Isaac G. Mugo

[Isaac G. Mugo @thisismugo]

@citizentvkenya @TrevorOmbija If we truly want national healing, we should strip the Prayer Breakfast of its luxuries. Cancel the hotel. Hold it at Uhuru Park. Ask leaders to come with no script, no cameras, and, heaven forbid, no breakfast.Let it be a time of real fasting and honest reflection

[Isaac G. Mugo @thisismugo]

@ngangaj
On Jan 27-28, leaders, policymakers, youth & innovators unite in Dar es Salaam for the #Mission300 #AfricaEnergySummit to drive bold commitments & actionable solutions to electrify 300M+ people in Africa.

@RockefellerFdn @EnergyAlliance @SEforALLorg @_AfricanUnion

[ephraimnjegafan @ephraimnjegafan]

This Adani KETRACO deal leaves many questions to be answered. The more I think about it, the more I wonder if we have gone mad as a country. That someone has even concocted such a deal amounts to a grave insult to our intelligence. I was shocked to hear the president say that the deal would lead to a cheaper cost of power. I will address that later in the post.

Adani is constructing three transmission lines namely 96km, 220kV Ronga-Keringet-Chemosit, 206 km 400 kV Gilgil-Thika-Malaa-Konza and 70 km 132 kV Menengai-Ol Kalou-Rumuruti. The total distance of these lines is 372 km. The total cost is KSh 96 billion. Two substations will also be constructed in Rongai and Thurdibuoro.

According to KETRACO these are the costs for the bipolar 500 kV HVDC Ethiopia-Kenya transmission line; "The 612km transmission line in Kenya has been broken into Lots 4, 5 and 6 whose tenders were respectively awarded to KEC International Ltd-India, Larsen and Toubro Limited Power Transmission and Distribution and Kalpataru Power Transmission Ltd, India at a total cost of USD 140 Million." -Sources KETRACO website.

So a 612 km transmission line cost USD 140 million but 372 km of lower specs transmission lines will cost us USD 737 million (initial cost in March 2024 was USD 1.014 billion). Regime defenders will talk about inflation but how much inflation has happened since Nov 2022 when this line was completed? Has the cost of goods risen by 7 times in two years?

To look at it another way. The total KETRACO transmission network as of June 2023 was 5,476 km. The historical cost of the network including work in progress is KSh 205 billion translating to KSh 37 million per km. Adani is doing 372 km at KSh 96 billion translating to KSh 258 million per km. Does this make sense?

KETRACO masterplan till 2042 proposes to construct 11,131 km of transmission lines at a cost of $4.778 billion (KSh 621 billion at the current exchange rate KSh 130/dollar) translating to KSh 56 million per km. Adani's initial quote translated to KSh 354 million per km which is 6 times what KETRACO had estimated in the Masterplan. If this is not madness tell me what is?

According to KETRACO press release, in March Adani had quoted $1.014 billion and then reduced it to $737 million in August 2024. This is a reduction of $278 million (KSh 36 billion) or 27%. If this is not evidence of cost inflation what is? KSh 36 billion is a very huge amount of money. It cannot be overquoted by mistake and reduced "following negotiations" as per KETRACO.

KETRACO says the annual revenue requirement for the deal is $164 million. At an exchange rate of KSh 130/dollar, this translates to KSh 21.32 billion per year. Which adds up to KSh 640 billion for the 30 years Adani will be running the lines.

Remember earlier in the post we needed KSh 621 billion to construct 11,131 km of transmission lines till 2042. So we are paying a higher amount to construct 372 km of lines than will cost us to construct 11,131 km of lines. These are the deals Magufuli once said can only be signed by mad people.

Let us go back to the president's claim that the deal will lead to a cheaper cost of power. The 372 km Adani lines are just 6.8% of the 5,476 km of transmission lines KETRACO had in June 2023. The claims by KETRACO that the Adani project will lower power losses and result in tariff reduction are nonsensical. What impact can an additional 7% of lines have?

Between 2019 and 2023 KETRACO increased its network by 3,438 km representing a growth of 59%. Did that lower the cost of power? What is so special about the Adani lines? Are they magic lines? If the Adani deal annual revenue requirements amounts to KSh 21 billion per year it means that the cost of power will rise by about KSh 2 per unit. How can this reduce the cost of power?

[Joseph Nganga @ngangaj]

.@lizwathuti plays a critical role in establishing the formal youth involvement framework for @AfClimateSummit as the Lead Coordinator for the Africa Youth Climate Assembly (Nairobi, 1-3 September 2023).

📹 https://t.co/PEoZLsStpo

#ACS23 #CarbonMarkets #ClimateFinance

[Africa Climate Summit @AfClimateSummit]

At #ACS23, our continent shall have the opportunity to develop and present a new vision of Africa as a continent that is ready and able, a continent of tremendous potential, abundant opportunities, infinite promise and endless possibility to provide climate solutions.

