There is no holy grail system in the stock market.
High alpha comes from years of experience mastering the art of stock selection, timing, and market context—then building a simple, scalable process around that edge.
Find leadership. Enter with asymmetry. Size correctly. Control risk.
That is the system.
software names standing out today $wcld $net $ntap $snow $navn $okta $band $twlo $ddog
$docn news this morning related to agentic ai - "expects to report record Q2 2026 results with RPO to exceed $800m, up more than 10x year over year"
Agentic AI traffic has recently overtaken humans with ~57% of all online requests
I have been in cash since I sold $mxl on 7/1. Breaking system rules is rarely beneficial but given the larger context, it was a necessary premature exit. Semi leaders $amd $intc $smh were failing their breaks of short bases while already extended, and $arm and many other semi's were wide & loose.
Additionally, other leaders in memory $sndk $mu, and data centers $nbis $hut were all extended.
There has been some great rotation opportunities in biotech $xbi $mrna and cyber security $panw $crwd, but besides that market needs some healthy consolidation. Important now to not become distracted by any shiny new sectors, and instead simply wait for leaders from April to reset.
@AmeetRai Trading is extremely lonely, it's easy to think we are only ones making mistakes. It's extremely comforting to know top traders struggle through same experiences. Plus many times consuming content provides inspiration for nuances in our own systems.
All leaders wide & loose. $spy $qqq working on 8 weeks now of healthy sideways. Now is time to start stalking for leaders with bases to start tightening.
Last week leaders gave much needed rest. Lots of leaders just consolidating nicely sideways. Stalking entries into leaders and scouting for more possible rotation. Here is just a few of strongest/best looking stuff: $aeva $xbi $bfly $mrna $blze $intc $mp $scco $be $gev $panw
Semi's and memory delivered a meaningful risk-off signal this week. In this environment, drawdown control is essential.
The group will likely need time to reset before offering attractive risk-reward opportunities again. I am remaining cautious on $SMH, $AMD, $ARM, $CRDO, $AMAT, $SNDK, $MU.
The priority now is waiting for leaders to reset while also identifying potential new market leadership. Data center's, fuel cells, and biotech are some areas I am watching closely, particularly $NBIS, $BE, $XBI, and $ARKG.
I will also continue to scout for major surprises. $BLZE was an incredible opportunity recently.
The AI buildout is likely to unfold over decades, creating extraordinary opportunities for long-term wealth generation. The market won't go straight up. These periods of volatility and consolidation are healthy and provide incredible gifts to enter the strongest market leaders.
$mxl major squat, not great sign for semi group $smh $amd $intc $crdo $dell $alab $mrvl $klic $acmr need more time to digest their moves from april, have been straight up not great risk:reward here
news:
- $meta forming cloud business to sell excess AI compute
- $be massive partnership expansion with Brookfield from previouslly announced $5b to $25b, not holding it’s gap though
-physical ai stocks caught bids yesterday could be a new theme $botz $tsla $oust $aeva $amba $sym
leaders watchlist:
-semi’s and memory still dominating the market outside of other pockets of strength $amd $dell $mrvl $arm $mxl $sndk $mu
- $panw $crwd $ftnt cyber security continue higher from short flags
- $nbis strongest data center play
- $xbi $arkg biotech pausing from big runs out of bases
news:
- $avav great turnaround report “strongest financial performance in history”, chart not ready though, rest of drone names gapping with it $onds $ampx $umac $avav
- $enph $sedg up this morning as they continue to tap into data center buildout
leaders watchlist:
-all of the leaders since April staged strong intraday reversals yesterday $amd $dell $mrvl $arm $nbis $sndk $mu
- $mxl leading semi name broke out yesterday see if it can hold up
- $panw $crwd cyb security broke out yesterday, continue to be extremely strong
- $xbi $arkg biotech current leading sector ai is transforming modern medicine
-fiber optics still building out bases $lite $aehr $aaoi
Healthy rotation as leaders consolidating. Don’t chase new merchandise, focus on leaders.