPost

#TrumpRegime

[Pope Leo XIV @Pontifex]

When simulation becomes the norm, it weakens the human capacity for discernment. As a result, our social bonds close in upon themselves, forming self-referential circuits that no longer expose us to reality. We thus come to live within bubbles, impermeable to one another. Feeling threatened by anyone who is different, we grow unaccustomed to encounter and dialogue. In this way, polarization, conflict, fear and violence spread. What is at stake is not merely the risk of error, but a transformation in our very relationship with truth.

[Johnny FD @JohnnyFDK]

For those who think Russia just wants to be left alone. They have been actively destroying and destabilizing the West for years. They just do it in secret instead of calling it a war.

[thane @thaneonx]

@Petertodd Grow up. You’re just little fascists who’ve read too much Cyberpunk and not enough Asimov.