Price Zone
Structural Meaning
Probability
A
$62K – $75K
Shallow pullback, institutions defend early
30%
B
$55K – $62K
Direct retest of RP + 200W EMA confluence (primary zone)
40%
C
$50K – $55K
Overshoot flush below confluence
20%
D
< $50K
Structural breakdown / macro shock
Bitcoin at ~$65K.
200W MA ≈ $58.5K.
Realized price ≈ $55K.
Price is above both structural anchors but drifting toward them.
That’s not euphoria.
That’s a macro retest phase.
Historically, the zone between the 200W MA and realized price has been consolidation — not collapse.