The Black Cat @ Wallstreet

Investments.

[The Black Cat @ Wallstreet @The14MD]

This is the interview that convinced me that Elon does truly care for humanity. 12.04 - 12.54. You can’t fake that. Leonardo Di Caprio can, but pretty sure not Elon. https://t.co/CJjgK2dY1m

[Kishan Patel @kishawn07]

$IREN Aight, I’m the other Patel. Not the wannabe SemiAnalysis guy who likes spreading FUD.
Found some interesting data here…to create a potential crazy theory.

IV ( Image 1)
- We’re sitting near the floor of our historical IV range. The data shows an IV percentile around 2%—meaning IV was lower on only about 2% of trading days over the past year. Roughly five sessions. That’s low.
-If I were selling covered calls here, I’d think twice about how much I’m getting paid to cap my upside. Collecting pennies while potentially handing over the good part of the move isn’t exactly my idea of a great deal.
- On the buying side, this makes me interested in looking at LEAPS. Potentially more bang for your buck if those contracts’ own IV is also depressed.
- Bottom yellow line lines up with the early-January rally and the April moves into and after earnings rally . The most recent IV spike started September 3, alongside the first rally wave of this current uptrend the last two weeks. . Now we’re back around the IV level from just before that move. What happens next???

Triangle TA ( Image 2)
- Look at this giant triangle.
-On the topside : three rejections around $49.30: the Horizon 1 release, the September 8th peak, and the latest Wednesday rejection. Underneath is the support line for the rally that started September 3.
- Same ceiling, rising floor, less room to move.
- We dropped to $46 in two days. Would it be shocking if we got it back in one day? Not really the craziest thing this stock has done.

Open interest ( Image 3)
-Then there’s the 18K+ open interest at the $50 call strike for the expiry shown.
-If we push into $48.50–$49 and keep pressing toward $50, and dealers are net short those calls, increasing delta could make them buy more shares to hedge. That buying could help fuel the move = can someone say GAMMA SQUEEZE fuel.

GEX + Shorts ( Image 4)
- Now add potential short covering. Shorts ( 82 million shares currently short) have been adding off the $49.3 over and over again on each attempt. If IREN goes for this again= can someone say SHORT SQUEEZE fuel.

COMPRESSION + LOW IV + GAMMA SQUEEZE + SHORT COVERING. Time to cook. We got enough ingredients together to make a run at that $50 wall.

Oh don't forget about the potential end of the Iran war, a China-USA deal, a possible Anthropic S-1 drop any day now ( Fridays are more likely then most days for that if you wanted to know).

Calm before the storm? Now let’s see if this thing actually lights the fuse. 💣💥

[The Black Cat @ Wallstreet @The14MD]

@squawksquare It is until it starts generating meaningful revenue from other sources.

[amit @amitisinvesting]

SEMIANALYSIS RELEASES CLUSTERMAX 3.0:

For the 1st and 2nd release, CoreWeave was at the top alone.

For the first time, $NBIS Nebius joins $CRWV CoreWeave as the top ranking neoclouds.

[Chicken Genius @chickengenius]

Here's some fking alpha.
Why I'm bearish... and my fked-up positioning.

Liquidity is tightening. Last time that marked the top. 10Y–2Y.

But you can’t base it on one metric and go “oh yeah, oh yeah, definitely bearish."

Sentiment across the board: nobody’s really making money. Everyone’s sensitive like a little bitch. Market is on max extraction mode. Qs all time high and everyone dying. Imagine a crash.

Me? Challenge portfolio only up 32% YTD. So shit. Latest screenshot attached. $862,000 to $1,135,000. All in echostar fked up my big beautiful ROI.

Oil up. Copper up. Commodities cycle kicking in. Extremely bearish. Fed gets forced. Even if Iran, Israel, Russia all “end,” the commodity upturn stays. People are screwed. No politician will say it.
___

I also kind of realised, with this whole Iran war ON/OFF x42 times: don’t you think this is all a fking Ponzi scheme? Trump insiders are eating good. Trump will do whatever it takes to keep this Ponzi going, so betting against the market sounds fundamentally stupid.
___

So here we are. We can’t short. We can’t long. Either way we’re fked. So my decision is to go back to basics.

Which company is doing the mission-impossible thing nobody believes is achievable? Invest directly or indirectly.

I'm bearish. But I'm max long this ponzi market. If my capital get wipes out. So be it. I tried. In this hunger game of life and death. I'm not here for 10% to 20% gains a year. Fk that. I'll ride and those that ride with me. Hopefully soon, we eat well again.

[The Black Cat @ Wallstreet @The14MD]

@farzyness @elonmusk Elon should go on a show with more credibility, not just click bait.

[The Black Cat @ Wallstreet @The14MD]

@StockSavvyShay @FuturumEquities After that run and $MU is 6x forward earnings…..

[The Black Cat @ Wallstreet @The14MD]

@Zac_labs - cafes
- zhap chye png
- nasi padang
- Japanese omakase

[zerohedge @zerohedge]

He's baaaaack: "Somebody" just spent $100MM premium on 2 week AI Stock Calls for the Oct2 expiration:

INTC Oct2nd 115c bot up to 3.65 20k $7.3MM
MRVL Oct2nd 250c bot 11.00 3500x $3.85MM
SNDK Oct2nd 1600c bot up to 97.60 4200x $41MM
MU oct 2nd 1000c bot up to 44.00 10k $44MM

[Zac @Zac_labs]

Okay SG bros,

Singapore Alpha Map is live. 🇸🇬

https://t.co/2QbO6H2iOi

From data centres → MRT → parks → haze.

