@Domahhhh@TheGreekTrader@CarOnPolymarket I'm still collecting evidence for oceangate, suit, and djt coin. There should still be open and trading. The evidence was created during the market timeframe but I'm still going through the legal process to publish it.
@mlipman13@kazioOCE@Yueqi_Yang I agree with your main point. But no they are not using leverage, which I think is important. And I do think they have notional exposure to local team performance. And obviously all the other inputs to their business! Farming has always been straightforwardly
@mlipman13@kazioOCE@Yueqi_Yang Would your answer change if the bar placed this bet with leverage? (I understand this isn't possible for a single event and also that insurance exists for this sort of thing)
@basilYam It's a complicated calculation (there are spreadsheets) but under 5 years hold time seems very unlikely to be a good decision imo. But they shouldn't hold that much cash in the first place