Rico

God. Finance. Geopolitics. Sports. I predict markets based on sentiment and data. DYOR. NFA. $MARA $COIN $MSTR $AMD $SMCI $HOOD $HIMS $OSCR

[Rico @thequantsheep]

I think President Trump is hyper aware of the house of cards he inherited.

His only goal now is to kick the can down the road further and let the cards collapse when his term is over.

That means:
50 year mortgages
Low interest rates
Stimulus
Money printer

Let’s run it up

[Rico @thequantsheep]

@Alejandro_XBT So 4 year cycle is dead?

[Meet Kevin ❇️ @realMeetKevin]

BREAKING: Hedge funds are going short $5 for every $1 long!
➡️ Rumors 4 funds got liquidated TODAY

✅ Short leverage: 99th percentile of the last 5 years. REALLY SHORT!
✅ CTAs cut equity length by two thirds in a month. $125b long to $43.5b.
😇 That's money that flows back in SUPER FAST in the future.
✅ Non-dealers dumped $70b of S&P futures. Largest unwind in 15 years!
😇 going back to 2011....
✅ Wells Fargo: ~$1b of mostly Nasdaq 100 selling through Thursday.
➡️ Rates vol gets part of the blame.
😇 Broad-based shorting by hedge funds and selling, in part due to Anthropic concerns.
➡️ IMO everyone who could sell already did. That's the setup, not the end. I'm not chasing the short.
$QQQ

[Bull Theory @BullTheoryio]

1. Gold can be created in a lab.
2. China’s AI bubble popped, erasing trillions.
3. Google crashed -13%, erasing $482 billion in a single day, its worst drop ever.
4. US plans another operation against Iran.
5. Crypto exchange Binance got hacked for $5.6 billion, the largest heist in human history.

All this happened in just past 5 days.

[Rico @thequantsheep]

Turns out we didn’t front run the bottom and Sideliners do get a chance to get in lol

How much more pain here? Almost as if the week before midterms (that’s always bearish) turns out bearish. Who could have predicted it?

Maybe a wick to $72k and $1950 for $eth

[Rico @thequantsheep]

These crashes are chump change. Typical midterm year shakeout

The true crash comes in late 2028, maybe as late as 2029

this crash you will want to have a serious cash position for.

It could be 12-24 months to see recovery and be a brutal time globally

Find Jesus.

[Rico @thequantsheep]

@CryptoTony__ If it happens I think it needs to happen within the next 2 weeks

[The Kobeissi Letter @KobeissiLetter]

There it is.

Over 60% of the S&P 500's components are now in bear market territory, down -20% or more from their record highs.

Four of the Magnificent 7 stocks are now in bear market territory, with these seven names erasing a combined -$4 trillion in market cap since their highs.

We are in a "stealth" bear market.

And, we believe it's a huge opportunity as we outlined below on October 15th.

[Quinten @QuintenFrancois]

Iran war.
CLARITY Act blocked.
First Fed hike in 3 years.
Treasury yields at multi-decade highs.
Strategy sold 6,916 Bitcoin.
COLDCARD exploited.
Ledger exploited.
Binance hacked.

I genuinely don’t think people realize how much bad news Bitcoin has absorbed.

If this isn’t a sign of resilience and potential seller exhaustion, I don’t know what is.

[Rico @thequantsheep]

@amitisinvesting Maybe mark Cuban is right & everything is a meme stock

[Rico @thequantsheep]

You have to love these conditions if you’re a mid-term believer in crypto

[Rico @thequantsheep]

@elliotrades They won’t sweep

[Rico @thequantsheep]

@allenanalysis Will they lose though?

[Geiger Capital @Geiger_Capital]

Holy. Shit.

The NYT is reporting that despite their denials, Mary Peltola's staff and Democratic operatives flew all over Alaska in secret to find and recruit a man named Dan Sullivan.

They put him on the ballot to purposefully steal votes from Republican Dan Sullivan.

[Polymarket @Polymarket]

BREAKING: Democrats secretly recruited a second candidate named Dan Sullivan to run against GOP Sen. Dan Sullivan in Alaska, hoping to confuse voters & boost Mary Peltola's chances, per NYT investigation.

[Leading Report @LeadingReport]

FAIR estimates illegal immigration costs U.S. taxpayers $150.7 billion annually, including expenses for U.S.-born children of undocumented immigrants.

[Rico @thequantsheep]

@CryptoGodJohn I think we’ll have another dump after midterms to scare everyone and squeeze longs

[Rico @thequantsheep]

@NickJFuentes You’re smarter than this

[Rico @thequantsheep]

we likely dump a few days post midterms to get a final capitulation

[Rico @thequantsheep]

Everyone needs to log off X acting like the end of the world is coming 🤣

[aaalex.hl @aaalex]

It's Sunday and the entire timeline is just doom posting:

- Brazil electing a communist
- Conspiracy to attack US power grids
- Buy canned food asap before everything goes dark
- AI bubble popped
- Israel wants to nuke Iran

This is the Thanos of all bottom signals my lord