So far:

• 65 researched projects + 79 cited references
• 129 hawker centres & markets
• 1,613 parks & open-space parcels
• 272 MRT station points + planned rail
• 8,523 cycling-network segments
• 33 constituencies + GE2025 results
• 76 ABC Waters projects
• Live PSI + PM2.5
• And a lot more

22 public datasets, mostly gov sources, brought together on one map.

See something wrong or missing? Tell me.

If useful, I’ll keep building. Credits to contributors coming next version.

[PlanB @100trillionUSD]

Bitcoin left the 200-week moving average again.

BTC price: $77k
200WMA: $65k

🔵Every cycle bottom happened when the rainbow turned blue. The people who bought the last three times this happened made generational wealth.

Interactive chart👉https://t.co/sbL34SBSjq

[Adam Khoo @adamkhootrader]

well... that's it folks. we had a good run. We are all going to die. 📷 it was a fun ride though.

[squawksquare @squawksquare]

Once again, I his whole AI fear is overblown. Nothing will slow down. Just rhetoric. A bunch of highly wealthy AI execs trying to cover their ass and do the right thing by saying something. You think they are slowing down? Hell no. Trillions are at risk. Their entire businesses at risk. The global economy would crumble. $tsla $sndk $mu $spcx

[Alok Kumar @Alokkumarzz]

A Stanford professor took two average stocks, rebalanced them daily, and turned $100,000 into $7 million without predicting a single price.

Bookmark & watch today, no matter what.

[Dario Amodei @DarioAmodei]

We Must Pace the Frontier: I’ve written a new essay on why the AI industry should slow down, with a three-part plan for doing so.

Anthropic is unilaterally committing to the first of these steps. We’ll provide third-party evaluators with permanent, employee-level access to our systems, so that they can verify adherence to our safety measures, report on incidents, and assess models’ alignment during training.

You can read the full post here: https://t.co/OGyPb7yaYt

[Long_Vol_(₿) @planA_thru_Z]

$NBIS quarterly AI cloud revenue scaled from $41m in Q1/2025 to $575m by Q2/2026. That’s a 14x increase in quarterly revenue over 15 months and the stock did a 5x during that time.

$IREN quarterly AI cloud revenue is expected to scale from $17m in Q4/2025 to more than $1b by Q1/2027, which is a 59x over a similar 15 month duration. $IREN quarterly revenue will ramp significantly faster than $NBIS did and with higher margins too.

That being said, I do believe a $200 share price for $IREN is closer than most investors may think. My base case is $170 per share by Q1/2027 based on monetizing and operating their 2026 year end MW target, so $200 is definitely not far off. We're on the brink of seeing IREN's quarterly revenue EXPLODE so don't be sidelined.

[Adam Khoo @adamkhootrader]

I will not be surprised if we see a knee jerk emotional 10%+ sell off in AI Capex stocks on Monday as a result of this statement by Anthropic CEO (and later supported by all the other Frotier lab CEOs, including Musk himself).

Good thing I have been spending the last few months building positions in all the Non-AI, Anti Bubble capex stocks so my portfolio is well hedged against any sell-off in any one particular secular theme.

[Ben Briggs @Rex_Finance]

1 year at @CleanSpark_Inc today.

This company looks a lot different than the one I started covering over 6 years ago, and it’s still evolving. So am I. I’m surrounded by people who keep taking a chance on me, teaching me, and pushing me to grow.

Grateful for this team. I have unwavering confidence in this company. God is good. Onward.

[Gary Black @garyblack00]

$TSLA has no one but itself to blame for squandering first movers’ advantage in EVs from 2020-2023 and if they use the same play book of allowing the product to speak for itself will squander their first movers’ advantage in unsupervised autonomy in 2026-2027 as well.

The appropriate strategy for TSLA is to clearly communicate the benefits of Cybercab/unsupervised autonomy (time saved, drives while you’re tired, safer than human driving, aesthetics) to would be consumers via a limited (~$100 M) advertising spend. This cements TSLA’s autonomous advantage in the minds of consumers once others copy and add autonomous vehicles to their own product offerings. TSLA allowing its technology to speak for itself is a short-term engineering mindset and merely communicates the product benefits to Tesla’s existing customer base, who already are well aware of and are willing buyers of the technology.

The goal of advertising is to convey the benefits of an innovation to new consumers who wouldn’t ordinarily consider Tesla in their evoked set of potential automotive brands. A second benefit is the halo effect for safety and advanced driving technology that autonomy establishes for the overall TSLA franchise.

TSLA bulls who can’t see these benefits don’t understand why TSLA has underperformed NDX the past 1, 3, and 5 years. The market’s not stupid. With a 200x forward P/E, TSLA needs to deliver better than 35%-40% long term EPS growth to justify that multiple. Absent this level of growth, TSLA stock is likely to continue to underperform.

[Brandon Walker on Investing @vip92226041]

I'm 57 years old and retired from Fidelity. My monthly income is $105,000.
My September advice 3 th:
$SNDK (SanDisk) Don't buy
$LITE (Lumentum) - Don't buy
$MCD (McDonald's) Don't buy
$NVDA (Nvidia) - Buy at $218-$225
$SPCX (SpaceXb) - Buy at $138-$145
$NOW (ServiceNow) - Buy at $136-$142
$MRVL (Marvell Technology) - Buy at $202-$208
People ask, Why don't you charge?
I've made enough. Sharing is my passion, that's why I post for fre.

[amit @amitisinvesting]

to be honest, the S&P up 1% on a day where oil makes a 3 month high is a little weird

but maybe the market has moved on from caring about rising bond yields and oil?

feels crazy to think that’s the case but this type of move today in the face of bad macro is either a trap or the market saying it doesn’t care about rate hikes, it cares about earnings

and earnings growth is accelerating