Tailgate

Sports Predictions with friends. Tail handicappers & get paid when others follow you. Backed by @alliance @cbventures app download link ⬇️ {Invite Only}

[Tailgate @thetailgateapp]

Follow sharps and get alpha.

The social layer of sports prediction markets is here.

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[Tailgate @thetailgateapp]

@Steeze8ick We got you! Can you email [email protected] and we will get you sorted on your issue

[Tailgate @thetailgateapp]

Want negative VIG?

🐊

[Sherpa @0xSherpaXYZ]

Good luck finding better pricing on the Knicks vs Spurs tonight.

Negative VIG of 1.72%

@thetailgateapp is the only app in sports that will actively give you arbitrage opps that can be executable within a single account.

Going to be rolling this out to select users starting today.

Comment your Tailgate username below if you want to be considered early access.

[Tailgate @thetailgateapp]

@CookerFlips 4 leg parlay? You asking to get cooked

[Lefty @LeftyBetz]

Max Meyer is currently 5-0 as a Starting pitcher facing Andrew Alvarez who is 1-0, tough matchup overall but I like the odds over on @thetailgateapp for the Marlins. -100 great value.

[Tailgate @thetailgateapp]

$100-> $1,000

Trust in Bubbs

[Bubbs @BUBBSAI]

$100 - $1000 in 2 days

Marlins U 8.5 (-113)

💙 = Tailng

[Tailgate @thetailgateapp]

@SmoothManSports @djb1112 trade*

[Tailgate @thetailgateapp]

Wemby is training like a Navy Seal…the Knicks might actually be in trouble 😭

[Tailgate @thetailgateapp]

If you like to Arbitrage and you have been limited.

We would love for you to Arbitrage directly in Tailgate.

We help you win, unlike a sportsbook

[Mike10693 @Mike_Thurston]

lol I’ve only use Fanatics when I visit Mass and it’s not for Arbitrage 💀😂

[Tailgate @thetailgateapp]

Tailgate Weekly Leaderboard 💰

Sharp picks posted live, community tailed, and the results showed.

Who’s getting your tail this week?

[Energy @PicksWithEnergy]

3/3 over in @thetailgateapp

always line shop and get the best odds 😀

Use Code “Energy” when signing up and follow to tail all my plays! I post a lot of leans and live bets when I’m too lazy to post here

[Tailgate @thetailgateapp]

You don’t get a 5u from Smooth very often, but when you do you listen

[SmoothManSports @SmoothManSports]

🇫🇷 #RolandGarros 🍇 | Monday 5U + Write Up 🎾

The Stallion is so back:

🐳 5U 🇮🇹 Matteo Berrettini ML (-146/1.68)

And so is Mr. 🐳. Thank you so much for reading if you make it that far.

👇Here's Why👇

Nobody wants to say Matteo Berrettini is back, because every time we do, his body files a formal objection.

He's spent years getting taped, scanned, and scratched from draws and—even as a fan—I watch his matches through my fingers, flinching at every grimace, waiting for the abdominal or the foot or whatever body part is next to finally give.

Once a Wimbledon finalist, he's now outside the Top 100 and playing his first Roland Garros since 2021.

And yet, here we are.

Through three matches in Paris, Berrettini has been broken just five times. Five. Across twelve sets and two five-set street fights, the most fragile man in the draw has somehow become one of the most reliable servers left in the tournament.

Which is one many reasons why seeing -146 against Juan Manuel Cerundolo feels absurd.

The easiest mistake to make with Berrettini is assuming he's just a serve-and-forehand caveman that JMC will be able to outplay tomorrow.

He's not.

What has always separated The Stallion from the dozens of players with a huge forehand and a vulnerable backhand is how intentional he is about creating the looks he wants.

Every point feels like a little heist.

The serve creates the opening. The slice changes the geometry. A neutral ball gets nudged into the right part of the court. Then suddenly Berrettini is standing three feet inside the baseline with a forehand and the point is effectively over.

A lot of players have great forehands. Berrettini built a Wimbledon-final career around manufacturing one more forehand than his opponent wanted him to hit.

And that's what makes this matchup so difficult for Cerundolo.

Juanma is a terrific competitor and one of the craftiest clay-courters outside the ATP elite, but he's dramatically underpowered by ATP standards.

Per @TennisViz and Courtside Advantage, he hits his forehand roughly 3 mph slower and his backhand 6 mph slower than the average ATP opponent while also giving the ball substantially more air (he hits his backhand with 21 inches more net clearance than the average ATP player (and forehand with 3 more inches)).

In plain English: slower balls, more height, more time.

That isn't a flaw in Cerundolo's game. It is his game. He plays with margin, buys time, and turns matches into patience contests.

But against Berrettini, that's practically an invitation for destruction.

Every extra fraction of a second that ball hangs in the air is another fraction of a second for Matteo to run around the backhand and line up one of the biggest forehands left in the draw. Meaning Juanma will be forced to play with less margin, if he can find it.

But the deeper issue is that the injuries have become so central to the Berrettini conversation that they've obscured something important:

These are not players from the same tier of tennis. Not even close.

And I think the market forgot.

For example, Cerundolo holds serve around 71% of the time for his career. Berrettini holds nearly 88% on clay. That's not a matchup edge. That's evidence of two players who have spent their careers operating at very different levels of the sport.

Somewhere along the way, people--myself included--stopped talking about the tennis and started talking exclusively about the body.

This is still a guy who has won six titles and over 70% of his career matches on clay. That's not the profile of a scrappy upstart. That metric is Ruud territory. Tsitsipas territory. Even approaching Federer territory.

The injuries took most of Matteo Berrettini from us—the prime we were owed, the decade that should have been.

But what's left is proving to be elite this week.

And The Blender will choose to believe.

If you made it this far through an amateur writer's post, I appreciate you more than you know.

Thank you so much for reading and best of luck, Super Team ❤️❤️.

🍎 You can tail these on @thetailgateapp right now (PLEASE use code: SMOOTH ❤️). The best lines anywhere are legally available globally and in your App Store.

🍏 Track ALL my Official Plays on @SharpCircleBet, where I'm independently tracked & verified.

Best of luck, Super Team ❤️.

Trust the system; cash the slips.

[Tailgate @thetailgateapp]

BANG

[SmoothManSports @SmoothManSports]

Joao “The Answer” Fonseca.

BANG on @thetailgateapp.

[Tailgate @thetailgateapp]

This was the last time the Knicks and the Spurs met in the NBA Finals!

[Tailgate @thetailgateapp]

The Spurs are headed to the Finals ‼️

[Tailgate @thetailgateapp]

LeBron James closed out NBA Finals Game 7 with 37 points against the Spurs in 2013 🔥

[Tailgate @thetailgateapp]

@CookerFlips They are on Tailgate

[Energy @PicksWithEnergy]

Cash this, glad I played on @thetailgateapp to get better odds. Line was -120 everywhere

✅1U Jovic/Osaka o21.5 Games (-108)

❤️ if you cashed with me!

[Sherpa @0xSherpaXYZ]

Legit nothing I love more than seeing our users smash the market makers.

We built this app to help people win more and it’s working.

If we were the book we would be toasted.

Keep winning 🐊🐊

[SmoothManSports @SmoothManSports]

If your opponent can serve the ball (literally) over your head, you probably shouldn't be a -400 favorite.

The @thetailgateapp family knew that.