@Peter_Turchin Just finished End Times, great read. One thing I was wondering: How will declining fertility affect a revolutionary moment? In a decade most boomers will be gone. Its almost inevitable this will start a population decline. Would the model treat this as an epidemic?
@Chris_arnade And to the left saying that this is the result of a centrist Democratic party, they're insane. The working class union voters that the Ds have relied on for generations don't agree with them on things like pronouns, immigration, even stuff like what constitutes sexual harassment
@ArmandDoma He was supposed to hold a town hall for women, but instead he played music and danced for 40 minutes and people were like "That's the one that can fix things."
@gelliottmorris If there's enough gas left in the Philadelphia area to make up the margin, and she holds MI, she still just needs either of WI or AZ. It's the same as it's always been before all this "7 battle ground states" shit took off. PA, WI, MI.
@blader Just a reminder that Trump has to win BOTH of AZ and WI if she wins PA (which she will -- lots of philly votes left to count) and MI (which looks good because she's slaughtering in Detroit).
@NateSilver538 If it ends up as a blowout one way or another, what does that say about the state of polling, the pollster weightings, and the approach of the model generally?
@JoeConchaTV Hey Joe, I haven’t seen you post an update from Nate Silver’s forecast in a while. I don’t have a membership? Any insights? You were posting about it a lot a few weeks ago.
@shinboson @Hackthestack777 Which is what we see when we ask questions like strawberry: if you ask it to check its work it usually makes the same mistake again. You have to tell it its wrong.
@ManMadeMoon I also think there’s a lot that could be done with an EV conversion standard: common motor standard with unique adapters for different applications, standardized electronics package, batteries, etc. Create an ecosystem for manufacturers so enthusiasts can mod ala hotrods.
@alexalbert__ I’m using it extensively to build an iOS app and I’ve never built anything in swift before. I know the patterns I want to use, but not the syntax. It’s irrelevant with Claude as a guide.
@mattshumer_ I was actually wondering what interviews for fullstack devs are like at the AI companies. Why would they have a coding portion? Or do they inly have an AI assisted coding portion? Or are they never hiring a fullstack dev again?
@mattshumer_@GolGappay102 Creativity is severely lacking on cgpt4o. Ask it for creative themes, you’ll get cyberpunk, steampunk, fantasy, something with an apothecary or clock maker. It makes using it almost impossible programmatically for creative tasks like generating 500 images with unique themes.
@paulg This is the second (or maybe third) wave of social networks. Let’s say AOL was first — chatrooms first, then AIM later were seminal for millennials. Myspace was second gen. Facebook was third. One could argue there were things before AOL, but for the masses, I think thats it.