KingRichardFx • TheTurtleSouper

Macro Financial Economist | Analyst | Trader📈

Fundamental for Direction, Technicals for Entry.

[KingRichardFx • TheTurtleSouper @TheTurtleSouper]

In the Battlefield of Trading
Edge is your Sword 🗡
Risk Management is your Shield 🛡

[KingRichardFx • TheTurtleSouper @TheTurtleSouper]

Prerequisite:
FINANCIAL ECONOMICS.

[KingRichardFx • TheTurtleSouper @TheTurtleSouper]

ZERO FOMO
ZERO FOMO
ZERO FOMO

[KingRichardFx • TheTurtleSouper @TheTurtleSouper]

@ADAMA_fx @Abdol00703 @fundingpips @Khldfx @TrustedPropHub @PropFirmMatch @PFMNaija @probernard_02 Hence this props are not a good environment for swing trades right?

[KingRichardFx • TheTurtleSouper @TheTurtleSouper]

DATA > EXPECTATIONS > RATE PRICING > YIELDS > MONEY > MARKET

Holy grail of Macro.

[KingRichardFx • TheTurtleSouper @TheTurtleSouper]

The FED policy decision itself is not the end of the information. The more important question is how the decision changes the expected path of policy moving forward.

[KingRichardFx • TheTurtleSouper @TheTurtleSouper]

@uncommonkvng Spend more time learning Macro Fundamentals.
Build a solid foundation on Financial Economics.
Show up everyday.

[KingRichardFx • TheTurtleSouper @TheTurtleSouper]

@Cmessiah001 @richard_mill_ EurCHF longs this week?

[KingRichardFx • TheTurtleSouper @TheTurtleSouper]

@Mr1CT So called high Probability drops if it’s opposing Macros

[KingRichardFx • TheTurtleSouper @TheTurtleSouper]

@steadydogz @vee_anibe One simple macro that invalidates your GBPUSD trade, the market is currently expecting the FEDS to hike later this week. Macro thesis for GBP isn’t all that bullish for. GBP as well.

[KingRichardFx • TheTurtleSouper @TheTurtleSouper]

@steadydogz @vee_anibe A good place to start your Macro journey;
DATA > EXPECTATIONS > RATE PRICING > YIELDS > MONEY > MARKET.

Understand one thing, Expectations move the market; Rate expectations, Inflation expectations, growth expectations

Rate Expectation is the top most driver of the market

[KingRichardFx • TheTurtleSouper @TheTurtleSouper]

@steadydogz @vee_anibe Depending on the market you are trading;
CURRENCY- focus on Macro divergence
STOCK INDEX: growth, rate expectations
GOLD: Real yields, rate expectations, geopolitics

[KingRichardFx • TheTurtleSouper @TheTurtleSouper]

@jamaal_trades So a dovish hike?🫠

[KingRichardFx • TheTurtleSouper @TheTurtleSouper]

@pappyari @0x1Rosy For real?😳

[KingRichardFx • TheTurtleSouper @TheTurtleSouper]

QT might be coming to an end.

[KingRichardFx • TheTurtleSouper @TheTurtleSouper]

@richard_mill_ NGN

[KingRichardFx • TheTurtleSouper @TheTurtleSouper]

@jamaal_trades Forget this Furus😂
U.S. inflation remains at 3.4%.
Drop your macro insight🤲🫡

[KingRichardFx • TheTurtleSouper @TheTurtleSouper]

@Kingboban237 What pair?😂

[KingRichardFx • TheTurtleSouper @TheTurtleSouper]

Much harder when you consume wrong information.

[King boban @Kingboban237]

an extreme sport

[KingRichardFx • TheTurtleSouper @TheTurtleSouper]

That is the real USD story right now:

The market is no longer asking, “When will the Fed cut?”

It is increasingly asking:

“What if the Fed cannot cut at all?”

[KingRichardFx • TheTurtleSouper @TheTurtleSouper]

THE FED IS GETTING A VERY UNCOMFORTABLE SIGNAL FROM THE MARKET.

The U.S. economy just added 162K jobs in August, far above expectations, while unemployment held at 4.1%.

That alone reduces the case for cutting rates.

But now oil is approaching $100.

That changes the equation.

[KingRichardFx • TheTurtleSouper @TheTurtleSouper]

And this is happening just days before U.S. CPI.

The interesting part?

The Fed doesn’t need to hike simply because growth is strong.

But if inflation reaccelerates while the labour market remains resilient, the argument for keeping rates higher becomes much stronger.