These are the sentiments echoed by @ClimateEnvoyKe

Join us at the summit as we turn ideas into action.
Register now 👉 https://t.co/x1pxsqADBJ

In partnership with @Environment_Ke on behalf of the Government of Kenya and @_AfricanUnion

#AfricaClimateSummit23

[Isaac G. Mugo @thisismugo]

@afro_mambo @rigathi @cbs_ke 🤣🤣🤣

[Pauline Njoroge @paulinenjoroge]

When @PaulKagame enforced strict regulations on religious institutions in Rwanda, including the requirement of a theology degree for those who may wish to lead a church or a religious institution, I saw some Christians arguing that being a pastor is a calling, and one does not require training as long as they know the Bible.

Such people are ignorant of the fact that being a pastor is not just about preaching. For starters, the preaching must be theologically sound and not heretical. Secondly, a pastor should also have capacity to lead, give pastoral guidance, serve and shepherd the congregation, and sometimes offer counseling. This requires proper training and preparedness.

Ask yourself why mainstream churches take people through 4-7 years of theological training before ordination. See, being a nurse or a teacher is a calling. But does one just wake up and start attending to patients in hospital or teaching kids just because they have felt the calling? No! They go to school to get equipped for that calling.

Today a guy told me that Jesus was a preacher yet he never went to any school. He forgot that Jesus was God and therefore the Word. Despite that, at one point he disappeared from his family and went to the temple, where he sat with teachers, listening to them and asking questions. Jesus himself trained his disciples for three years before they were commissioned.

If you have been called to be a pastor and you are well intentioned, stop the excuses. Invest in that calling by getting the necessary training that will give you capacity to lead and shepherd God’s people. The church is losing its impact and influence in society because most of the people heading it are not well equipped to lead or give pastoral guidance. We have so many churches, but without the power thereof.

Our God is a God of order. Remember how people of old were committed in building Him temples and churches. These magnificent structures were build for over 100-200 years and are standing to date. The work, sacrifices and resources that went into building and equipping God’s house and the installation of the most outstanding music instruments signified the kind of reverence people had for God. But nowadays, anything goes and anyone goes. No effort whatsoever, no discipline, no commitment or sacrifice, no much thougt. A guy wakes up one day, tells his family and friends that he has felt the calling, rents a room next to a bar, calls it a church and names himself a pastor.

[Isaac G. Mugo @thisismugo]

@Pash_4 Congratulations to you and wishing you many more successes in 2023 and beyond.

[Isaac G. Mugo @thisismugo]

@DidmusWaBarasa What causes cancer? Is it GMO foods or the chemicals we spray non-GMOs and allow sale in markets before allowable time? I'm here to be enlightened.

[Isaac G. Mugo @thisismugo]

@ngunjiriwambugu These fakes should do better and write in proper grammar and punctuate properly if they want to be believable. We know how you write and we can tell a fake from the original.

[Isaac G. Mugo @thisismugo]

@Fchurii Which blood group is she?

[Isaac G. Mugo @thisismugo]

@makaumutua Would you have said the same of Raila and Karua had they won the presidency? I doubt.

[Isaac G. Mugo @thisismugo]

@ahmednasirlaw Y'all aren't getting it. When text is put in opening and closing quotation marks ("), it means the writer hasn't claimed ownership. In fact wawili has credited this to an anonymous author.

[Isaac G. Mugo @thisismugo]

@OleItumbi @MarthaKarua @rigathi I may not benefit from this win in the foreseeable future...just like I've been disappointed after waking up at 3am in 2013 to vote for Jubilee...but truth be told, I admire the human spirit and hard work you put in preparing the candidates. Well done.

[Isaac G. Mugo @thisismugo]

@rigathi While you settle down to embark on recovery, our parliamentarians have started to demand perks and allowances. Meanwhile unga,fuel,healthcare are still very expensive for us . Pls help us.

[Isaac G. Mugo @thisismugo]

@EstherPassaris @WilliamsRuto That level of sacarsm borders on blasphemy in a way.

[Isaac G. Mugo @thisismugo]

@UDAPartyKe Yours is not an intelligent argument at all.

[Isaac G. Mugo @thisismugo]

@wamalwaKe @PaulKagame Your mathematics is wrong. 0.01% of 14.2M is 1,420 and not 142,000.
If your logic applies, then the last candidate with 0.22% would have had more than the 31k votes tallied against his name.

[Isaac G. Mugo @thisismugo]

@JohnRoberts64 @NyabutoLilian @EtalePhilip Then if 0.01% of 14.2M is 142,000, explain to us how 0.22% equals 31,000 and how 0.43 is 61,000 votes.

[Isaac G. Mugo @thisismugo]

@MutahiNgunyi What happened to your objectivity Prof @MutahiNgunyi? You have lately been boholden to one camp in this election unlike in previous elections.