I am incredibly optimistic about India
India seems broken. Pollution. Poverty. Inequality. Low income. Broken infrastructure. Monopolies. Unemployment. Illiteracy. It takes 2 minutes to come up with this laundry list. You can only be optimistic about this if you’re delusional.
But pessimists sound smart, optimists make money
They said India is a unique country because it disappoints both the pessimists and the optimists. I think that needs updating because it will only disappoint the pessimist. India’s 400M millenial energy, UPI scale innovation, moon flying technology, 7% world-beating growth are unlocking a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity.
India is entering the era of the optimist
Counterintuitively, it is easier to be a pessimist than an optimist in India. Throw a stone, and you will hit a problem. Optimism is harder because one must see what India could be rather than what India is.
Optimism requires imagination
In 2010, imagining a $1.6T India would be a $3.5Tn economy was hard. In 2013, imagining India’s internet penetration to 5x and become 50% was hard. In 2016, imagining $1Tn of transactions would be done with a little thing called UPI was hard. In 2019, imagining India would have 100 unicorns was hard. In 2022, imagining India could land on the moon was hard
Today, imagining India will be a superpower is hard
All that we imagine of course does not come true. It is why pessimism is so widespread. But I have realised most people overestimate what happens in one year and underestimate what happens in ten years.
Optimists benefit hugely from the world’s underestimation of what is possible
Optimists who do something about their optimism are entrepreneurs. Entrepreneurs are not necessarily “founders” of companies. They could be your neighborhood kirana lady, or the delivery guy moving to a big city, or the small-town girl becoming an influencer, or your friendly neighborhood VC. They convert their optimism into action, which reaps benefits when the impossible becomes true.
Optimism is a choice, and it is necessary if you want to benefit from growth
I love it when people say I champion India. I feel awesome when people say I champion startups. Both have so much in common. Both have so much broken, yet so much potential. Both are underdogs. Both have more naysayers than cheerleaders. But both will change the world if they end up succeeding.
I choose to be the optimist who imagines them achieving the impossible
Google Cloud GenAI story is complete and comprehensive. With first-party foundation models and integration of OSS models, VertexAI + Colab becomes a powerful platform to deploy and fine-tune models.
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My experience has repeatedly proven this Paul Graham quote to be true.
Three implications:
1. Writing cultures tend to learn faster than those that use slides, dashboards, or other mediums.
2. They learn faster because they present denser information to readers, but even more importantly because they help writers think more clearly.
3. As you become more senior, it is very dangerous to only review work from other people. You must keep writing yourself.
2023: $30,000 to get a simple iPhone app created, $300 for a plumbing job.
i wonder what those relative prices will look like in 2028!
the likely coming divergence between changes to cognitive work and changes to physical work could be quite dramatic.
With a 50.2% market share, PhonePe is the No.1 UPI app in India. Thank you for every moment you’ve trusted us. #PhonePeNo1UPIApp
Source: https://t.co/NZ3wxrZjUl
All these people from FB & Google saying what OpenAI has done is unimpressive & that FB/Goog has been doing it for a few years at scale — Ok, but who cares? You're not giving us access to your shiny technology & opening up the world to possibilities. Now you're seething & coping.
As a senior software engineer, it's important to stay current on the latest technologies and best practices. What methods do you use to continuously learn and grow in your career? #learning#growth#seniorsoftwareengineer